Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>’s decision to replace the long time CFO Maggie Wu doesn’t seem like a reason for investors to panic sell.</li>
<li>She will continue to serve the company as an executive director and continue to be involved in the business.</li>
<li>Also, the fact that she is replaced by her protégé, Toby Xu seems like an indication that the top management is still happy with how financials are handled.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba Group (9988 HK)’s decision to replace the long time CFO Maggie Wu doesn’t seem like a reason for investors to panic sell.
She will continue to serve the company as an executive director and continue to be involved in the business.
Also, the fact that she is replaced by her protégé, Toby Xu seems like an indication that the top management is still happy with how financials are handled.


Alibaba Management Shake-Up: Long-Time CFO Maggie Wu Replaced, No Panicking Necessary

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

SenseTime Group  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (1475539D HK)</a> is the largest AI software company in Asia as measured by revenue in 2020. It is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$770 million.  </li>
<li>The fundamentals are mixed as high growth is accompanied by high customer concentration, an uncertain path to profitability, cash burn and moral concerns around “ethnic profiling software”. </li>
<li>Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



SenseTime Group (1475539D HK) is the largest AI software company in Asia as measured by revenue in 2020. It is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$770 million.  
The fundamentals are mixed as high growth is accompanied by high customer concentration, an uncertain path to profitability, cash burn and moral concerns around “ethnic profiling software”. 
Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass. 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. </li>
<li>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-needs-to-come-at-a-discount" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Weibo Secondary Offering - Needs to come at a discount</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the deal pricing and structure.</li>
</ul>


Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. 
We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, Weibo Secondary Offering - Needs to come at a discount.
In this note, we'll talk about the deal pricing and structure.


Weibo Secondary Listing - Going Down the Autohome Route

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/so-young-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28025:1" rel="noopener">So-Young (SY US)</a> has announced a preliminary non-binding proposal from its chairman, Xing Jin, of $5.30/ADS - a 22.7% premium to last close. </li>
<li>Xing Jin controls 83.9% of the voting power. If a firm Offer unfolds, which should involve a long-form merger, this is effectively done. </li>
<li>The pressure on Chinese stocks in the US to go private or change listing venue by 2024 is still on.</li>
</ul>



So-Young (SY US) has announced a preliminary non-binding proposal from its chairman, Xing Jin, of $5.30/ADS - a 22.7% premium to last close. 
Xing Jin controls 83.9% of the voting power. If a firm Offer unfolds, which should involve a long-form merger, this is effectively done. 
The pressure on Chinese stocks in the US to go private or change listing venue by 2024 is still on.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cloud-village-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33412:1" rel="noopener">Cloud Village (CLV HK)</a> is the second-largest online music platform after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27255:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music (TME US)</a> in China. It has launched its IPO to raise $400 million at the IPO mid-point.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloud-village-netease-music-ipo-not-yet-a-sound-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:61441" rel="noopener">Cloud Village (NetEase Music) IPO: Not yet a Sound Investment</a>, we stated that the 9M21 update is underwhelming with slowing growth and a marginal decline in losses. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



Cloud Village (CLV HK) is the second-largest online music platform after Tencent Music (TME US) in China. It has launched its IPO to raise $400 million at the IPO mid-point.
In Cloud Village (NetEase Music) IPO: Not yet a Sound Investment, we stated that the 9M21 update is underwhelming with slowing growth and a marginal decline in losses. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. 


Cloud Village (NetEase Music) IPO: Valuation Insights

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

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Baidu (BIDU US)

Alibaba Management Shake-Up: Long-Time CFO Maggie Wu Replaced, No Panicking Necessary

Maggie Wu is replaced by her protégé, Toby Xu. This seems like an indication that the top management is still happy with how financials are...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

SenseTime IPO Initiation: Big Brother

SenseTime is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$770 million. Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO...

Arun George

Weibo Secondary Listing - Going Down the Autohome Route

Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we will talk about the deal pricing and structure.

Sumeet Singh

So-Young's Low-Balled Proposal

How the regulator assesses such a deal, and the timing thereon, is indeterminate. But So-Young is very beaten up. Buying around here is probably...

David Blennerhassett

Cloud Village (NetEase Music) IPO: Valuation Insights

Cloud Village has launched its IPO to raise $400 million at the IPO mid-point. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive....

Arun George

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