Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Commercial vehicle industry in India facing challenges due to increasing discounting trend, implementation of new regulations, and economic slowdown.</li>
<li>Possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> regaining lost market share at the cost of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland (AL IN)</a>, but industry highly competitive.</li>
<li>Finance Ministry warns of El Niño conditions, leading to weaker monsoon in India, dampening auto sales.</li>
</ul>


Commercial vehicle industry in India facing challenges due to increasing discounting trend, implementation of new regulations, and economic slowdown.
Possibility of Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) regaining lost market share at the cost of Ashok Leyland (AL IN), but industry highly competitive.
Finance Ministry warns of El Niño conditions, leading to weaker monsoon in India, dampening auto sales.


India Channel Insight #50 | Commercial Vehicles - Discounts & Market Share

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> is facing challenges in the highly competitive SUV segment in India.</li>
<li>Model-Wise data indicates declining sales volumes for some of its models such as Scorpio, XUV300, and XUV700.</li>
<li>The strategy of focusing on the higher end of the SUV market may lead to confusion and loss of market share. </li>
</ul>



Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) is facing challenges in the highly competitive SUV segment in India.
Model-Wise data indicates declining sales volumes for some of its models such as Scorpio, XUV300, and XUV700.
The strategy of focusing on the higher end of the SUV market may lead to confusion and loss of market share. 


Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Cracks Widening

<ul>
<li>One of our routine channels is suggesting the possibility of some of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> 's Scorpio-N bookings being fake.</li>
<li>This channel (an online auto forum) has been a trusted source of information followed by various industry veterans including the company's chairman.</li>
<li>While the rationalisation of fake bookings as a recent industry practice could solace some, the fallacy of the bookings narrative only gets stronger. </li>
</ul>


One of our routine channels is suggesting the possibility of some of Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) 's Scorpio-N bookings being fake.
This channel (an online auto forum) has been a trusted source of information followed by various industry veterans including the company's chairman.
While the rationalisation of fake bookings as a recent industry practice could solace some, the fallacy of the bookings narrative only gets stronger. 


Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Scorpio-N Fake Bookings

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed in the Global Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>We also look forward to 2023F to see what’s expected for the major GEM economies next year.  </li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.
In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed in the Global Emerging Markets.
We also look forward to 2023F to see what’s expected for the major GEM economies next year.  


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (1905332D VN)</a>  is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming US IPO.</li>
<li>VinFast is a full-scale mobility platform focused primarily on designing and manufacturing premium EVs, electric scooters and electric buses.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



VinFast (1905332D VN)  is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming US IPO.
VinFast is a full-scale mobility platform focused primarily on designing and manufacturing premium EVs, electric scooters and electric buses.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


VinFast Auto Pre-IPO - The Negatives - ... But Starting Low

India

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. manufactures automobiles, farm equipment and automotive components. The Company's automobile products include light, medium and heavy commercial vehicles, jeep type vehicles and passenger cars. Mahindra & Mahindra also manufactures agricultural tractors, agricultural implements, internal combustion engines, industrial petrol engines, spare parts and machine tools.

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Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN)