Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US: Hotel demand grow steadily in 1st week of September, with leisure travel being the main driver(+/+)</li>
<li>AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: Pre-registrations for iPhone 16 series in China well below prior models.(-/+/+)</li>
<li>AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: Huawei Mate XT receives positive commentary for design (-/-/+)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US: Hotel demand grow steadily in 1st week of September, with leisure travel being the main driver(+/+)
AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: Pre-registrations for iPhone 16 series in China well below prior models.(-/+/+)
AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK: Huawei Mate XT receives positive commentary for design (-/-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/1211 HK/9863 HK/NIO US/ LI US

Equity Bottom-Up

Atour Lifestyle Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Atour (ATAT) reported C2Q24 revenue 2.2%/8.3% higher than our est./cons., and non-GAAP NI 6.8%/12.3% higher than our est./ cons, driven by stronger hotel supply chain sales and better retail efficiency.</li>
<li>We keep 2024 revenue growth estimate at 53% YoY vs. the uplift company guidance at 48%-52% YoY. Potential catalysts are stronger off-season travel,old hotel renovation scheme, and new brand launch.</li>
<li>We keep TP unchanged at US$36/ADS and maintain the BUY rating.</li>
</ul>


Atour (ATAT) reported C2Q24 revenue 2.2%/8.3% higher than our est./cons., and non-GAAP NI 6.8%/12.3% higher than our est./ cons, driven by stronger hotel supply chain sales and better retail efficiency.
We keep 2024 revenue growth estimate at 53% YoY vs. the uplift company guidance at 48%-52% YoY. Potential catalysts are stronger off-season travel,old hotel renovation scheme, and new brand launch.
We keep TP unchanged at US$36/ADS and maintain the BUY rating.


[Atour (ATAT US, BUY, TP US$36) Review]: Retail Business Bigger and Longer than Market Thinks

<ul>
<li>1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume grew ~28% y-o-y (+)</li>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US: Hotel industry showcased strong performance in the last week of August due to eased base effect.(+/+)</li>
<li>Macro Update: The mortgage interest rate for existing loans may be further reduced, releasing at least RMB200 billion of residents' funds annually, bodes well for consumption in China(+)</li>
</ul>


1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume grew ~28% y-o-y (+)
ATAT US/TCOM US: Hotel industry showcased strong performance in the last week of August due to eased base effect.(+/+)
Macro Update: The mortgage interest rate for existing loans may be further reduced, releasing at least RMB200 billion of residents' funds annually, bodes well for consumption in China(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/ATAT US/TCOM US/9926 HK/Macro Update

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 2Q24, total revenue increased by 14% YoY and hotel booking revenue increased by 20%.</li>
<li>We believe the company has been riding on the recovery of the travel market and will see historical high quarter in 3Q24.</li>
<li>We also believe the stock still has an upside of 18% after one day’s surge.</li>
</ul>


In 2Q24, total revenue increased by 14% YoY and hotel booking revenue increased by 20%.
We believe the company has been riding on the recovery of the travel market and will see historical high quarter in 3Q24.
We also believe the stock still has an upside of 18% after one day’s surge.


Trip.com (9961 HK): Stock Surged After 2Q24 Result, Upside Narrowed to 18%

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>JD US/1810 HK/BABA US: Government insider says home appliance subsidies to be fully disbursed by end of August (+)</li>
<li>JD US/2618 HK/PDD US/BABA US: JD adjusts its algorithm to improve traffic of low price and fast shipping products (+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>BABA US: Alibaba launches demo of LLM support for mathematical reasoning based on sketches (+)</li>
</ul>


JD US/1810 HK/BABA US: Government insider says home appliance subsidies to be fully disbursed by end of August (+)
JD US/2618 HK/PDD US/BABA US: JD adjusts its algorithm to improve traffic of low price and fast shipping products (+/+/-/-)
BABA US: Alibaba launches demo of LLM support for mathematical reasoning based on sketches (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA US/2618 HK/PDD US/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK/TCOM US

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Trip.com (TCOM US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/1211 HK/9863 HK/NIO US/ LI US

Hotel demand in the US is increasing due to leisure travel, while pre-registrations for the iPhone 16 series in China are lower than previous...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Atour (ATAT US, BUY, TP US$36) Review]: Retail Business Bigger and Longer than Market Thinks

Atour (ATAT) beats revenue and non-GAAP NI estimates, driven by hotel supply chain sales and retail efficiency. Potential growth catalysts include...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/ATAT US/TCOM US/9926 HK/Macro Update

Weekly parcel volume in HK and the US grew by 28%, the hotel industry in the US showed strong performance, and China may see a boost in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Trip.com (9961 HK): Stock Surged After 2Q24 Result, Upside Narrowed to 18%

In 2Q24, total revenue increased by 14% YoY. We believe the company has been riding on the recovery of the travel market. We also believe the stock...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA US/2618 HK/PDD US/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK/TCOM US

Government insider says home appliance subsidies to be fully disbursed by end of August, JD adjusts algorithm for low price products, Alibaba...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/AAPL US/1810 HK/981 HK/XPEV US/1211 HK/9863 HK/NIO US/ LI US

​Hotel demand in the US is increasing due to leisure travel, while pre-registrations for the iPhone 16 series in China are lower than previous...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Atour (ATAT US, BUY, TP US$36) Review]: Retail Business Bigger and Longer than Market Thinks

​Atour (ATAT) beats revenue and non-GAAP NI estimates, driven by hotel supply chain sales and retail efficiency. Potential growth catalysts include...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/ATAT US/TCOM US/9926 HK/Macro Update

​Weekly parcel volume in HK and the US grew by 28%, the hotel industry in the US showed strong performance, and China may see a boost in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Trip.com (9961 HK): Stock Surged After 2Q24 Result, Upside Narrowed to 18%

In 2Q24, total revenue increased by 14% YoY. We believe the company has been riding on the recovery of the travel market. We also believe the stock...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA US/2618 HK/PDD US/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK/TCOM US

​Government insider says home appliance subsidies to be fully disbursed by end of August, JD adjusts algorithm for low price products, Alibaba...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hotel demand in the US is increasing due to leisure travel, while pre-registrations for the iPhone 16 series in China are lower than previous...

Atour (ATAT) beats revenue and non-GAAP NI estimates, driven by hotel supply chain sales and retail efficiency. Potential growth catalysts include...

Weekly parcel volume in HK and the US grew by 28%, the hotel industry in the US showed strong performance, and China may see a boost in...

Government insider says home appliance subsidies to be fully disbursed by end of August, JD adjusts algorithm for low price products, Alibaba...