Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. </li>
<li>Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.</li>
<li>There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.</li>
</ul>


Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. 
Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.
There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.


Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Korea's majority party plans to amend the Capital Markets Act to base listed companies' merger ratios on intrinsic rather than market value, dubbed the "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law."</li>
<li>Other conglomerates, like Hanwha and Hyundai Motor Group, may execute mergers just before this amendment.</li>
<li>We should expect shareholder-favorable merger ratios. So, we should position in such companies before announcements, ideally just before the new amendment's enforcement.</li>
</ul>


Korea's majority party plans to amend the Capital Markets Act to base listed companies' merger ratios on intrinsic rather than market value, dubbed the "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law."
Other conglomerates, like Hanwha and Hyundai Motor Group, may execute mergers just before this amendment.
We should expect shareholder-favorable merger ratios. So, we should position in such companies before announcements, ideally just before the new amendment's enforcement.


Trading Opportunities Arising from the Enactment of The "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law"

<ul>
<li>Finding a trading entry point during a stock dividend event is tough, but locally, stock prices often rise post-ex-rights date and stabilize after listing, over 70% of the time.</li>
<li>There’s speculation that local flow trading, mainly driven by local prop traders, might target this pattern in Glovis’s stock dividend as well.</li>
<li>While I wouldn’t recommend banking on this probabilistic trading setup, it's important to be aware that this could significantly impact stock movements from the ex-rights date to the listing date.</li>
</ul>


Finding a trading entry point during a stock dividend event is tough, but locally, stock prices often rise post-ex-rights date and stabilize after listing, over 70% of the time.
There’s speculation that local flow trading, mainly driven by local prop traders, might target this pattern in Glovis’s stock dividend as well.
While I wouldn’t recommend banking on this probabilistic trading setup, it's important to be aware that this could significantly impact stock movements from the ex-rights date to the listing date.


Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis's Stock Dividend Event

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Daishin Securities

Daishin Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The CEO Investor Day scheduled to be held this Friday (June 28).</li>
<li>Long-term strategies for existing/new businesses, financial goals, shareholder return policy likely to be announced.</li>
<li>2H24 earnings to meet expectations. Earnings should steadily improve through 2H24 and FY2025.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


The CEO Investor Day scheduled to be held this Friday (June 28).
Long-term strategies for existing/new businesses, financial goals, shareholder return policy likely to be announced.
2H24 earnings to meet expectations. Earnings should steadily improve through 2H24 and FY2025.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hyundai Glovis: Anticipating CEO Investor Day

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dn-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44474:1" rel="noopener">DN Solutions (298440 KS)</a> is looking to raise up to KRW 1,573bn (US$1.08bn), valuing the company at KRW 5.66 trillion (US$3.9bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The highest probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dn-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44474:1" rel="noopener">DN Solutions</a> being added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI200 Index</a> is at the June 2026 rebalance. The stock needs to move 60% higher to be added in December 2025.</li>
<li>Inclusion in global indices could commence in August/November and will depend on institutional investor lock-up schedules. Flows are small unless the stock moves higher and is included in bigger indices.</li>
</ul>



DN Solutions (298440 KS) is looking to raise up to KRW 1,573bn (US$1.08bn), valuing the company at KRW 5.66 trillion (US$3.9bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.
The highest probability of DN Solutions being added to the KOSPI200 Index is at the June 2026 rebalance. The stock needs to move 60% higher to be added in December 2025.
Inclusion in global indices could commence in August/November and will depend on institutional investor lock-up schedules. Flows are small unless the stock moves higher and is included in bigger indices.


DN Solutions IPO: Index Inclusion Timing Depends on Lock-Up Expiry Schedule

South Korea

Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd. provides domestic and international logistic services. The Company's services include domestic transportation, storage, packaging, vehicle logistic, and logistic consulting.  GLOVIS also runs automobile auction market for used vehicle.

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Hyundai Glovis (086280 KS)

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Trading Opportunities Arising from the Enactment of The "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law"

This post explores trading opportunities expected from the upcoming "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law," as labeled by the local market.

Sanghyun Park

Potential Recurrence of Local Flow Trade Patterns in Hyundai Glovis's Stock Dividend Event

This post analyzes the potential recurrence of local flow trade patterns, mainly driven by local proprietary traders, in Hyundai Glovis's 100%...

Sanghyun Park

Hyundai Glovis: Anticipating CEO Investor Day

The CEO Investor Day scheduled to be held this Friday (June 28). Long-term strategies for existing/new businesses, financial goals, shareholder...

Daishin Securities

DN Solutions IPO: Index Inclusion Timing Depends on Lock-Up Expiry Schedule

DN Solutions could raise up to US$1.08bn, valuing the company at US$3.9bn at the top of the range. Inclusion in global indices depends on the lock...

Brian Freitas

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