Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>NetEase's 2024 second quarter earnings report revealed considerable strategic progress, although accompanied by some operational challenges typical for a growing enterprise.</li><li>The company reported a total revenue of RMB 25.5 billion, indicating a 6% year-over-year increase, driven largely by the success in its gaming division and expanded efforts in international markets.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

NetEase's 2024 second quarter earnings report revealed considerable strategic progress, although accompanied by some operational challenges typical for a growing enterprise.The company reported a total revenue of RMB 25.5 billion, indicating a 6% year-over-year increase, driven largely by the success in its gaming division and expanded efforts in international markets.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

NetEase Inc.: An Expanding Game Portfolio with Worldwide Reach! - Major Drivers

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>NetEase reported C2Q24 top line, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in line, (5.6%) and (7.3%) vs. our estimates, and in line, (4.0%) and (5.5%) vs. consensus. </li>
<li>We believe game growth will materially accelerate in C2H24 and 2025, based on our projection for Naraka Mobile, Where Winds Meet and the two Marvel games. </li>
<li>We keep TP of US$122 unchanged and maintain BUY .</li>
</ul>


NetEase reported C2Q24 top line, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in line, (5.6%) and (7.3%) vs. our estimates, and in line, (4.0%) and (5.5%) vs. consensus. 
We believe game growth will materially accelerate in C2H24 and 2025, based on our projection for Naraka Mobile, Where Winds Meet and the two Marvel games. 
We keep TP of US$122 unchanged and maintain BUY .


[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, TP US$122) Review]: Growth Will Materially Accelerate in C2H24 and 2025

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>NetEase reported inline 2Q24 results: total revenue grew by 6% YoY to RMB25.5bn, in line with our/consensus estimate of RMB25.1/26.1bn; operating profit grew by 15% YoY to RMB7.0bn, vs our/consensus estimate of RMB6.7/7.2bn.</li><li>Looking ahead, we expect game revenue growth to bottom out and reaccelerate in 2H24E, underpinned by the resilient performance of legacy titles, incremental revenue contribution from new titles and the return of Blizzard’s game portfolio.</li><li>We maintain our FY24-26E total revenue forecast largely unchanged. We fine-tune our SOTP-derived target price to US$130.0 (previous: US$131.5). Maintain BUY.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

NetEase reported inline 2Q24 results: total revenue grew by 6% YoY to RMB25.5bn, in line with our/consensus estimate of RMB25.1/26.1bn; operating profit grew by 15% YoY to RMB7.0bn, vs our/consensus estimate of RMB6.7/7.2bn.Looking ahead, we expect game revenue growth to bottom out and reaccelerate in 2H24E, underpinned by the resilient performance of legacy titles, incremental revenue contribution from new titles and the return of Blizzard’s game portfolio.We maintain our FY24-26E total revenue forecast largely unchanged. We fine-tune our SOTP-derived target price to US$130.0 (previous: US$131.5). Maintain BUY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NetEase (NTES US) - Intact Quality Game Portfolio Despite Short-Term Growth Deceleration

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


<ul>
<li>Whilst the Chinese online games market has struggled since 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a> has continued to gain revenue market share driven by the success of its mobile titles.</li>
<li>Future revenue growth will depend on the continued success of NetEase’s legacy titles and its robust pipeline of upcoming releases, including several highly anticipated launches.</li>
<li>NetEase trades nearly 2 standard deviations below its 5-year historic average PE trading range, a level that has proved to be a very good entry point.</li>
</ul>


Whilst the Chinese online games market has struggled since 2023, NetEase (9999 HK) has continued to gain revenue market share driven by the success of its mobile titles.
Future revenue growth will depend on the continued success of NetEase’s legacy titles and its robust pipeline of upcoming releases, including several highly anticipated launches.
NetEase trades nearly 2 standard deviations below its 5-year historic average PE trading range, a level that has proved to be a very good entry point.


NetEase (9999-HK): Market Share Winner, Supported by Buybacks and Dividends

China

NetEase, Inc. is an Internet technology company that develops applications, services and other Internet technologies in China. The Company's core businesses consist of email service, web portal and online entertainment, including online gaming services. NetEase also offers online advertising, search, mobile applications and e-commerce.

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NetEase Inc (NTES US)

NetEase Inc.: An Expanding Game Portfolio with Worldwide Reach! - Major Drivers

NetEase's 2024 second quarter earnings report revealed considerable strategic progress, although accompanied by some operational challenges...

Baptista Research

[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, TP US$122) Review]: Growth Will Materially Accelerate in C2H24 and 2025

NetEase's Q2 results meet expectations, with projected game growth in the second half of 2024 and 2025. Analysts maintain a BUY rating with a...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase (NTES US) - Intact Quality Game Portfolio Despite Short-Term Growth Deceleration

We maintain our FY24-26E total revenue forecast largely unchanged. We fine-tune our SOTP-derived target price to US$130.0 (previous: US$131.5)....

CMB International

Screening for GEMs: November 2024

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

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NetEase Inc.: An Expanding Game Portfolio with Worldwide Reach! - Major Drivers

NetEase's 2024 second quarter earnings report revealed considerable strategic progress, although accompanied by some operational challenges...

Baptista Research

[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, TP US$122) Review]: Growth Will Materially Accelerate in C2H24 and 2025

​NetEase's Q2 results meet expectations, with projected game growth in the second half of 2024 and 2025. Analysts maintain a BUY rating with a...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase (NTES US) - Intact Quality Game Portfolio Despite Short-Term Growth Deceleration

We maintain our FY24-26E total revenue forecast largely unchanged. We fine-tune our SOTP-derived target price to US$130.0 (previous: US$131.5)....

CMB International

Screening for GEMs: November 2024

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

NetEase (9999-HK): Market Share Winner, Supported by Buybacks and Dividends

In this insight we analyse the Chinese online games market, NetEase’s revenue growth outlook, current valuation level, and shareholder returns.

Wium Malan, CFA

NetEase's Q2 results meet expectations, with projected game growth in the second half of 2024 and 2025. Analysts maintain a BUY rating with a...