ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> has seen an aggressive sell-off on fears of increasing competition from the EV space as more operators enter the Indonesian auto market, with the most recent being <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD</a>.</li>
<li>The company has successfully held its market share at 56% in FY2023 and has launched several EV models, mostly hybrids,  as adoption levels for BEVs remain low.</li>
<li>Management remains confident that FY2024 will be a stable year for both 2W and 4W, with overall EPS only set to decline slightly but valuations are now compelling.</li>
</ul>



Astra International has seen an aggressive sell-off on fears of increasing competition from the EV space as more operators enter the Indonesian auto market, with the most recent being BYD.
The company has successfully held its market share at 56% in FY2023 and has launched several EV models, mostly hybrids,  as adoption levels for BEVs remain low.
Management remains confident that FY2024 will be a stable year for both 2W and 4W, with overall EPS only set to decline slightly but valuations are now compelling.


Astra International (ASII IJ) - Opportunity Knocks

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 128.5% as of Jan 26th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.6ppt week-on-week, led by energy, industrials, health care and offset by real estate, communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering, Tianqi Lithium Corporation.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 128.5% as of Jan 26th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.6ppt week-on-week, led by energy, industrials, health care and offset by real estate, communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering, Tianqi Lithium Corporation.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 26th): Haier Smart, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, GWM

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 19th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in HSBC, China Mobile, Shk Ppt, Wuxi Bio, Kuaishou, Li Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 19th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in HSBC, China Mobile, Shk Ppt, Wuxi Bio, Kuaishou, Li Auto.


HK Short Interest Weekly: HSBC, China Mobile, Shk Ppt, Wuxi Bio, Kuaishou, Li Auto

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 12.1bn of A-shares on very strong average activity. National Team continued to buy this week. Foreigners bought banks</li>
<li>Renewables were again a net sell by NORTHBOUND. It is not clear what stops persistent net selling. Capacity huge/growing and Pricing is a disaster in solar modules, batteries, etc. </li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 12.1bn of A-shares on very strong average activity. National Team continued to buy this week. Foreigners bought banks
Renewables were again a net sell by NORTHBOUND. It is not clear what stops persistent net selling. Capacity huge/growing and Pricing is a disaster in solar modules, batteries, etc. 


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Jan 2024): Decent Net Buying, Buying Banks and SOEs

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC, Bond Angle, LLC

Vicki Bryan

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC

Bond Angle, LLC

Insightful commentary and analysis on bond markets and market movers, including financial, economic, and industry catalysts and management shenanigans. 

High yield market investment research

<ul>
<li>As I warned, troubled Q4 results were worse than investors expected, even with further drops in already plunging market expectations following disappointing deliveries dubiously called a "beat."</li>
<li>Even numbers as reported were weaker than reported when I stripped out subsidies and accounting boosts which mask underlying trouble—as is typical with Tesla (see attached model).</li>
<li>Tesla continues to foster the false impression that it's healthier, more profitable and more successful than it is, which greatly overstates its ability to weather the storm already upon it.</li>
</ul>


As I warned, troubled Q4 results were worse than investors expected, even with further drops in already plunging market expectations following disappointing deliveries dubiously called a "beat."
Even numbers as reported were weaker than reported when I stripped out subsidies and accounting boosts which mask underlying trouble—as is typical with Tesla (see attached model).
Tesla continues to foster the false impression that it's healthier, more profitable and more successful than it is, which greatly overstates its ability to weather the storm already upon it.


Tesla: Moving The Goalposts Works Until It Doesn't

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

Astra International (ASII IJ) - Opportunity Knocks

Astra Internationa has seen an aggressive sell-off on fears of increasing competition from the EV space as more operators enter the Indonesian auto...

Angus Mackintosh

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 26th): Haier Smart, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, GWM

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: HSBC, China Mobile, Shk Ppt, Wuxi Bio, Kuaishou, Li Auto

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 19th and highlight short interest changes in HSBC, China Mobile, Shk...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Jan 2024): Decent Net Buying, Buying Banks and SOEs

NORTHBOUND Connect this week saw heavy gross activity and decent net buying. Lots of buying in Banks and SOEs, selling in Petrochina as National...

Travis Lundy

Tesla: Moving The Goalposts Works Until It Doesn't

As I warned, troubled Q4 results tracked my ests but were worse than even plunging market ests following disappointing deliveries dubiously called...

Vicki Bryan

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