Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in June but there are some free float changes and a bunch of capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3bn (US$384m). There are 3 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a> has over 1x ADV to buy from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH)</a> trackers. The stock is also an add to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in June but there are some free float changes and a bunch of capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3bn (US$384m). There are 3 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.

Trip.com (9961 HK) has over 1x ADV to buy from Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH) trackers. The stock is also an add to the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI).


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes Lead to US$768m Two-Way Trade

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Apple reported FY2Q23 (CY1Q23) with EPS of US$1.53 (-1% YoY) and revenue of US$94.8bn (-3% YoY), which are 7% and 2% above consensus, mainly driven by strong iPhone sales in emerging markets and record revenue from Service, partially offset by FX headwinds and weak macro on Mac/iPad sales.</li><li>Looking into FY3Q23E, mgmt. expects revenue to perform similarly to FY2Q23 with macro/FX pressure.</li><li>Given resilient outlook and iPhone’s share gain during industry downcycle, we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E with upcoming catalysts from MR device launch in WWDC in June. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Apple reported FY2Q23 (CY1Q23) with EPS of US$1.53 (-1% YoY) and revenue of US$94.8bn (-3% YoY), which are 7% and 2% above consensus, mainly driven by strong iPhone sales in emerging markets and record revenue from Service, partially offset by FX headwinds and weak macro on Mac/iPad sales.Looking into FY3Q23E, mgmt. expects revenue to perform similarly to FY2Q23 with macro/FX pressure.Given resilient outlook and iPhone’s share gain during industry downcycle, we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E with upcoming catalysts from MR device launch in WWDC in June. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology Sector – Apple FY2Q23 Beat on Strong IPhone and EM

Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Despite shipment continued to fall y/y, all major markets experienced deceleration in decline.</li><li>DMs like US &amp; W Europe did better with more material deceleration, which helped Apple to solidify its market position.</li><li>EMs remained weak with APAC (ex-Jap &amp; China), CEE and MEA falling 17-20% y/y, which was a bigger headache to the Android camp, especially the Chinese players, among which, Xiaomi had relatively poorer performance.</li></ul></div></div></div></div>

Despite shipment continued to fall y/y, all major markets experienced deceleration in decline.DMs like US &amp; W Europe did better with more material deceleration, which helped Apple to solidify its market position.EMs remained weak with APAC (ex-Jap &amp; China), CEE and MEA falling 17-20% y/y, which was a bigger headache to the Android camp, especially the Chinese players, among which, Xiaomi had relatively poorer performance.

Smartphone – Global Vs China Decelerated Downtrends

<ul><li>After a strong rally driven by AI/ChatGPT theme in past three months (note in Feb), we believe most near-term positives have been priced in AI-tech value chain (+65%/146%/45%/62% YTD for chip/optical/PCB/server), and we expect profit-taking pressure ahead of 1Q23 earnings season in late April.</li><li>We suggest to switch into three themes we addressed in Jan (note) which will continue to drive supply chain opportunities into 2Q23E, including demand recovery, MR innovation and localisation.</li><li>We recommend to focus on recovery plays (Sunny Optical, SG Micro and 3Peak), innovation (Cowell, Luxshare, Goertek for MR) and semi localization (Hua Hong Semi, NAURA, AMEC).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

After a strong rally driven by AI/ChatGPT theme in past three months (note in Feb), we believe most near-term positives have been priced in AI-tech value chain (+65%/146%/45%/62% YTD for chip/optical/PCB/server), and we expect profit-taking pressure ahead of 1Q23 earnings season in late April.We suggest to switch into three themes we addressed in Jan (note) which will continue to drive supply chain opportunities into 2Q23E, including demand recovery, MR innovation and localisation.We recommend to focus on recovery plays (Sunny Optical, SG Micro and 3Peak), innovation (Cowell, Luxshare, Goertek for MR) and semi localization (Hua Hong Semi, NAURA, AMEC).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Switching from AI/ChatGPT to Demand Recovery

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, and outflows from CCB, Geely, Sunny Optical.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, and outflows from CCB, Geely, Sunny Optical.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: 1Y High Inflows in March

China

Sunny Optical Technology Group Co., Limited designs and manufactures optical and optical related products. The Company's products include glass/plastic lenses, prisms, mobile phone camera modules, microscopes, surveying instruments, and other analytical instruments.

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Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes Lead to US$768m Two-Way Trade

Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% leading to a one-way trade of HK$3bn (US$384m). There are 3 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade. Trip.com is...

Brian Freitas

China Technology Sector – Apple FY2Q23 Beat on Strong IPhone and EM

Apple reported FY2Q23 (CY1Q23) with EPS of US$1.53 (-1% YoY) and revenue of US$94.8bn (-3% YoY), which are 7% and 2% above consensus

CMB International

Smartphone – Global Vs China Decelerated Downtrends

Despite shipment continued to fall y/y, all major markets experienced deceleration in decline. DMs like US & W Europe did better with more material...

Quam Securities

China Technology – Switching from AI/ChatGPT to Demand Recovery

After a strong rally driven by AI/ChatGPT theme in past three months (note in Feb), we believe most near-term positives have been priced in AI-tech...

CMB International

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: 1Y High Inflows in March

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for March and highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, CCB, Geely, Sunny Optical.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)