Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

We examine interest coverage in the corporate sector for several countries in Asia; given the broad range of interest coverage across Asia by country and by sector, simple averages are hugely misleading.What matters from the perspective of a bank analysis, is how prominently debt-laden companies feature with low levels of interest cover. This is where the analysis can be helpful in considering the outlook for NPL formation and credit costs.<div class="content-highlight"> India stands out in absolute terms, but also in the…</div>

We examine interest coverage in the corporate sector for several countries in Asia; given the broad range of interest coverage across Asia by country and by sector, simple averages are hugely misleading.What matters from the perspective of a bank analysis, is how prominently debt-laden companies feature with low levels of interest cover. This is where the analysis can be helpful in considering the outlook for NPL formation and credit costs. India stands out in absolute terms, but also in the…

Asia - Interest Coverage Data Is Dire for India, and China

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

A surprisingly poor employment report in the US became the central focus among investors across the globe on Friday. In May the US added just 38,000 jobs, well under the expected 156,000.A poor jobs report has triggered widespread concerns that a weak external environment is starting to feed through to infect the US economy. These concerns reflect the risk of what we define as a ‘bad de-polarization’ playing out in the global economy.Currently the global economy is extremely polarized (there is a large divergence between the health of the worlds strongest and weakest economies). As the global economy de-polarizes the health of the weakest economies will rise to converge with that of the strongest economies (a good de-polarization) or vice versa.

A surprisingly poor employment report in the US became the central focus among investors across the globe on Friday. In May the US added just 38,000 jobs, well under the expected 156,000.A poor jobs report has triggered widespread concerns that a weak external environment is starting to feed through to infect the US economy. These concerns reflect the risk of what we define as a ‘bad de-polarization’ playing out in the global economy.Currently the global economy is extremely polarized (there is a large divergence between the health of the worlds strongest and weakest economies). As the global economy de-polarizes the health of the weakest economies will rise to converge with that of the strongest economies (a good de-polarization) or vice versa.

Bad Jobs Report Good For Some EMs, Great For Others

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

China property sector, and within it mainly the residential sector (i.e. new developments), are an important source of demand for commodities. One of the main indicators to watch is the new starts Gross Floor Area (new starts GFA). This is a short discussion note on what we expect to happen to 'commercial residential' new starts GFA in China for 2016-2020, based on the analysis of historical data on new home sales, prices, completions, new starts and land sales. Latest data indicates a new…

China property sector, and within it mainly the residential sector (i.e. new developments), are an important source of demand for commodities. One of the main indicators to watch is the new starts Gross Floor Area (new starts GFA). This is a short discussion note on what we expect to happen to 'commercial residential' new starts GFA in China for 2016-2020, based on the analysis of historical data on new home sales, prices, completions, new starts and land sales. Latest data indicates a new…

Projecting Residential New Starts in China

Independent Insight Provider

Hao Wang, CFA

This is a quick update from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/be-aggressive-in-q1-2016-and-be-defensive-through-rest-of-2016" target="_blank">my start-of-the year call</a> for a weaker dollar and rally in commodities in Q1 and a bit of extension but reversal in Q2. Almost exactly as I wrote, the dollar (DXY) has weakened 7.9% since the high of 99.83 at the start of the year to 91.92 in early May, commodities (SPGSCI Index) has rallied 35.7% during the same period. China, which has been a center of risk since last August, has clearly seen stabilization in economy, capital outflow, and stock markets. <figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/008/126/original/2.png?1463320298" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="8126"><figcaption class="figcaption">Dollar</figcaption></figure>…

This is a quick update from my start-of-the year call for a weaker dollar and rally in commodities in Q1 and a bit of extension but reversal in Q2. Almost exactly as I wrote, the dollar (DXY) has weakened 7.9% since the high of 99.83 at the start of the year to 91.92 in early May, commodities (SPGSCI Index) has rallied 35.7% during the same period. China, which has been a center of risk since last August, has clearly seen stabilization in economy, capital outflow, and stock markets. Dollar…

Be Prepared for a Stronger Dollar in 2nd Half

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Given the recent run up in Chinese steel prices and the stock prices of producers, it is fair to ask is this being driven by increased demand for products with the coming building season and potential stimulus or by traders. All evidence points to the idea that steel price increases are driven by traders and not underlying activity. This appears to create excellent opportunity for a short play in the commodity sector and Hong Kong listed Chinese steel producers. Both steel and coal output and…

Given the recent run up in Chinese steel prices and the stock prices of producers, it is fair to ask is this being driven by increased demand for products with the coming building season and potential stimulus or by traders. All evidence points to the idea that steel price increases are driven by traders and not underlying activity. This appears to create excellent opportunity for a short play in the commodity sector and Hong Kong listed Chinese steel producers. Both steel and coal output and…

China

Fufeng Group Limited manufactures corn-based bio-chemical products utilizing fermentation technology. The Company's products include glutamic acid and xanthan gum.

China BlueChemical Ltd. operates as a developer and manufacturer of mineral fertilizers and chemicals. The Company produces urea, phosphate and compound fertilizers, and methanol, using proprietary research. China BlueChemical is a state-owned enterprise.

Nanning Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets organic and inorganic industrial chemicals.  The Company's products include chlorine and alkali products, pesticides, and disinfectants.

Nanning Chemical Industry Co., (600301 CH)

Zhejiang Transfar Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of organic fluorine and organic silicone such as water and oil repellent, pre-treating agents, dyeing auxiliaries, finishing treating auxiliaries, conning oil, and optical brightening agent.

Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co.,Ltd. manufactures chemical products. The Company produces additives, methyl maltol, ethyl maltol, liquid ammonia, ammonium bicarbonate, melamine, formaldehyde, nitric acids, and other products. Anhui Jinhe Industrial also operates import and export businesses.

Inner Mongolia Lantai Industrial Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets salt for both consumer and industrial uses.  The Company also produces metal sodium, liquid chlorine, ADC blowing agent, carotene, and other related chemicals.

Inner Mongolia Lantai Industrial (600328 CH)

Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells pesticides and other chemical materials, including herbicides and organophosphorus insecticides, organosilicon materials, and other chemicals. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also sells coal, generates electric power, and manufactures crystal products.

Cofco Biochemical Company, Ltd. develops and manufactures citric acid, citrate products, related byproducts, and cooking oil.

Shanghai PRET Composites Co.,Ltd. develops, manufactures and sales modified plastics and composites material auto-parts.

Tangshan Sanyou Chemical Industries Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets basic chemical products, including soda ash, food additives, and other related products.  The Company also operates in import/export trading.

Tangshan Sanyou Chemical Industries Co (600409 CH)

Scientex Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries manufactures polyvinyl chloride (PVC), polyurethane leather sheetings, packaging materials, bricks, and automotive parts.  Scientex also operates in property investment, development, and leasing, as well as deals in securities.

Teijin Ltd manufactures polyester and other fibers including nylon, acetate, aramid, and polyvinyl chloride for apparel and industrial materials.  Teijin also makes polyester films used in advanced magnetic media and electronics equipment through a joint venture with Dupont.  The Company also produces pharmaceuticals, medical products, and information system equipment.

Kronos Worldwide, Inc. produces titanium dioxide pigments.  The Company's products are used to whiten, brighten, and add opacity to thousands of commonly used products, such as paints, plastics, inks, and cosmetics.

LINTEC Corporation manufactures and markets adhesive products and paper.  The Company's pressure-sensitive adhesives are used in a wide range of applications such as labeling, sealing, and packaging, as well as marking and window filming in the architecture and automotive industries.  Lintec also produces packaging, labeling, and printing machines.

E.I.D. - Parry (India) Limited is a diversified manufacturer of fertilizers, pesticides, sugar, ceramics, electronics and seeds.  The Company is also diversifying into the manufacture of organic fertilizers, bio-pesticides, acetic acid, wall tiles and horticultural activities.

NIPPON KAYAKU CO., LTD. is a diversified chemical producer.  The Company manufactures pharmaceuticals, dyestuffs, agrochemicals, explosives and synthetic resins.  The Company also produces airbag inflators.

Batu Kawan Berhad is an investment holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures chemicals and methyl chloride. Batu Kawan also provides general transport and haulage services, leases storage warehouse, and provides money lending services.

TOKAI CARBON CO., LTD. produces carbon-based industrial products such as carbon black for various rubber products.  The Company also manufactures high-pressured gases and industrial electric furnaces.

FUJIMI INCORPORATED manufactures silicon wafer polishing materials.  The Company also produces mirror surface finishing materials and other related products.

Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited manufactures and supplies amines and amine-based chemicals to the pharmaceutical, agrochemical, rubber chemical, and water treatment industries. The Company's products include aliphatic amines, amine derivatives, and fine chemicals. The Company also has a bioprocess technology division which conducts research in the field of industrial biotechnology.

Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company Limited processes crude oil into a broad range of synthetic fibers, resins and plastics, intermediate petrochemical products and petroleum products.

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Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical (338 HK)

Asia - Interest Coverage Data Is Dire for India, and China

We examine interest coverage in the corporate sector for several countries in Asia; given the broad range of interest coverage across Asia by...

Daniel Tabbush

Bad Jobs Report Good For Some EMs, Great For Others

A surprisingly poor employment report in the US became the central focus among investors across the globe on Friday. In May the US added just...

David Riedel

Projecting Residential New Starts in China

China property sector, and within it mainly the residential sector (i.e. new developments), are an important source of demand for commodities. One...

Robert Ciemniak

Be Prepared for a Stronger Dollar in 2nd Half

This is a quick update from my start-of-the year call for a weaker dollar and rally in commodities in Q1 and a bit of extension but reversal in Q2....

Hao Wang, CFA

The Future of Chinese Steel Prices

Given the recent run up in Chinese steel prices and the stock prices of producers, it is fair to ask is this being driven by increased demand for...

Christopher Balding

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