Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shin Kong Financial Holding / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of August 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$56bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in August was ~47%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of August 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$56bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in August was ~47%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Aug 2024: Orora, Fuji Soft, J Tower, Seven & I, Taishin/Shin Kong, PropertyGuru

Founder of Antler Capital

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The unfolding crisis is unlikely to have far-reaching impacts on Asia financial names, given their more robust deposit franchises and sector diversification.</li>
<li>That said, the Taiwanese financial holdcos do seem to be substantially more exposed than their peers in other markets owing to the USD fixed-income exposures at their life insurance units.</li>
<li>In a flight-to-quality scenario, we expect Fubon FHC to outperform the more geared Shin Kong FHC.</li>
</ul>


The unfolding crisis is unlikely to have far-reaching impacts on Asia financial names, given their more robust deposit franchises and sector diversification.
That said, the Taiwanese financial holdcos do seem to be substantially more exposed than their peers in other markets owing to the USD fixed-income exposures at their life insurance units.
In a flight-to-quality scenario, we expect Fubon FHC to outperform the more geared Shin Kong FHC.


Asia Financials: The Fallout from SVB and Silvergate | Where's the Biggest Asset/Liability Mismatch?

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.</li>
<li>There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, five ADDs/DELs for T100, and 8 ADDs/7 DELs for TDIV. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the December 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.
There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, five ADDs/DELs for T100, and 8 ADDs/7 DELs for TDIV. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations. 
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the December 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.


Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; 20x+ ADV for Many Names; US$2.3bn One-Way

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vcredit-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27143:1" rel="noopener">VCredit Holdings (2003 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a> also in the crosshairs. </li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dexus" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:403:1" rel="noopener">Dexus Property (DXS AU)</a> 
</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deals this week: Insignia Financial (IFL AU), Fosun Tourism (1992 HK), and Lifestyle China (2136 HK). VCredit Holdings (2003 HK) and Vesync (2148 HK) also in the crosshairs. 
Key updates/news took place on: Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)/Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK), Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), and Dexus Property (DXS AU) 



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia, Fosun Tourism, GJS/Haitong, Fuji Soft, Dexus Property

<ul>
<li>I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a>'s scrip merger; and cash Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec (SUN SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/latin-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8770:1" rel="noopener">Latin Resources (LRS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">Sg Fleet (SGF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphb-capital-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8540:1" rel="noopener">MPHB (MPHB MK)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deals this week: De Grey Mining (DEG AU)'s scrip merger; and cash Offers for ESR (1821 HK), HKBN (1310 HK), Lifestyle China (2136 HK), and Suntec (SUN SP).
Key updates/news took place on: Latin Resources (LRS AU), Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU), Sg Fleet (SGF AU), Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), and MPHB (MPHB MK).



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

Taiwan

Shin Kong Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides traditional life, health, group and accident insurance products and services, as well as acts as a broker, dealer and underwriter for financial securities.

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Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Aug 2024: Orora, Fuji Soft, J Tower, Seven & I, Taishin/Shin Kong, PropertyGuru

For the month of Aug, 10 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$56bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Asia Financials: The Fallout from SVB and Silvergate | Where's the Biggest Asset/Liability Mismatch?

For the most part, we expect Asia financial names to be able to withstand the SVB / Silvergate fallout. But risks in ALM are reminiscent of what...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; 20x+ ADV for Many Names; US$2.3bn One-Way

The TDIV Inclusions/Exclusions will be equally-distributed over five trading days from 20th December 2024 to 26th December 2024. It is a good time...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia, Fosun Tourism, GJS/Haitong, Fuji Soft, Dexus Property

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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