Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: April existing home sales on track of recovery, while new home lukewarm, and high tier cities policy easing bodes well for Beike.(+)</li>
<li>LI US : LI L6 sales momentum accelerates during May Day holiday.(/)</li>
<li>NIO US/ LI US / 1211 HK :  New energy vehicle sales growth rebounded in the fourth week of April 2024, with Nio, LI and Zeekr regaining market shares （/////）</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: April existing home sales on track of recovery, while new home lukewarm, and high tier cities policy easing bodes well for Beike.(+)
LI US : LI L6 sales momentum accelerates during May Day holiday.(/)
NIO US/ LI US / 1211 HK :  New energy vehicle sales growth rebounded in the fourth week of April 2024, with Nio, LI and Zeekr regaining market shares （/////）


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1211 HK/1801 HK/1810 HK

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Samsung SDI exhibits confidence in future growth and innovation by increasing investments despite weak 1Q24 results.</li><li>UnaBiz boosts Sigfox 0G Technology by reducing device energy usage by up to 18 times, enhancing efficiency.</li><li>Sharp considers establishing a display plant in India, potentially boosting the country's electronics manufacturing sector.</li></ul>

Samsung SDI exhibits confidence in future growth and innovation by increasing investments despite weak 1Q24 results.UnaBiz boosts Sigfox 0G Technology by reducing device energy usage by up to 18 times, enhancing efficiency.Sharp considers establishing a display plant in India, potentially boosting the country's electronics manufacturing sector.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-May-2024): Samsung SDI boosts investment despite weak 1Q24.

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Meituan (3690 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Meituan (3690 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 3rd): Meituan, Hang Seng Bank, Swire Pacific

Founder, Market Thinker

Mark Tinker

Founder

Market Thinker

Mark Tinker has over 35 years experience as an investor, market strategist and economist. Having spent more than 20 years as a sell side strategist and being top rated on numerous occasions and surveys he moved to investment management in 2006 to run global equity portfolios in London and subsequently moved to Hong Kong in 2013 to help establish an Investment Management business for a top 20 international asset manager. He first started writing investment weeklies for his employers in 1989, developing a style characterised under the title Market Thinking and has been a regular commentator and presenter on CNBC, Bloomberg and other business channels, where his approach of rationalising market behaviour rather than making short term predictions on high frequency market data provides a welcome balance to his client audience.

Making Sense of the Narrative

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Every year, for as long as we can remember, we have written a weekly or a monthly note with some variation of the ‘Sell in May’ trope, so we see no reason to break the habit this year.</li><li>The chart (courtesy of Nick Glydon and team at Redburn Atlantic) shows the steady uptrend in searches for the expression every April over the last 14 years and while obviously there is a ‘usage factor’, it is certainly on a lot of traders’ minds at the moment.</li><li>The historic rationale for the expression comes from the leveraged trading end of the spectrum and tended to reflect the fall in speculative activity in the commodities markets over the summer months and while the speculators have moved heavily into other markets since those days, the seasonal drop off in activity as the head traders head to the beach remains a factor - the juniors tend to flatten the books and keep things ticking over.</li></ul>

Every year, for as long as we can remember, we have written a weekly or a monthly note with some variation of the ‘Sell in May’ trope, so we see no reason to break the habit this year.The chart (courtesy of Nick Glydon and team at Redburn Atlantic) shows the steady uptrend in searches for the expression every April over the last 14 years and while obviously there is a ‘usage factor’, it is certainly on a lot of traders’ minds at the moment.The historic rationale for the expression comes from the leveraged trading end of the spectrum and tended to reflect the fall in speculative activity in the commodities markets over the summer months and while the speculators have moved heavily into other markets since those days, the seasonal drop off in activity as the head traders head to the beach remains a factor - the juniors tend to flatten the books and keep things ticking over.

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1211 HK/1801 HK/1810 HK

April existing home sales show signs of recovery.High tier cities easing policies.LI sales accelerate during 5.1 holiday.Nio, LI,and Zeekr see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-May-2024): Samsung SDI boosts investment despite weak 1Q24.

Samsung SDI remains confident in future growth, UnaBiz makes big strides in energy efficiency for devices, and questions arise over China's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 3rd): Meituan, Hang Seng Bank, Swire Pacific

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Meituan (3690 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Market Thinking May 2024

Every year, for as long as we can remember, we have written a weekly or a monthly note with some variation of the ‘Sell in May’ trope, so we see no...

Mark Tinker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1211 HK/1801 HK/1810 HK

​April existing home sales show signs of recovery.High tier cities easing policies.LI sales accelerate during 5.1 holiday.Nio, LI,and Zeekr see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-May-2024): Samsung SDI boosts investment despite weak 1Q24.

Samsung SDI remains confident in future growth, UnaBiz makes big strides in energy efficiency for devices, and questions arise over China's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 3rd): Meituan, Hang Seng Bank, Swire Pacific

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Meituan (3690 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Market Thinking May 2024

Every year, for as long as we can remember, we have written a weekly or a monthly note with some variation of the ‘Sell in May’ trope, so we see no...

Mark Tinker

April existing home sales show signs of recovery.High tier cities easing policies.LI sales accelerate during 5.1 holiday.Nio, LI,and Zeekr see...