Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T announced the cancellation of its entire treasury shares over the next five years. It has 24.7 million shares of common shares (accounting for 13.2% of common shares outstanding).</li>
<li>We like a pair trade between Samsung C&amp;T (go long) and Samsung Electronics (go short). Samsung C&amp;T's share cancellation is likely to have a positive impact on its shares.</li>
<li>The recent sell-down of most of its shares in TSMC by Berkshire Hathaway is also likely to be viewed negatively by some investors in Samsung Electronics. </li>
</ul>


Samsung C&amp;T announced the cancellation of its entire treasury shares over the next five years. It has 24.7 million shares of common shares (accounting for 13.2% of common shares outstanding).
We like a pair trade between Samsung C&amp;T (go long) and Samsung Electronics (go short). Samsung C&amp;T's share cancellation is likely to have a positive impact on its shares.
The recent sell-down of most of its shares in TSMC by Berkshire Hathaway is also likely to be viewed negatively by some investors in Samsung Electronics. 


A Pair Trade Between Samsung C&T and Samsung Electronics Amid Big Share Cancellation at Samsung C&T

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This week we digest key takeaways from some of the latest key industry results that came out (ASE Technologies (TW), Novatek (TW), and Tokyo Electron (JP)).</li>
<li>ASE and Tokyo Electron exhibited their insulated positions during the current inventory corrections happening, delivering decent margins and beating expectations. Novatek also beat expectations.</li>
<li>Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus view, however?</li>
</ul>


This week we digest key takeaways from some of the latest key industry results that came out (ASE Technologies (TW), Novatek (TW), and Tokyo Electron (JP)).
ASE and Tokyo Electron exhibited their insulated positions during the current inventory corrections happening, delivering decent margins and beating expectations. Novatek also beat expectations.
Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus view, however?


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest Key Results Add More Expectations for a 2H23E Turnaround

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung reported 4Q22 detailed results - Semiconductor earnings evaporated and its memory subsegment likely lost money.</li>
<li>Samsung re-iterated that it would NOT cut capex despite the market downturn - Samsung appears ready to endure losses which is negative for Nanya Tech, SK Hynix, and Micron.</li>
<li>Japan and the Netherlands have joined the U.S. with chip technology restrictions for China - Hon Hai is a net winner.</li>
</ul>


Samsung reported 4Q22 detailed results - Semiconductor earnings evaporated and its memory subsegment likely lost money.
Samsung re-iterated that it would NOT cut capex despite the market downturn - Samsung appears ready to endure losses which is negative for Nanya Tech, SK Hynix, and Micron.
Japan and the Netherlands have joined the U.S. with chip technology restrictions for China - Hon Hai is a net winner.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Results; Will Bleed Competitors; Japan & Holland Join China Chip Ban

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.
Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The semiconductor revenue decline took a short break in October.</li>
<li>Spot market prices for DRAM and NAND flash have slowed their decrease.</li>
<li>These are signs that the current market collapse is slowing, although we haven't hit bottom yet.</li>
</ul>


The semiconductor revenue decline took a short break in October.
Spot market prices for DRAM and NAND flash have slowed their decrease.
These are signs that the current market collapse is slowing, although we haven't hit bottom yet.


South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest Key Results Add More Expectations for a 2H23E Turnaround

Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Results; Will Bleed Competitors; Japan & Holland Join China Chip Ban

Samsung re-iterated that it would NOT cut capex despite the market downturn - Samsung appears ready to endure losses which is negative for Nanya...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023. We highlight 33 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

Is The Semiconductor Collapse Slowing?

One week before most chip companies report revenues, the semiconductor market seems to be slowing its decline. Although the market hasn't yet hit...

Jim Handy

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A Pair Trade Between Samsung C&T and Samsung Electronics Amid Big Share Cancellation at Samsung C&T

We like a pair trade between Samsung C&T (go long) and Samsung Electronics (go short). Samsung C&T's share cancellation is likely to have a...

Douglas Kim

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest Key Results Add More Expectations for a 2H23E Turnaround

Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Results; Will Bleed Competitors; Japan & Holland Join China Chip Ban

Samsung re-iterated that it would NOT cut capex despite the market downturn - Samsung appears ready to endure losses which is negative for Nanya...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023. We highlight 33 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

Is The Semiconductor Collapse Slowing?

One week before most chip companies report revenues, the semiconductor market seems to be slowing its decline. Although the market hasn't yet hit...

Jim Handy