Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<p>Toshiba was up 4.1% today as it was announced that SK Hynix would be purchasing Intel’s NAND flash and SSD businesses (but not its 3D XPoint business) for $9bn. Ostensibly the market is assuming that consolidation within the industry will raise margins and reduce volatility but this point is debatable in commodity markets as Jim Handy has repeatedly explained. On the other hand, there are negatives for Toshiba with this deal and we delve into these below.</p>

Toshiba was up 4.1% today as it was announced that SK Hynix would be purchasing Intel’s NAND flash and SSD businesses (but not its 3D XPoint business) for $9bn. Ostensibly the market is assuming that consolidation within the industry will raise margins and reduce volatility but this point is debatable in commodity markets as Jim Handy has repeatedly explained. On the other hand, there are negatives for Toshiba with this deal and we delve into these below.

Toshiba – SK Hynix’s Acquisition of Intel’s NAND Operations Hurts Kioxia’s Value

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>The Wall Street Journal today published a leak that Intel and SK hynix are in negotiations for SK hynix to acquire Intel's memory business.  This Smartkarma Insight analyzes such a sale to determine its feasibility.</p>

The Wall Street Journal today published a leak that Intel and SK hynix are in negotiations for SK hynix to acquire Intel's memory business.  This Smartkarma Insight analyzes such a sale to determine its feasibility.

Intel's Memory Business Sale.  Does It Make Sense?

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

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<p>As we head into earnings next week, we note attractive setups for Snap and Microsoft from data that came out this week, along with a very bullish presentation at Crowdstrike's user conference.</p>
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<p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p>
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As we head into earnings next week, we note attractive setups for Snap and Microsoft from data that came out this week, along with a very bullish presentation at Crowdstrike's user conference.




Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.




TMT Weekly:  3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 10/16/​​​​2020

<p>Following the appointment of Lisa Su as CEO in 2014, AMD has staged a stunning turnaround headlined by its Ryzen series of consumer-focused processors. Its recent announcement on Zen 3 cements this and raises questions for both Intel and Nividia as the (formerly?) dominant players in their respective markets. It also has implications for the Arm acquisition, which was on shaky ground already, and that is before even considering what a Xilinx acquisition could mean for the industry.</p>

Following the appointment of Lisa Su as CEO in 2014, AMD has staged a stunning turnaround headlined by its Ryzen series of consumer-focused processors. Its recent announcement on Zen 3 cements this and raises questions for both Intel and Nividia as the (formerly?) dominant players in their respective markets. It also has implications for the Arm acquisition, which was on shaky ground already, and that is before even considering what a Xilinx acquisition could mean for the industry.

Softbank – How Does AMD’s Resurgence and Xilinx Deal Impact the Nvidia-Arm Deal?

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenues increased for the second sequential month, a positive sign in a puzzling year.  All in all, it appears that the semiconductor sector is faring well despite the pandemic.  It's far too soon to call this growth a trend, though, but it currently appears that the industry is poised to grow at its historical 3.9% annual average rate.</p>

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenues increased for the second sequential month, a positive sign in a puzzling year.  All in all, it appears that the semiconductor sector is faring well despite the pandemic.  It's far too soon to call this growth a trend, though, but it currently appears that the industry is poised to grow at its historical 3.9% annual average rate.

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

Toshiba – SK Hynix’s Acquisition of Intel’s NAND Operations Hurts Kioxia’s Value

We believe the market's positive interpretation of the impact on Toshiba of the SK Hynix purchase of Intel's NAND assets is incorrect and that the...

Mio Kato

Intel's Memory Business Sale. Does It Make Sense?

The Wall Street journal today published a leak that Intel and SK hynix are in

Jim Handy

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 10/16/2020

Datapoints supportive of upside to earnings for Microsoft and Snapchat this past week, plus an ever expanding TAM justifies Crowdstrike's valuation.

Aaron Gabin

Softbank – How Does AMD’s Resurgence and Xilinx Deal Impact the Nvidia-Arm Deal?

We consider the implications of AMD's latest CPU and GPU developments, as well as its move to acquire Xilinx on other competitors such as Nvidia...

Mio Kato

August Semiconductor Sales Increase

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenue

Jim Handy

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Toshiba – SK Hynix’s Acquisition of Intel’s NAND Operations Hurts Kioxia’s Value

We believe the market's positive interpretation of the impact on Toshiba of the SK Hynix purchase of Intel's NAND assets is incorrect and that the...

Mio Kato

Intel's Memory Business Sale. Does It Make Sense?

The Wall Street journal today published a leak that Intel and SK hynix are in

Jim Handy

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 10/16/​​​​2020

Datapoints supportive of upside to earnings for Microsoft and Snapchat this past week, plus an ever expanding TAM justifies Crowdstrike's valuation.

Aaron Gabin

Softbank – How Does AMD’s Resurgence and Xilinx Deal Impact the Nvidia-Arm Deal?

We consider the implications of AMD's latest CPU and GPU developments, as well as its move to acquire Xilinx on other competitors such as Nvidia...

Mio Kato

August Semiconductor Sales Increase

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenue

Jim Handy

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 10/16/2020