Taiwan Tech Focused Asia L/S Analyst

Henry King

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>1H22 is likely the peak for VGA card. Our checks with VGA card makers indicate VGA card price fell in January/February and likely to continue for the rest of 2022. </li>
<li>Potential supply surge, demand decline, and price drop will all lead VGA market to trend south in 2H22.</li>
<li>VGA makers will be negatively impacted in 2H22. Gigabyte may be hit the most whereas Asustek may hit the least. Nvidia should also be hit at a certain degree.</li>
</ul>


1H22 is likely the peak for VGA card. Our checks with VGA card makers indicate VGA card price fell in January/February and likely to continue for the rest of 2022. 
Potential supply surge, demand decline, and price drop will all lead VGA market to trend south in 2H22.
VGA makers will be negatively impacted in 2H22. Gigabyte may be hit the most whereas Asustek may hit the least. Nvidia should also be hit at a certain degree.


The Current Huge Gap of VGA Card Demand over Supply May Reverse in 2H22/2023

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Inspur Electronic Infmtn Indtry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>India's top player in the industry notes slow passenger EV sales, but sees a boom in commercial EVs.</li><li>Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates with strong data center expansion, leading to mixed analyst reactions.</li><li>China accelerates efforts for chip independence to lessen reliance on US technology in response to potential policies of the new Trump administration.</li></ul>

India's top player in the industry notes slow passenger EV sales, but sees a boom in commercial EVs.Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates with strong data center expansion, leading to mixed analyst reactions.China accelerates efforts for chip independence to lessen reliance on US technology in response to potential policies of the new Trump administration.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Nov-2024): Commercial EVs thrive despite passenger slowdown.

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A key medium-term driver of share price is earnings estimate trajectory - in particular, "earnings inflections" - i.e. the trajectory of earnings estimates changing directions. </li>
<li>Different Asian markets have had different estimate trajectories. But most suffered estimate cuts since August/September 2024, coinciding with the US Dollar appreciation and the spike in US yields.</li>
<li>We argue that investors need to watch out for Taiwan, Indonesia, Malaysia and India for earnings estimate increases. India's could decline in the near term and commence an uptrend later. </li>
</ul>


A key medium-term driver of share price is earnings estimate trajectory - in particular, "earnings inflections" - i.e. the trajectory of earnings estimates changing directions. 
Different Asian markets have had different estimate trajectories. But most suffered estimate cuts since August/September 2024, coinciding with the US Dollar appreciation and the spike in US yields.
We argue that investors need to watch out for Taiwan, Indonesia, Malaysia and India for earnings estimate increases. India's could decline in the near term and commence an uptrend later. 


Asian Equities: In Search of Earnings Estimate Uptrends

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After the market close on 8 April, it was reported that Lee Boo-Jin will sell 5,247,140 shares of Samsung Electronics in a block deal (up to 443 billion won).</li>
<li>The expected block deal sale price is 83,700 to 84,500 won per share, which represents a discount rate of up to 0.95% compared to the closing price on 8 April. </li>
<li>We are positive on this block deal sale and on Samsung Electronics. We would take the deal. </li>
</ul>


After the market close on 8 April, it was reported that Lee Boo-Jin will sell 5,247,140 shares of Samsung Electronics in a block deal (up to 443 billion won).
The expected block deal sale price is 83,700 to 84,500 won per share, which represents a discount rate of up to 0.95% compared to the closing price on 8 April. 
We are positive on this block deal sale and on Samsung Electronics. We would take the deal. 


Samsung Electronics: Block Deal Sale of 5.2 Million Shares by Lee Boo-Jin

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Samsung Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>KEB Hana Bank, on behalf of Lee Boo-Jin, is looking to raise up to US$325m via selling 0.1% of  Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).</li>
<li>The deal appears to be somewhat well flagged and the company recently reported better operating numbers for 1Q24.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


KEB Hana Bank, on behalf of Lee Boo-Jin, is looking to raise up to US$325m via selling 0.1% of  Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).
The deal appears to be somewhat well flagged and the company recently reported better operating numbers for 1Q24.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Samsung Electronics Placement - Better Timing This Time Around

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

The Current Huge Gap of VGA Card Demand over Supply May Reverse in 2H22/2023

While Taiwanese VGA card makers reported record sales in January and NVIDIA reported record quarterly revenue for 4QFY22, the outlook of the VGA...

Henry King

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Nov-2024): Commercial EVs thrive despite passenger slowdown.

Passenger EV sales lag behind, but commercial EVs thrive; Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates, sparking analyst reactions; China accelerates chip...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Asian Equities: In Search of Earnings Estimate Uptrends

Earnings estimate trajectory, especially "earnings inflection," are key drivers of share price in Asian markets. We see potential uptrends in...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Samsung Electronics: Block Deal Sale of 5.2 Million Shares by Lee Boo-Jin

After the market close on 8 April, it was reported that Lee Boo-Jin will sell 5,247,140 shares of Samsung Electronics in a block deal (up to 443...

Douglas Kim

Samsung Electronics Placement - Better Timing This Time Around

KEB Hana Bank, on behalf of Lee Boo-Jin, is looking to raise up to US$325m via selling 0.1% of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Current Huge Gap of VGA Card Demand over Supply May Reverse in 2H22/2023

While Taiwanese VGA card makers reported record sales in January and NVIDIA reported record quarterly revenue for 4QFY22, the outlook of the VGA...

Henry King

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Nov-2024): Commercial EVs thrive despite passenger slowdown.

Passenger EV sales lag behind, but commercial EVs thrive; Nvidia surpasses revenue estimates, sparking analyst reactions; China accelerates chip...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Asian Equities: In Search of Earnings Estimate Uptrends

​Earnings estimate trajectory, especially "earnings inflection," are key drivers of share price in Asian markets. We see potential uptrends in...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Samsung Electronics: Block Deal Sale of 5.2 Million Shares by Lee Boo-Jin

After the market close on 8 April, it was reported that Lee Boo-Jin will sell 5,247,140 shares of Samsung Electronics in a block deal (up to 443...

Douglas Kim

Samsung Electronics Placement - Better Timing This Time Around

KEB Hana Bank, on behalf of Lee Boo-Jin, is looking to raise up to US$325m via selling 0.1% of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).

Sumeet Singh

Earnings estimate trajectory, especially "earnings inflection," are key drivers of share price in Asian markets. We see potential uptrends in...