Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium has fallen substantially from early February and late January levels. Berkshire's U-turn on the shares is likely one contributing factor.</li>
<li>UMC and ChipMOS ADRs are trading at discounts that are unlikely to last much longer given the historical trading behavior.</li>
<li>Chunghwa Telecom ADRs are trading at a discount - If the ADRs drop in today's U.S. trading then will open up a historically rare discount.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's ADR premium has fallen substantially from early February and late January levels. Berkshire's U-turn on the shares is likely one contributing factor.
UMC and ChipMOS ADRs are trading at discounts that are unlikely to last much longer given the historical trading behavior.
Chunghwa Telecom ADRs are trading at a discount - If the ADRs drop in today's U.S. trading then will open up a historically rare discount.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: Taiwan Exchange Holiday Opens Up Potential Spread Opportunities

<ul>
<li>ChipMOS results missed expectations with capacity utilization falling, dragging down profitability.</li>
<li>The company sees 1Q23E as the bottom for its performance, followed by a 2Q23E rebound. However, it says it believes the Memory industry may take longer to recover.</li>
<li>We believe ChipMOS is cheap if one looks through the cycle, and it is relatively unloved by the Street hence the expectations bar is set low.</li>
</ul>


ChipMOS results missed expectations with capacity utilization falling, dragging down profitability.
The company sees 1Q23E as the bottom for its performance, followed by a 2Q23E rebound. However, it says it believes the Memory industry may take longer to recover.
We believe ChipMOS is cheap if one looks through the cycle, and it is relatively unloved by the Street hence the expectations bar is set low.


ChipMOS: Semiconductor Packaging & Testing Signs of Recovery, Cheap Through Cycle

<ul>
<li>Berkshire's TSMC U-Turn. Berkshire's TSMC stake was sold down by 86.2% just months after acquiring it. One had to wonder what the about-face on the investment was based on.</li>
<li>Applied Materials results well received by the market, however provided some caveates in terms of how fast the Memory chip industry recovery will come. (Readthrough: Nanya Tech, Micron, SK hynix)</li>
<li>TSMC believes that the automotive chip crunch is now easing, which should be good news for the auto industry, especially EV.</li>
</ul>


Berkshire's TSMC U-Turn. Berkshire's TSMC stake was sold down by 86.2% just months after acquiring it. One had to wonder what the about-face on the investment was based on.
Applied Materials results well received by the market, however provided some caveates in terms of how fast the Memory chip industry recovery will come. (Readthrough: Nanya Tech, Micron, SK hynix)
TSMC believes that the automotive chip crunch is now easing, which should be good news for the auto industry, especially EV.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AMAT Results Imply Longer Memory Weakness, Berkshire's U-Turn on TSMC

<ul>
<li>TSMC - Premium holding up despite Berkshire investment sale news. We maintain a model on the company.</li>
<li>UMC - ADR now trading at a discount. Pretty clear opportunity for a reversion back to a premium.</li>
<li>ChipMOS - At parity, results coming February 23rd. We maintain a model on the company.</li>
</ul>


TSMC - Premium holding up despite Berkshire investment sale news. We maintain a model on the company.
UMC - ADR now trading at a discount. Pretty clear opportunity for a reversion back to a premium.
ChipMOS - At parity, results coming February 23rd. We maintain a model on the company.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Holding Despite Buffett Exit, UMC Discount Opens Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This week we digest key takeaways from some of the latest key industry results that came out (ASE Technologies (TW), Novatek (TW), and Tokyo Electron (JP)).</li>
<li>ASE and Tokyo Electron exhibited their insulated positions during the current inventory corrections happening, delivering decent margins and beating expectations. Novatek also beat expectations.</li>
<li>Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus view, however?</li>
</ul>


This week we digest key takeaways from some of the latest key industry results that came out (ASE Technologies (TW), Novatek (TW), and Tokyo Electron (JP)).
ASE and Tokyo Electron exhibited their insulated positions during the current inventory corrections happening, delivering decent margins and beating expectations. Novatek also beat expectations.
Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus view, however?


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest Key Results Add More Expectations for a 2H23E Turnaround

Taiwan

ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. offers semiconductor testing and packaging solutions to companies, integrated device manufacturers, and foundries. The Company provides a broad range of back-end testing services for high density memory, mixed-signal and liquid crystal display.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Chipmos Technologies (8150 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings: Taiwan Exchange Holiday Opens Up Potential Spread Opportunities

TSMC's ADR premium has fallen substantially from early February and late January levels. Berkshire's U-turn on the shares is likely one...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ChipMOS: Semiconductor Packaging & Testing Signs of Recovery, Cheap Through Cycle

The company sees 1Q23E as the bottom for its performance, followed by a 2Q23E rebound. However, it says it believes the Memory industry may take...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AMAT Results Imply Longer Memory Weakness, Berkshire's U-Turn on TSMC

Applied Materials results well received by the market, however provided some caveates in terms of how fast the Memory chip industry recovery will...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Holding Despite Buffett Exit, UMC Discount Opens Up

TSMC - Premium holding up despite Berkshire investment sale news. We maintain a model on the company. UMC ADR discount represents a decent...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest Key Results Add More Expectations for a 2H23E Turnaround

Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)