APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-e-s-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2402:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui E&amp;S Holdings (7003 JP)</a> is looking to raise approximately US$451m through a secondary follow-on offering, via selling approximately 21.9m shares (32% of TSO) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/modec-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2840:1" rel="noopener">Modec Inc (6269 JP)</a>’s stock. </li>
<li>The deal is a large one to digest at 81 days of three month ADV. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Mitsui E&amp;S Holdings (7003 JP) is looking to raise approximately US$451m through a secondary follow-on offering, via selling approximately 21.9m shares (32% of TSO) of Modec Inc (6269 JP)’s stock. 
The deal is a large one to digest at 81 days of three month ADV. 
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Modec Placement - Deal Seems a Little Opportunistic but Not Particularly Expensive

Clarence Chu

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> was listed in Hong Kong on 26th Sept 2023 after raising US$151m. The IPO had been a 100% primary offering.</li>
<li>Tuhu is an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China.</li>
<li>Trading with a very small float of 1.8%, in its upcoming six-month lockup expiry, &gt;90% of Tuhu’s pre-IPO investors, cornerstones and management combined stakes will come off six-month lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>



Tuhu Car (9690 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 26th Sept 2023 after raising US$151m. The IPO had been a 100% primary offering.
Tuhu is an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China.
Trading with a very small float of 1.8%, in its upcoming six-month lockup expiry, &gt;90% of Tuhu’s pre-IPO investors, cornerstones and management combined stakes will come off six-month lockup expiry.


Tuhu Car Lock-Up Expiry - Would Need Some Selling to Improve Liquidity when US$1.5bn Comes Unlocked

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orica-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:895:1" rel="noopener">Orica Ltd (ORI AU)</a> is looking to raise up to A$400m (US$260m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to partially fund the acquisition of Cyanco. </li>
<li>The deal is a large one to digest, representing 21.3 days of three month ADV and 5.2% dilution. </li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Orica Ltd (ORI AU) is looking to raise up to A$400m (US$260m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to partially fund the acquisition of Cyanco. 
The deal is a large one to digest, representing 21.3 days of three month ADV and 5.2% dilution. 
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Orica Placement - Keeping the Acquisition Momentum Going

Metals Acquisition  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metals-acquisition-corp-206b4b4c-e422-4777-bb84-419017ffff10" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39082:1" rel="noopener">Metals Acquisition (MTAL US)</a> is looking to raise up to A$300m (US$197m) through its ASX secondary listing.  </li>
<li>The proceeds will be used to repay Glencore’s deferred consideration facility for the MTAL’s acquisition of its CSA copper mine, amongst other uses.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Metals Acquisition (MTAL US) is looking to raise up to A$300m (US$197m) through its ASX secondary listing.  
The proceeds will be used to repay Glencore’s deferred consideration facility for the MTAL’s acquisition of its CSA copper mine, amongst other uses.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Metals Acquisition Ltd Secondary Listing - Too Much to Pay for a Single Asset

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Petroleo Brasileiro  / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global growth stocks that have significantly outperformed since the October 2023 lows are starting to pull back, and we believe a continued pause/pullback is likely in these growth areas.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, we are seeing a clear shift into value and defensives, and we recommend adding exposure to these areas. This type of Sector rotation is common during bull markets.</li>
<li>Major supports continue to hold, including $98-99 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), 4600 on the S&amp;P 500, 4400 on the EURO STOXX 50, and 2300 on the TOPIX</li>
</ul>


Global growth stocks that have significantly outperformed since the October 2023 lows are starting to pull back, and we believe a continued pause/pullback is likely in these growth areas.
Meanwhile, we are seeing a clear shift into value and defensives, and we recommend adding exposure to these areas. This type of Sector rotation is common during bull markets.
Major supports continue to hold, including $98-99 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), 4600 on the S&amp;P 500, 4400 on the EURO STOXX 50, and 2300 on the TOPIX


Buys Within Global Energy, Health Care, and Utilities; Bullish Outlook Intact on Global Equities

United Kingdom

Shell PLC explores and refines petroleum products. The Company produces fuels, chemicals, and lubricants. Shell serves clients worldwide.

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Shell PLC (SHEL LN)

Modec Placement - Deal Seems a Little Opportunistic but Not Particularly Expensive

Books will be closing today (21st May 24) and pricing will be tomorrow (22nd May 24) at the earliest. The stock has fallen by around 15% since we...

Ethan Aw

Tuhu Car Lock-Up Expiry - Would Need Some Selling to Improve Liquidity when US$1.5bn Comes Unlocked

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 26th Sept 2023 after raising US$151m. The IPO had been a 100% primary offering.

Clarence Chu

Orica Placement - Keeping the Acquisition Momentum Going

Orica Ltd (ORI AU) is looking to raise up to A$400m (US$260m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to to partially fund the...

Ethan Aw

Metals Acquisition Ltd Secondary Listing - Too Much to Pay for a Single Asset

Metals Acquisition (MTAL US) is looking to raise up to A$300m (US$197m) through its ASX secondary listing. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Ethan Aw

Buys Within Global Energy, Health Care, and Utilities; Bullish Outlook Intact on Global Equities

Seeing a clear shift into value and defensives, and we recommend adding exposure to these areas globally. Constructive if supports hold: $98-99 on...

Vermilion Research

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