Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for Thailand's SET50 index rebalance in December 2023.</li>
<li>At present, I see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmt-network-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8581:1" rel="noopener">JMT Network Services (JMT TB)</a> as an expected ADD and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/central-plaza-hotel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18213:1" rel="noopener">Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB)</a> as an expected DEL.</li>
<li>Separately, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> is two trading days away from skipping the MSM list in August 2023 and avoiding deletion in the December 2023 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for Thailand's SET50 index rebalance in December 2023.
At present, I see JMT Network Services (JMT TB) as an expected ADD and Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB) as an expected DEL.
Separately, Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) is two trading days away from skipping the MSM list in August 2023 and avoiding deletion in the December 2023 rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 23: JMT Network Addition and Centel Plaza Deletion Likely

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Thailand has finally had Mr. Sretha Thavisin as the 30th Prime Minister (PM) of Thailand on 22-August.</li>
<li>The PTP decided to betray its voters to cross  the aisle to join the conservative side.</li>
<li>We believe the potential surge in the Thai stock performance should be the time to de-risk.</li>
</ul>


Thailand has finally had Mr. Sretha Thavisin as the 30th Prime Minister (PM) of Thailand on 22-August.
The PTP decided to betray its voters to cross  the aisle to join the conservative side.
We believe the potential surge in the Thai stock performance should be the time to de-risk.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Big C Supercenter / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/big-c-supercenter-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16801:1" rel="noopener">Big C Supercenter (BIGC TB)</a>  is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO. </li>
<li>Big C is engaged in modern retail business and wholesale and trade support business. As of Dec 22, it had 1,651 retail stores in Thailand</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Big C Supercenter (BIGC TB)  is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO. 
Big C is engaged in modern retail business and wholesale and trade support business. As of Dec 22, it had 1,651 retail stores in Thailand
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Big C Retail Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Hasn't Recovered from COVID

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/big-c-supercenter-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16801:1" rel="noopener">Big C Supercenter (BIGC TB)</a> is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO. </li>
<li>Big C is engaged in modern retail business and wholesale and trade support business. As of Dec 22, it had 1,651 retail stores in Thailand</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company background and the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Big C Supercenter (BIGC TB) is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO. 
Big C is engaged in modern retail business and wholesale and trade support business. As of Dec 22, it had 1,651 retail stores in Thailand
In this note, we talk about the company background and the positive aspects of the deal.


Big C Retail Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has a Strong Presence

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. </li>
<li>The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).</li>
<li>The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).</li>
</ul>


In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. 
The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).
The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).


MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Thailand

Central Plaza Hotel Public Company Limited owns and manages hotels and quick service restaurants. The Company operates its hotels under the banner of Centara Hotels & Resorts and franchises western and Japanese quick service restaurants.

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Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB)

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 23: JMT Network Addition and Centel Plaza Deletion Likely

If you believe deletions fears have been factored into DELTA's share price, getting LONG DELTA vs the SET 50 index could be an interesting trade...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Thailand : The Empire Strikes Back

Thai politics entered an uncharted territory where many voters view the current coalition as a betrayal of their trust and we believe the surge in...

Bondcritic

Big C Retail Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Hasn't Recovered from COVID

Big C Supercenter (BIGC TB) is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO. In this note we talk about the not-so-positive aspects...

Sumeet Singh

Big C Retail Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has a Strong Presence

Big C Supercenter (BIGC TB) is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO. In this note, we talk about the postive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh

MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Signs continue to point to a topping $DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. $EAFE). Many ideas in China/Hong...

Vermilion Research

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