Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>I had the opportunity to talk about the CHIPS Act’s progress with two people at the program office.</li><li>I really think this is a great step in the right direction, and we talk about some of the misconceptions of the CHIPS program, and more.</li><li>Today will be a pretty special interview podcast, and I have Dan Kim and Hassan Khan from the CHIPS program.</li></ul>

I had the opportunity to talk about the CHIPS Act’s progress with two people at the program office.I really think this is a great step in the right direction, and we talk about some of the misconceptions of the CHIPS program, and more.Today will be a pretty special interview podcast, and I have Dan Kim and Hassan Khan from the CHIPS program.

An Interview with Dan Kim and Hassan Khan of the CHIPS Program Office

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We hosted a conference call recently with ChipMOS management; the company continues to view 1Q24 as having been the bottom for the memory and display markets.</li>
<li>Memory customers are increasing utilization further. Since ChipMOS does not significantly serve the HBM DRAM market, this indicates that previously softer non-HBM memory segments are now showing improvement.</li>
<li>Display industry increasing utilization on expectation for 2H24 large display demand strength driven by sporting events such as the Paris Olympics. ChipMOS remains well below March highs, rate as Outperform.</li>
</ul>


We hosted a conference call recently with ChipMOS management; the company continues to view 1Q24 as having been the bottom for the memory and display markets.
Memory customers are increasing utilization further. Since ChipMOS does not significantly serve the HBM DRAM market, this indicates that previously softer non-HBM memory segments are now showing improvement.
Display industry increasing utilization on expectation for 2H24 large display demand strength driven by sporting events such as the Paris Olympics. ChipMOS remains well below March highs, rate as Outperform.


TechChain Insights: Call with ChipMOS, Memory and Display Markets Color

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>South Korean Pivot:  Asia Ex-Japan investors move to overweight South Korea for the first time in our history, SK Hynix and Kia Corp among the beneficiaries. </li>
<li>India Fatigue: Despite India’s outperformance and rising fund weights, managers show caution, with nearly 2/3rds of funds underweight the benchmark.</li>
<li>China All-Time Lows: China &amp; HK fund weights have dropped significantly from 53.5% in 2020 to 34.8% today, just above a 13-year low, signaling a critical juncture for re-evaluation.</li>
</ul>


South Korean Pivot:  Asia Ex-Japan investors move to overweight South Korea for the first time in our history, SK Hynix and Kia Corp among the beneficiaries. 
India Fatigue: Despite India’s outperformance and rising fund weights, managers show caution, with nearly 2/3rds of funds underweight the benchmark.
China All-Time Lows: China &amp; HK fund weights have dropped significantly from 53.5% in 2020 to 34.8% today, just above a 13-year low, signaling a critical juncture for re-evaluation.


Active Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Top-Down Country Insights

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-kodex-top5plus-total-return-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36723:1" rel="noopener">Samsung KODEX Top5Plus Total Return ETF (315930 KS)</a> tracks the FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index and has an AUM of KRW 1,357bn (~US$1bn).</li>
<li>We currently see a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-g-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9320:1" rel="noopener">KT&amp;G Corporation (033780 KS)</a> in the index at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There is between 1-2 days of ADV to trade on the potential add and delete and smaller flows on the other index members due to capping and funding changes.</li>
</ul>


The Samsung KODEX Top5Plus Total Return ETF (315930 KS) tracks the FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index and has an AUM of KRW 1,357bn (~US$1bn).
We currently see a high probability of Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) replacing KT&amp;G Corporation (033780 KS) in the index at the June rebalance.
There is between 1-2 days of ADV to trade on the potential add and delete and smaller flows on the other index members due to capping and funding changes.


FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index Rebalance Preview: Celltrion Could Replace KT&G

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Liquid cooling market expected to double by 2025, but industry shakeout predicted by Auras chair.</li><li>Apple plans to ship over 9 million units of OLED iPad Pro, aiming to boost its market presence.</li><li>South Korea aims to enhance its IC design sector, currently holding just a 1% share of the global market.</li></ul>

Liquid cooling market expected to double by 2025, but industry shakeout predicted by Auras chair.Apple plans to ship over 9 million units of OLED iPad Pro, aiming to boost its market presence.South Korea aims to enhance its IC design sector, currently holding just a 1% share of the global market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-May-2024): Liquid cooling market to double by 2025, industry shakeout predicted.

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

An Interview with Dan Kim and Hassan Khan of the CHIPS Program Office

How the CHIPS Program office plans to divert the future of Semiconductors back to America. I had the opportunity to talk about the CHIPS Act’s...

Fabricated Knowledge

TechChain Insights: Call with ChipMOS, Memory and Display Markets Color

Management sees 1Q24 as the bottom for memory and display markets, with clients increasing utilization. Expectation for stronger large display...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Active Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Top-Down Country Insights

Asia Ex-Japan investors move to overweight South Korea, increase underweight to India, whilst China allocations are at their lowest levels in history.

Steven Holden

FnGuide Top 5 Plus Index Rebalance Preview: Celltrion Could Replace KT&G

Celltrion could replace KT&G in the FnGuide Top5 Plus Index in June. Passives will need to buy 1x ADV in Celltrion and sell 2x ADV in KT&G. There...

Brian Freitas

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-May-2024): Liquid cooling market to double by 2025, industry shakeout predicted.

Liquid cooling market poised for 2x growth by 2025, Apple aims to ship 9 million OLED iPad Pros, South Korea seeks to boost IC design sector,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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