Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 28 April 2022, with full-year earnings, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujitsu-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16968:1" rel="noopener">Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)</a> announced a buyback programme to buy back up to 12mm shares (6.11% of shares out) for up to ¥150bn</li>
<li>That was when the shares were ¥18,540. The shares popped 10% in 2 days. Then fell 25% into end-September. Yesterday, they announced they'd bought back 1.9mm shares in November.</li>
<li>Those were the first shares bought back under the Programme. And that leaves 4 months and a lot of stock to buy. </li>
</ul>


On 28 April 2022, with full-year earnings, Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP) announced a buyback programme to buy back up to 12mm shares (6.11% of shares out) for up to ¥150bn
That was when the shares were ¥18,540. The shares popped 10% in 2 days. Then fell 25% into end-September. Yesterday, they announced they'd bought back 1.9mm shares in November.
Those were the first shares bought back under the Programme. And that leaves 4 months and a lot of stock to buy. 


Fujitsu (6702) Buyback Just Getting Started

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>JIP, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>'s preferred bidder, is reported to be under pressure from co-investors to cut its offer price. Securing financing continues to be troublesome.  </li>
<li>An offer valuing Toshiba less than JPY2.2 trillion would face pushback from the special committee, let alone shareholders. There are no signs of a JIC/Bain coming to the rescue. </li>
<li>While the Toshiba/peers price ratio remains undemanding compared to historical ratios, Toshiba looks expensive vs peers on multiples. With short-term newsflow likely to be incrementally negative, remain on the sidelines.</li>
</ul>


JIP, Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)'s preferred bidder, is reported to be under pressure from co-investors to cut its offer price. Securing financing continues to be troublesome.  
An offer valuing Toshiba less than JPY2.2 trillion would face pushback from the special committee, let alone shareholders. There are no signs of a JIC/Bain coming to the rescue. 
While the Toshiba/peers price ratio remains undemanding compared to historical ratios, Toshiba looks expensive vs peers on multiples. With short-term newsflow likely to be incrementally negative, remain on the sidelines.


Toshiba (6502 JP): JIP's Privatisation Bid Is Floundering

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Toshiba-in-turmoil/Toshiba-buyout-Japanese-fund-submits-15bn-proposal" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei Asia</a> reports that JIP has submitted a formal proposal to privatise <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> for about JPY2.2 trillion (US$15 billion) based on “<em>Toshiba's current share price.</em>” </li>
<li>JIP’s offer is below expectations of around a JPY6,000 bid which is likely driven by the inability to secure sufficient debt financing. JIP remains in negotiations with banks. </li>
<li>While there is a risk that JIP will be unable to improve its offer to secure Board approval, the downside is low as Toshiba/peers' current price ratio is attractive. </li>
</ul>


The Nikkei Asia reports that JIP has submitted a formal proposal to privatise Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) for about JPY2.2 trillion (US$15 billion) based on “Toshiba's current share price.” 
JIP’s offer is below expectations of around a JPY6,000 bid which is likely driven by the inability to secure sufficient debt financing. JIP remains in negotiations with banks. 
While there is a risk that JIP will be unable to improve its offer to secure Board approval, the downside is low as Toshiba/peers' current price ratio is attractive. 


Toshiba (6502 JP): JIP Lobs a Lower-Than-Expected Offer

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> raised around US$463m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares.</li>
<li>Socionext is a fabless semiconductor provider which commenced operations after integrating the system on a chip (SoC) businesses of Fujitsu Semiconductor Limited and Panasonic Holding Corporation.  </li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Socionext (6526 JP) raised around US$463m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares.
Socionext is a fabless semiconductor provider which commenced operations after integrating the system on a chip (SoC) businesses of Fujitsu Semiconductor Limited and Panasonic Holding Corporation.  
In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Socionext IPO Trading - Upsized IPO with Strong Demand. Peers Inched Downwards, but Upside Remains

<ul>
<li>On Friday, Toshiba investors got two bits of news which have been taken as non-bullish.</li>
<li>Affiliate and former subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia (6600 JP)</a> announced it would cut wafer input volume by 30% starting in October, and Toshiba's announcement on the Privatisation process status implied some delay.</li>
<li>Today the shares are getting hit vs Peers. It's still a problem of lots of moving parts. </li>
</ul>


On Friday, Toshiba investors got two bits of news which have been taken as non-bullish.
Affiliate and former subsidiary Kioxia (6600 JP) announced it would cut wafer input volume by 30% starting in October, and Toshiba's announcement on the Privatisation process status implied some delay.
Today the shares are getting hit vs Peers. It's still a problem of lots of moving parts. 


Japan

Fujitsu Ltd manufactures semiconductor, computer, and communication equipment. The Company provides comprehensive information technology, network and telecommunication solutions, and Internet services.

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Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)

Fujitsu (6702) Buyback Just Getting Started

Fujitsu announced their buyback many months ago (late April 2022) but bought nothing til last month when they were 15%. Expect 11-15% of volume...

Travis Lundy

Toshiba (6502 JP): JIP's Privatisation Bid Is Floundering

While Toshiba/peers price ratio remains undemanding compared to historical ratios, Toshiba looks expensive vs peers on multiples. With newsflow...

Arun George

Toshiba (6502 JP): JIP Lobs a Lower-Than-Expected Offer

While there is a risk that JIP will be unable to improve its offer to secure Board approval, the downside is low as Toshiba/peers' current price...

Arun George

Socionext IPO Trading - Upsized IPO with Strong Demand. Peers Inched Downwards, but Upside Remains

Socionext (6526 JP) raised around US$463m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares. In this note we will talk about the trading...

Clarence Chu

Two Bits of Non-Bullish Toshiba News

Toshiba's possible deal timeline extended just as semi sector troubles start to make themselves better-known. Not bullish. But not hugely bearish....

Travis Lundy

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