Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>9995 HK：Chinese BsAb ADC developer wins US$8.4 billion license out deal from Bristol-Myers Squibb(-)</li>
<li>LKNCY: Luckin Coffee raised subsidy to franchisees in winter season(-)</li>
<li>1211.HK/300750.CH: LGES signs multi-hundred-million dollar contract with Poland electric bus manufacturer(-)</li>
</ul>


9995 HK：Chinese BsAb ADC developer wins US$8.4 billion license out deal from Bristol-Myers Squibb(-)
LKNCY: Luckin Coffee raised subsidy to franchisees in winter season(-)
1211.HK/300750.CH: LGES signs multi-hundred-million dollar contract with Poland electric bus manufacturer(-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]：LKNCY/1211 HK/300750 CH/TSLA/9995 HK

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts to play with.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net sell RMB 5.8bn of A-sharesin higher-than-normal activity.</li>
<li>Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start).</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts to play with.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net sell RMB 5.8bn of A-sharesin higher-than-normal activity.
Looking at the change in the weekly position charts over the last year is striking (easiest in the Sectors table to start).


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 8 Dec 23): Net Sales Again on Midea and Wuliangye Yibin

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.3% as of Dec 8th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, health care, energy and offset by consumer discretionary, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, Ping An Insurance, Beigene.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.3% as of Dec 8th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, health care, energy and offset by consumer discretionary, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CMB, Ping An Insurance, Beigene.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 8th): CMB, Ping An Insurance, Beigene

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 1st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor, Baba, New Oriental, AIA, Xiaomi, HSBC, Lenovo.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 1st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor, Baba, New Oriental, AIA, Xiaomi, HSBC, Lenovo.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor, Baba, New Oriental, AIA, Xiaomi, HSBC, Lenovo

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

REPT BATTERO Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rept-battero-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36626:1" rel="noopener">REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.   </li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rept-battero-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:122120" rel="noopener">Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and receivable financing. </li>
</ul>



REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.   
In Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and receivable financing. 


China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

Price Gauge
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BYD (1211 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily]：LKNCY/1211 HK/300750 CH/TSLA/9995 HK

Chinese BsAb ADC developer secures a license deal with Bristol-Myers Squibb. Luckin increases subsidies for franchisees during the winter. LGES...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 8 Dec 23): Net Sales Again on Midea and Wuliangye Yibin

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND flows were negative again. RMB 5.8bn to sell this week. This is a strong trend. This week saw reversionary flows on a...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 8th): CMB, Ping An Insurance, Beigene

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, Ping An Insurance and Beigene.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor, Baba, New Oriental, AIA, Xiaomi, HSBC, Lenovo

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 1st and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Rept Battero IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]：LKNCY/1211 HK/300750 CH/TSLA/9995 HK

​Chinese BsAb ADC developer secures a license deal with Bristol-Myers Squibb. Luckin increases subsidies for franchisees during the winter. LGES...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 8 Dec 23): Net Sales Again on Midea and Wuliangye Yibin

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND flows were negative again. RMB 5.8bn to sell this week. This is a strong trend. This week saw reversionary flows on a...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 8th): CMB, Ping An Insurance, Beigene

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CMB, Ping An Insurance and Beigene.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor, Baba, New Oriental, AIA, Xiaomi, HSBC, Lenovo

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 1st and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Wharf, Leapmotor,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Rept Battero IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and...

Arun George

Chinese BsAb ADC developer secures a license deal with Bristol-Myers Squibb. Luckin increases subsidies for franchisees during the winter. LGES...