Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> started FY24 on a strong note, with Q1FY24 revenue and net profit growing 29% and 18%, YoY, respectively, driven by North America generics business.</li>
<li>Revenue from North America generics increased 79% y/y and 26% q/q to INR32 billion, driven by new product launches, continued momentum in existing products, and favorable forex rates movement.</li>
<li>During Q1FY24, the company has launched six new products in the U.S. With a rich ANDA pipeline of 85 ANDAs, launch momentum is expected to accelerate in the current fiscal.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) started FY24 on a strong note, with Q1FY24 revenue and net profit growing 29% and 18%, YoY, respectively, driven by North America generics business.
Revenue from North America generics increased 79% y/y and 26% q/q to INR32 billion, driven by new product launches, continued momentum in existing products, and favorable forex rates movement.
During Q1FY24, the company has launched six new products in the U.S. With a rich ANDA pipeline of 85 ANDAs, launch momentum is expected to accelerate in the current fiscal.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q1FY24 Result- US Business Shines; PAT Jumps 18%

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>The Pharma companies under our coverage are likely to report aggregate Revenue/ EBITDA/PAT growth of 22.1%/50.4%/39.5% YoY in Q1FY24E.</li><li>The growth is likely to be led by value-added new launches, market share expansion, and strong momentum in the Indian market.</li><li>High double-digit growth was seen in the US market, which was led by gRevlimid and other value-added launches despite intense competition and high single-digit growth in the basic generic business. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The Pharma companies under our coverage are likely to report aggregate Revenue/ EBITDA/PAT growth of 22.1%/50.4%/39.5% YoY in Q1FY24E.The growth is likely to be led by value-added new launches, market share expansion, and strong momentum in the Indian market.High double-digit growth was seen in the US market, which was led by gRevlimid and other value-added launches despite intense competition and high single-digit growth in the basic generic business. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Zydus Lifesciences Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> recorded 32% growth in revenue to INR50B in Q4FY23, driven by 58% YoY growth in US formulation business. India business revenue grew 11% YoY.</li>
<li>US business growth was driven by volume expansion in existing products and new launches. The company has launched eight new products in the US during the quarter.</li>
<li>Going ahead, growth is expected to moderate, due to high base effect. The company expects single-digit growth in the US business in FY24, slower than 28% growth recorded in FY23.</li>
</ul>



Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) recorded 32% growth in revenue to INR50B in Q4FY23, driven by 58% YoY growth in US formulation business. India business revenue grew 11% YoY.
US business growth was driven by volume expansion in existing products and new launches. The company has launched eight new products in the US during the quarter.
Going ahead, growth is expected to moderate, due to high base effect. The company expects single-digit growth in the US business in FY24, slower than 28% growth recorded in FY23.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Q4 Result Driven by US Business; Forward Growth to Moderate

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect broad-based consolidation with $93 capping upside on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), while important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>We still recommend tactical overweight to defensives including gold miners and MSCI ACWI Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, given ACWI-US remains near the top of our expected 2023 trading range.</li>
<li>We are now starting to see broad-based improvement, particularly in Japan and India, but also in Taiwan and South Korea. Most of today's buy recommendations are cyclicals in these countries.</li>
</ul>


Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect broad-based consolidation with $93 capping upside on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), while important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
We still recommend tactical overweight to defensives including gold miners and MSCI ACWI Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, given ACWI-US remains near the top of our expected 2023 trading range.
We are now starting to see broad-based improvement, particularly in Japan and India, but also in Taiwan and South Korea. Most of today's buy recommendations are cyclicals in these countries.


Broad-Based Improvement in India, Add Exposure/Overweight. Buys: Cyclicals in Japan, India, & Taiwan

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> announced mixed Q4FY23 result, with revenue beating consensus and net profit missing expectations. Both revenue and net profit grew YoY but declined sequentially.</li>
<li>North America grew 27% YoY (but declined 17% QoQ) to INR25.3B, driven by new product launches, growing market share in certain existing products, and favorable Fx movement.</li>
<li>Revenue from India business increased 32% YoY and 14% QoQ to INR12.8B, driven by favorable price variance, new product launches including acquired/in-licensed products, and non-core brand divestments.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) announced mixed Q4FY23 result, with revenue beating consensus and net profit missing expectations. Both revenue and net profit grew YoY but declined sequentially.
North America grew 27% YoY (but declined 17% QoQ) to INR25.3B, driven by new product launches, growing market share in certain existing products, and favorable Fx movement.
Revenue from India business increased 32% YoY and 14% QoQ to INR12.8B, driven by favorable price variance, new product launches including acquired/in-licensed products, and non-core brand divestments.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Q4FY23 Result- Sequential Decline in Key Parameters

India

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited provides a complete range of pharmaceutical services. The Company manufactures bulk drugs and formulations including verapamil and cephalexin. The Company also manufactures and exports molecules such as norfloxacin, ciprofloxacin, and varieties of semi-synthetic penicillin. The Company markets its products in India and around the world.

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Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)