Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


-------------
Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
-------------

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q1FY23 earnings came in strong for RPPL led by robust demand and margin expansion. Volumes grew by 23.6% YoY and 24.5% QoQ.</li>
<li>Operational EBITDA per kg grew by 25%+ YoY and 36%+ QoQ to INR 37.5+ per kg as the price rise in raw materials was passed on.</li>
<li>RPPL has guided for a strong FY23. It can clock a volume of 10500+ MT and EBITDA of INR 35+ per kg, barring any adverse volatility in raw material prices.</li>
</ul>


Q1FY23 earnings came in strong for RPPL led by robust demand and margin expansion. Volumes grew by 23.6% YoY and 24.5% QoQ.
Operational EBITDA per kg grew by 25%+ YoY and 36%+ QoQ to INR 37.5+ per kg as the price rise in raw materials was passed on.
RPPL has guided for a strong FY23. It can clock a volume of 10500+ MT and EBITDA of INR 35+ per kg, barring any adverse volatility in raw material prices.


RPPL: Strong Earnings Led by Robust Demand and Margin Expansion

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Hindustan Unilever: HUL reported higher-than-expected revenue and volume growth; however, volume growth saw sequential deceleration on three-year CAGR</li><li>Domestic revenue (ex-GSK) was up 9% on a three-year CAGR (8% in Q4), with volume CAGR seeing slight deceleration at 1.7% (6% YoY) vs ~3% CAGR in the previous three quarters</li><li>The volume growth was broad-based despite the industry declining 6% YoY</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hindustan Unilever: HUL reported higher-than-expected revenue and volume growth; however, volume growth saw sequential deceleration on three-year CAGRDomestic revenue (ex-GSK) was up 9% on a three-year CAGR (8% in Q4), with volume CAGR seeing slight deceleration at 1.7% (6% YoY) vs ~3% CAGR in the previous three quartersThe volume growth was broad-based despite the industry declining 6% YoYContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Ambuja Cement, ICICI Lombard, Heidelberg Cement

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Gaining market share: HUVR now has 16 brands with over INR10b in annual sales (v/s 14 brands in FY21). In FY22, its gain in market share was the highest in more than a decade.</li><li>Strengthening its technological backbone: HUVR continues to evolve as a digitally capable enterprise, catering to emerging consumer needs.</li><li>The core business continues to use analytics and machine learning to improve efficiency.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Gaining market share: HUVR now has 16 brands with over INR10b in annual sales (v/s 14 brands in FY21). In FY22, its gain in market share was the highest in more than a decade.Strengthening its technological backbone: HUVR continues to evolve as a digitally capable enterprise, catering to emerging consumer needs.The core business continues to use analytics and machine learning to improve efficiency.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hindustan Unilever - Widening Its Leadership Position

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-unilever-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13828:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN)</a> is focusing on protecting its business model and market share, which is the key in such an operating environment. </li>
<li>Presence across multiple price points and playing a targeted game in target geographies will aid in maintaining steady-state growth. </li>
<li>Current valuations, lack of trigger for driving exponential volume growth and expected slowing pace of premiumisation warrant caution. </li>
</ul>



Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN) is focusing on protecting its business model and market share, which is the key in such an operating environment. 
Presence across multiple price points and playing a targeted game in target geographies will aid in maintaining steady-state growth. 
Current valuations, lack of trigger for driving exponential volume growth and expected slowing pace of premiumisation warrant caution. 


Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN) | The Right Priorities, but Ain't Enough

India

Hindustan Unilever Limited manufactures and distributes consumer products. The Company offers soap, detergent, personal care products and processed food, ice creams, cooking oils, and other related products. Hindustan Unilever serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN)

Screening for GEMs: September 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

RPPL: Strong Earnings Led by Robust Demand and Margin Expansion

RPPL is taking all the right steps to enhance its product offerings to deepen wallet share with existing clients. At current price, an investment...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Ambuja Cement, ICICI Lombard, Heidelberg Cement

Hindustan Unilever: HUL reported higher-than-expected revenue and volume growth; however, volume growth saw sequential deceleration on three-year CAGR

HDFC Securities

Hindustan Unilever - Widening Its Leadership Position

Gaining market share: HUVR now has 16 brands with over INR10b in annual sales (v/s 14 brands in FY21). In FY22, its gain in market share was the...

Motilal Oswal

Hindustan Unilever (HUVR IN) | The Right Priorities, but Ain't Enough

HUVR's portfolio is fairly diverse with ability to capture steady-state volumes, however, the expected slowing pace of premiumisation due to...

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)