Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung reported 4Q22 detailed results - Semiconductor earnings evaporated and its memory subsegment likely lost money.</li>
<li>Samsung re-iterated that it would NOT cut capex despite the market downturn - Samsung appears ready to endure losses which is negative for Nanya Tech, SK Hynix, and Micron.</li>
<li>Japan and the Netherlands have joined the U.S. with chip technology restrictions for China - Hon Hai is a net winner.</li>
</ul>


Samsung reported 4Q22 detailed results - Semiconductor earnings evaporated and its memory subsegment likely lost money.
Samsung re-iterated that it would NOT cut capex despite the market downturn - Samsung appears ready to endure losses which is negative for Nanya Tech, SK Hynix, and Micron.
Japan and the Netherlands have joined the U.S. with chip technology restrictions for China - Hon Hai is a net winner.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Results; Will Bleed Competitors; Japan & Holland Join China Chip Ban

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roche-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:976:1" rel="noopener">Roche Holding Ltd (ROG VX)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-healthineers-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29221:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Healthineers AG (SHL GR)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-ink-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17793:1" rel="noopener">E Ink Holdings (8069 TT)</a></strong> </li>
<li>For the ten weeks since inception ended 27 Jan the combined innovation portfolio was +4.0%, versus DJIA +.7%, S&amp;P500 +2.7%, Nasdaq +4.3%, Russell2000 +3.3%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +5.1%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>For the first time in decades IBM lost its top position in patent registrations in US. IBM’s patent count declined 44% to 4,743 patents in 2022, versus Samsung Electronics' 8,513</li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are Roche Holding Ltd (ROG VX) , Siemens Healthineers AG (SHL GR) and E Ink Holdings (8069 TT) 
For the ten weeks since inception ended 27 Jan the combined innovation portfolio was +4.0%, versus DJIA +.7%, S&amp;P500 +2.7%, Nasdaq +4.3%, Russell2000 +3.3%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +5.1%, all in US$ terms
For the first time in decades IBM lost its top position in patent registrations in US. IBM’s patent count declined 44% to 4,743 patents in 2022, versus Samsung Electronics' 8,513


<ul>
<li>ASML and Lam Research's latest guidance implies extremely different near-term revenue outlooks but shows an industry pulling back near-term while investing for long-term.</li>
<li>Results show the much weaker situation for Memory chips vs. Logic chips, and little discussion of a recovery for Memory from the firms so far.</li>
<li>Firms servicing long-term strategic, specialized demand from customers are indeed performing better than those servicing more commoditized demand.</li>
</ul>


ASML and Lam Research's latest guidance implies extremely different near-term revenue outlooks but shows an industry pulling back near-term while investing for long-term.
Results show the much weaker situation for Memory chips vs. Logic chips, and little discussion of a recovery for Memory from the firms so far.
Firms servicing long-term strategic, specialized demand from customers are indeed performing better than those servicing more commoditized demand.


ASML & Lam Results: Key Take-Aways for Semiconductors in 2023

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.
Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SamE PREF's relative underperformance compared to ORD has been getting a bit worse lately. And finally, today, it went down below -2.0σ on a 20-day moving average.</li>
<li>This much diversion is the first in recent months, and the pref discount is close to last year's peak. The dividend yield difference is also the widest in recent years.</li>
<li>The current diversion appears to be a byproduct of the SamE overbuying amid the recent market rally, and we should expect a quick reversion.</li>
</ul>


SamE PREF's relative underperformance compared to ORD has been getting a bit worse lately. And finally, today, it went down below -2.0σ on a 20-day moving average.
This much diversion is the first in recent months, and the pref discount is close to last year's peak. The dividend yield difference is also the widest in recent years.
The current diversion appears to be a byproduct of the SamE overbuying amid the recent market rally, and we should expect a quick reversion.


Samsung Electronics 1P Pushed to a Substantial Diversion (Below -2σ) Today

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Results; Will Bleed Competitors; Japan & Holland Join China Chip Ban

Samsung re-iterated that it would NOT cut capex despite the market downturn - Samsung appears ready to endure losses which is negative for Nanya...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Innovations Portfolio - Week Ten

For the ten weeks since inception ended 27 Jan the combined innovation portfolio was +4.0%, versus DJIA +.7%, S&P500 +2.7%, Nasdaq +4.3%,...

Pyari Menon

ASML & Lam Results: Key Take-Aways for Semiconductors in 2023

Firms servicing long-term strategic, specialized demand from customers are indeed performing better than those servicing more commoditized demand.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023. We highlight 33 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

Samsung Electronics 1P Pushed to a Substantial Diversion (Below -2σ) Today

This post examines the current diversion of Samsung Electronics' preferred shares relative to its ordinary shares and discusses why we should...

Sanghyun Park

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