Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Yesterday, AOT's share price declined by 6%, with the drop occurring in the afternoon session following the company’s announcement to the SET regarding a revision to its previously disclosed statement (February 17, 2025).</li><li>The statement clarified the liquidity challenges faced by commercial operators and airlines, allowing King Power Duty Free (KPD) to defer the minimum guarantee payments for September 2024 to April 2025 (previously set to end in February 2025).</li><li>However, the clarification also revealed that KPD had initially submitted a request to postpone payments from August 2024 to July 2025, extending each installment by 18 months.</li></ul>

Yesterday, AOT's share price declined by 6%, with the drop occurring in the afternoon session following the company’s announcement to the SET regarding a revision to its previously disclosed statement (February 17, 2025).The statement clarified the liquidity challenges faced by commercial operators and airlines, allowing King Power Duty Free (KPD) to defer the minimum guarantee payments for September 2024 to April 2025 (previously set to end in February 2025).However, the clarification also revealed that KPD had initially submitted a request to postpone payments from August 2024 to July 2025, extending each installment by 18 months.

AOT TB - Negative View on Extension of Minimum Payment Deferral Period

<ul><li>Our Outperform rating is maintained, but the fair value (FV) has been revised down to Bt60.25, based on a required return of 2.5% (previously Bt71.75 based on a required return of 2.3%).</li><li>Our buy recommendation is upheld from the fundamental perspective, with the market price implying 28% upside to the fair value.</li><li>The tactical outlook has been upgraded to very limited downside risk (previously neutral), as the stock price has declined 21% YTD, already reflecting concerns over King Power’s potential default.</li></ul>

Our Outperform rating is maintained, but the fair value (FV) has been revised down to Bt60.25, based on a required return of 2.5% (previously Bt71.75 based on a required return of 2.3%).Our buy recommendation is upheld from the fundamental perspective, with the market price implying 28% upside to the fair value.The tactical outlook has been upgraded to very limited downside risk (previously neutral), as the stock price has declined 21% YTD, already reflecting concerns over King Power’s potential default.

Airports of Thailand - Revenue and Financial Position Under Pressure Due to KP's Deferred Payments

<ul>
<li>We maintain our Outperform rating with a target price of Bt71.75, based on an earnings yield of 2.3%.</li>
<li>We remain positive on the fundamentals due to the market price implying significant upside of +32% to the target price.</li>
<li>We maintain our view expecting strong long-term growth, with an FY25-27E EPS CAGR of +14%, outperforming the industry average of +8%.</li>
</ul>


We maintain our Outperform rating with a target price of Bt71.75, based on an earnings yield of 2.3%.
We remain positive on the fundamentals due to the market price implying significant upside of +32% to the target price.
We maintain our view expecting strong long-term growth, with an FY25-27E EPS CAGR of +14%, outperforming the industry average of +8%.


Airports of Thailand - 1QFY25 Earnings Slightly Lower than Expected

<ul><li>We expect core profit in 1QFY25E and FY2025E to grow significantly, driven by an increase in passenger movements and the full-year benefit of the 3rd runway operations.</li><li>We maintain an Outperform recommendation with a 12-month forward fair value of Bt71.75, based on an earnings yield of 2.3%.</li><li>KTXs valuation metrics indicate a Buy recommendation on the back of the fundamentals, with 27% upside from the fair value. </li></ul>

We expect core profit in 1QFY25E and FY2025E to grow significantly, driven by an increase in passenger movements and the full-year benefit of the 3rd runway operations.We maintain an Outperform recommendation with a 12-month forward fair value of Bt71.75, based on an earnings yield of 2.3%.KTXs valuation metrics indicate a Buy recommendation on the back of the fundamentals, with 27% upside from the fair value. 

Airports of Thailand - Expect Strong 1QFY25E Earnings Growth...

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 28th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD0.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Central Pattana, Indorama Ventures, PTT E&amp;P, Airports of Thailand, Kasikornbank, Bangkok Bank, CP ALL.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 28th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD0.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Central Pattana, Indorama Ventures, PTT E&amp;P, Airports of Thailand, Kasikornbank, Bangkok Bank, CP ALL.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 28th): CP AXTRA, Thai Oil, Central Pattana, Indorama Ventures

Thailand

Airports of Thailand Public Company Ltd. operates the Bangkok International Airport (Don Muang) and the New Bangkok International Airport (Suvarnabhumi).. The Company also operates provincial airports in Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai, Hat Yai, and Phuket.

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Airports of Thailand (AOT TB)

AOT TB - Negative View on Extension of Minimum Payment Deferral Period

We maintain our Outperform rating with a fair value of Bt60.25, based on the earnings yield method and a required return of 2.5%.

Krungthai XSpring

Airports of Thailand - Revenue and Financial Position Under Pressure Due to KP's Deferred Payments

Our Outperform rating is maintained, but the fair value (FV) has been revised down to Bt60.25, based on a required return of 2.5% (previously...

Krungthai XSpring

Airports of Thailand - 1QFY25 Earnings Slightly Lower than Expected

We maintain our view expecting strong long-term growth, with an FY25-27E EPS CAGR of +14%, outperforming the industry average of +8%.

Krungthai XSpring

Airports of Thailand - Expect Strong 1QFY25E Earnings Growth...

We expect core profit in 1QFY25E and FY2025E to grow significantly, driven by an increase in passenger movements and the full-year benefit of the...

Krungthai XSpring

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 28th): CP AXTRA, Thai Oil, Central Pattana, Indorama Ventures

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Central Pattana,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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Market Cap (USDm)

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