Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shin Kong Financial Holding / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The TFTC approved in early January, The TFTC <a href="https://www.cna.com.tw/news/afe/202501080360.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> market power would be limited and competition unrestricted. Another <a href="https://www.cna.com.tw/news/afe/202501070351.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CNA article</a> suggested the two FHCs were completing employee placement plans.</li>
<li>Apparently, as of a month ago, only the Shin Kong <em>Bank</em> employee settlement plan had not been completed but the FSC has rules about that. Consideration likely proceeds.</li>
<li>There are specific rules about how these things are dealt with. In the meantime, the spread - still wide - is narrowing.</li>
</ul>


The TFTC approved in early January, The TFTC said market power would be limited and competition unrestricted. Another CNA article suggested the two FHCs were completing employee placement plans.
Apparently, as of a month ago, only the Shin Kong Bank employee settlement plan had not been completed but the FSC has rules about that. Consideration likely proceeds.
There are specific rules about how these things are dealt with. In the meantime, the spread - still wide - is narrowing.


Shin Kong (2888 TT) / Taishin (2887 TT) - Waiting on the FSC

<ul>
<li>Once shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)</a> agreed to the merger two months ago, that meant an FSC submission would come shortly.</li>
<li>It came on 3rd December. Normally it takes two months, but can be extended. It appears the TFTC submission (which is considered wholly separately) was made as early as September.</li>
<li>This should get approved within the timeframe or not long afterwards. There is one known "document" missing from the application as of submission, but it shouldn't be a problem.</li>
</ul>


Once shareholders of Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) agreed to the merger two months ago, that meant an FSC submission would come shortly.
It came on 3rd December. Normally it takes two months, but can be extended. It appears the TFTC submission (which is considered wholly separately) was made as early as September.
This should get approved within the timeframe or not long afterwards. There is one known "document" missing from the application as of submission, but it shouldn't be a problem.


Shin Kong/Taishin Merger - Proceeding Apace

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 21st which has an aggregated holding worth USD931.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,594mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Yang Ming Marine, Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 21st which has an aggregated holding worth USD931.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,594mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Yang Ming Marine, Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 21st): Yang Ming, Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer

<ul>
<li>After rumours were rekindled a week earlier, on 22 August 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a> announced they would merge.</li>
<li>The ratio is 0.6022 shares of Taishin for every share of Shin Kong putting NEWCO assets at about the level of Taiwan #3 CTBC Financial. That's bad.</li>
<li>There's history here. LOTS of history. This would need approvals from the FSC and FTC, but CTBC is already a spoiner, and the SKFH Board Meeting was anything but clean.</li>
</ul>


After rumours were rekindled a week earlier, on 22 August 2024, Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) and Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) announced they would merge.
The ratio is 0.6022 shares of Taishin for every share of Shin Kong putting NEWCO assets at about the level of Taiwan #3 CTBC Financial. That's bad.
There's history here. LOTS of history. This would need approvals from the FSC and FTC, but CTBC is already a spoiner, and the SKFH Board Meeting was anything but clean.


Shin Kong (2888.TW) And Taishin (2887.TW) Agree to Merge, But It Isn't Clean, And It's A Bad Price

<ul>
<li>Media reports indicate that the shareholder base of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)</a> have approved their merger. </li>
<li>Shin Kong meeting results were public just before the market closed. The results from Taishin were known earlier. The market and spread were un-moved. If anything, things widened a little.</li>
<li>Next, the two companies try to get fair Trade Commission, FSC, and Exchange approval to join to become Taishin Shin Kong FHC. <strong>And there's a good trade to do here.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


Media reports indicate that the shareholder base of Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) have approved their merger. 
Shin Kong meeting results were public just before the market closed. The results from Taishin were known earlier. The market and spread were un-moved. If anything, things widened a little.
Next, the two companies try to get fair Trade Commission, FSC, and Exchange approval to join to become Taishin Shin Kong FHC. And there's a good trade to do here.



Shin Kong and Taishin - There's a Good Value Swap Trade To Do Here

Taiwan

Shin Kong Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides traditional life, health, group and accident insurance products and services, as well as acts as a broker, dealer and underwriter for financial securities.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)

Shin Kong (2888 TT) / Taishin (2887 TT) - Waiting on the FSC

The FSC is considering the merger case for Shin Kong and Taishin according to local press reports. The timing of the articles suggest approval...

Travis Lundy

Shin Kong/Taishin Merger - Proceeding Apace

The Shin Kong/Taishin spread is wide but contracting slowly. The Taishin vs Peers trade is rebounding off 10+yr lows. TFTC and FSC applications are...

Travis Lundy

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 21st): Yang Ming, Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Yang Ming Marine, Hon Hai Precision Industry,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shin Kong (2888.TW) And Taishin (2887.TW) Agree to Merge, But It Isn't Clean, And It's A Bad Price

Shin Kong Financial and Taishin Financial have agreed to merge, but the Board decision and price aren't pretty. Looks a bit like a coup. And CTBC...

Travis Lundy

Shin Kong and Taishin - There's a Good Value Swap Trade To Do Here

In the big picture, Taishin is quite cheap to Peers. And Shin Kong quite cheap to Taishin. We are just waiting for the TFTC and FSC to approve. If...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)