Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Given the USD/CNH rise is moving into extended territory, some key pivot support levels are worth monitoring that would induce an exodus from this increasingly crowded trade. CNY needs to digest policy tinkering with an underlying PBOC stance for a weaker CNY that would offset tariff pressures.We have been long the USD from 6.39 and now looking at what levels to exit this position. More importantly, a reversal and decline in the USD/CNH would send shock waves through Asian FX in general. We…

Given the USD/CNH rise is moving into extended territory, some key pivot support levels are worth monitoring that would induce an exodus from this increasingly crowded trade. CNY needs to digest policy tinkering with an underlying PBOC stance for a weaker CNY that would offset tariff pressures.We have been long the USD from 6.39 and now looking at what levels to exit this position. More importantly, a reversal and decline in the USD/CNH would send shock waves through Asian FX in general. We…

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

* New proposed US tariffs of 25% is motivated in large part by the recent depreciation of the CNY; * F/X Reserve Data Likely to Come in Weaker Than Expected; and* Mainland China could offer greater US imports; and increased US access to the domestic market. <h2>Investment Summary</h2>The increase in proposed US tariffs to 25% is motivated in large part by the recent depreciation of the CNY by 10% versus the USD in retaliation to US tariffs. However, the case for compromise appears to be increasing on…

* New proposed US tariffs of 25% is motivated in large part by the recent depreciation of the CNY; * F/X Reserve Data Likely to Come in Weaker Than Expected; and* Mainland China could offer greater US imports; and increased US access to the domestic market. Investment SummaryThe increase in proposed US tariffs to 25% is motivated in large part by the recent depreciation of the CNY by 10% versus the USD in retaliation to US tariffs. However, the case for compromise appears to be increasing on…

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

FX & Rates

There is no reason we believe that the RMB is facing or is currently in devaluation. While it is fair to watch for RMB devaluation going forward, we do not believe the PBOC intends to devalue the RMB by any significant amount beyond the USDX with expected noise parameters and the general trend in global currencies against the USD. There is no data evidence to support this position.

There is no reason we believe that the RMB is facing or is currently in devaluation. While it is fair to watch for RMB devaluation going forward, we do not believe the PBOC intends to devalue the RMB by any significant amount beyond the USDX with expected noise parameters and the general trend in global currencies against the USD. There is no data evidence to support this position. 

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


<ul>
<li>We disagree that the Chinese Yuan will slump further or formally devalue. We expect a modest additional 2-5% slide this year.</li>
<li>We foresee several key changes that will culminate in the formation of a de facto Yuan-bloc of Asian currencies. These will ultimately ‘float away’ from the US dollar and Euro. </li>
<li>China is providing leadership of this group and is already embarking on another round of domestic demand stimulus. Could the next bull market start in Beijing?</li>
</ul>The most important ‘price’ in the…


We disagree that the Chinese Yuan will slump further or formally devalue. We expect a modest additional 2-5% slide this year.
We foresee several key changes that will culminate in the formation of a de facto Yuan-bloc of Asian currencies. These will ultimately ‘float away’ from the US dollar and Euro. 
China is providing leadership of this group and is already embarking on another round of domestic demand stimulus. Could the next bull market start in Beijing?
The most important ‘price’ in the…

The Most Important Price In The World … Possibly?

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

REAL-Economics.com

The renewed RMB weakness this week demonstrates that it will not be possible for China to run expansionary monetary policy without threatening financial stability. China's strategy of easing liquidity conditions (through 150bp of RRR cuts in the past 3 months) is causing substantial capital flight -- but the PBOC is masking this by selling US dollars in the forward rather than spot market (akin to what the BoT and BoK did in 1997). This is not yet 1997 Redux. But the threatened imposition of US…

The renewed RMB weakness this week demonstrates that it will not be possible for China to run expansionary monetary policy without threatening financial stability. China's strategy of easing liquidity conditions (through 150bp of RRR cuts in the past 3 months) is causing substantial capital flight -- but the PBOC is masking this by selling US dollars in the forward rather than spot market (akin to what the BoT and BoK did in 1997). This is not yet 1997 Redux. But the threatened imposition of US…

China: Barely Staying Afloat with New Money and Fiddled Data

China

The Chinese renminbi (yuan) is the official currency of The People's Republic of China. 

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

CNY (USDCNY CURNCY)

CNY Game Changing Pivot

Given the USD/CNH rise is moving into extended territory, some key pivot support levels are worth monitoring that would induce an exodus from this...

Thomas Schroeder

A Case For US/China Trade War Compromise

* New proposed US tariffs of 25% is motivated in large part by the recent depreciation of the CNY; * F/X Reserve Data Likely to Come in Weaker Than...

Thomas J. Monaco

Is the PBOC Devaluing the RMB?

There is no reason we believe that the RMB is facing or is currently in devaluation. While it is fair to watch for RMB devaluation going forward,...

Christopher Balding

The Most Important Price In The World … Possibly?

We disagree that the Chinese Yuan will slump further or formally devalue. We expect a modest additional 2-5% slide this year. We foresee several...

Michael J. Howell

China: Barely Staying Afloat with New Money and Fiddled Data

The renewed RMB weakness this week demonstrates that it will not be possible for China to run expansionary monetary policy without threatening...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)