Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Short notional in Hong Kong is HK$439bn and has been falling over the last 18 months due to a drop in the market.</li>
<li>In terms of short notional to issue market cap, the Information Technology, Materials, Health Care and Consumer Discretionary sectors are up there, with Communication Services, Real Estate the least shorted.</li>
<li>Over the year, the largest shorts in terms of notional have been built on Xiaomi Corp, Meituan, JD.com, AIA Group Ltd, Postal Savings Bank of China, Orient Overseas, Techtronic Industries.</li>
</ul>


Short notional in Hong Kong is HK$439bn and has been falling over the last 18 months due to a drop in the market.
In terms of short notional to issue market cap, the Information Technology, Materials, Health Care and Consumer Discretionary sectors are up there, with Communication Services, Real Estate the least shorted.
Over the year, the largest shorts in terms of notional have been built on Xiaomi Corp, Meituan, JD.com, AIA Group Ltd, Postal Savings Bank of China, Orient Overseas, Techtronic Industries.


Hong Kong: Where Have Shorts Been Building Up?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In 2Q22, banks continued to face NIM contractions, but the asset quality remained stable in spite of the headwinds from COVID restrictions.</li><li>Earnings growth slightly slowed in 2Q22, dragged by NIM contractions and slower loan growth.</li><li>The 15bps cut of 5-yr LPR and 5bps cut of 1-yr LPR on 22 Aug are in line with market expectations. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In 2Q22, banks continued to face NIM contractions, but the asset quality remained stable in spite of the headwinds from COVID restrictions.Earnings growth slightly slowed in 2Q22, dragged by NIM contractions and slower loan growth.The 15bps cut of 5-yr LPR and 5bps cut of 1-yr LPR on 22 Aug are in line with market expectations. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Banking Sector – Banks’ Asset Quality Remained Stable in 2Q22

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 12th. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight changes of short interest for Sunny Optical, Xpeng, and Hua Hong Semiconductor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 12th. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight changes of short interest for Sunny Optical, Xpeng, and Hua Hong Semiconductor.


HK Short Interest: Sunny Optical, Xpeng, and Hua Hong Semiconductor

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 29th. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Alibaba, Cifi, and Netease.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 29th. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Alibaba, Cifi, and Netease.


HK Short Interest: Kuaishou, Alibaba, Cifi, Netease

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

China Construction Bank H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chinese banks are out of favour given the China GDP growth concerns and property sector headwinds; yet we see selective opportunities in the stronger, higher return banks</li>
<li>Our core picks are unchanged, with the core holding being CCB, and also PSBC; both have healthy credit quality and coverage, double digit ROEs and are attractive on valuations</li>
<li>We remain negative on China Minsheng due to its low ROE, poor delinquency and NPL coverage, and its relatively high exposures to real estate relative to its peers</li>
</ul>


Chinese banks are out of favour given the China GDP growth concerns and property sector headwinds; yet we see selective opportunities in the stronger, higher return banks
Our core picks are unchanged, with the core holding being CCB, and also PSBC; both have healthy credit quality and coverage, double digit ROEs and are attractive on valuations
We remain negative on China Minsheng due to its low ROE, poor delinquency and NPL coverage, and its relatively high exposures to real estate relative to its peers


China Banks – Stick with Quality at Attractive Valuations

China

Postal Savings Bank of China Co., Ltd. provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund settlement, and other services. Postal Savings Bank of China provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

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Postal Savings Bank of China C (1658 HK)

Hong Kong: Where Have Shorts Been Building Up?

Short notional in HK has decreased as a result of falling prices. Shorts have been increasing on a lot of stocks over the year. A rally could see...

Brian Freitas

China Banking Sector – Banks’ Asset Quality Remained Stable in 2Q22

In 2Q22, banks continued to face NIM contractions, but the asset quality remained stable in spite of the headwinds from COVID restrictions.

CMB International

HK Short Interest: Sunny Optical, Xpeng, and Hua Hong Semiconductor

We highlight changes of short interest for Sunny Optical, Xpeng, and Hua Hong Semiconductor based on the latest HK SFC short aggregate report.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest: Kuaishou, Alibaba, Cifi, Netease

We highlight week on week short interest changes in Kuaishou, Alibaba, Cifi, and Netease based on the latest HK SFC Short Aggregate report.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Banks – Stick with Quality at Attractive Valuations

In this challenging environment, we recommend investors to stick with quality and value in China banks, CCB & PSBC are our picks; avoid China...

Victor Galliano

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52-week Range

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