Metals, Power| Industrials |Commoditiesl Cement

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Rio’s Entry: Rio Tinto plans a $5–7B green aluminium project in India with AMG M&amp;M, targeting 1 Mtpa smelting and 2 Mtpa refining powered by renewables.</li>
<li>Why India: Aluminium demand is rising; India offers bauxite, coal, caustic, and strong domestic growth—ideal for scaling low-carbon aluminium production.</li>
<li>Risks &amp; Signals: Land issues remain a risk, but ArcelorMittal’s success shows improved project viability; Rio bets on aluminium’s green future and circular economy edge.</li>
</ul>


Rio’s Entry: Rio Tinto plans a $5–7B green aluminium project in India with AMG M&amp;M, targeting 1 Mtpa smelting and 2 Mtpa refining powered by renewables.
Why India: Aluminium demand is rising; India offers bauxite, coal, caustic, and strong domestic growth—ideal for scaling low-carbon aluminium production.
Risks &amp; Signals: Land issues remain a risk, but ArcelorMittal’s success shows improved project viability; Rio bets on aluminium’s green future and circular economy edge.


Rio Tinto’s Green Aluminium Bet on India: A Strategic Pivot Amid Global Decarbonization

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 11th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD23.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Bluescope Steel, Westpac, CSL, Santos, Goodman, Coles.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 11th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD23.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Bluescope Steel, Westpac, CSL, Santos, Goodman, Coles.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 11th): Northern Star Resources, Bluescope Steel, Westpac, CSL, Santos

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 4th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD23.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in James Hardie Industries, Transurban, Coles, Northern Star Resources, Evolution Mining, Goodman.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 4th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD23.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in James Hardie Industries, Transurban, Coles, Northern Star Resources, Evolution Mining, Goodman.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): James Hardie Industries, Transurban, Coles

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Executive Chairman John Welborn presented the <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4KUxqrU1aU" target="_blank" rel="noopener">investment case</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fenix-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7405:1" rel="noopener">Fenix Resources (FEX AU)</a> at the Ignite Investment Summit in Hong Kong on March 26th/27th.  </li>
<li>The company's imminent production of 4 million tons of iron ore (~$100 USD/ton), is projected to generate AUD 200 million in operating cash flow, matching its current market capitalization.</li>
<li>The company briefly touched on its M&amp;A opportunity with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coziron-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17698:1" rel="noopener">Coziron Resources (CZR AU)</a>, which is expected to add 40 million tons of reserves and further increase production. </li>
</ul>


Executive Chairman John Welborn presented the investment case for Fenix Resources (FEX AU) at the Ignite Investment Summit in Hong Kong on March 26th/27th.  
The company's imminent production of 4 million tons of iron ore (~$100 USD/ton), is projected to generate AUD 200 million in operating cash flow, matching its current market capitalization.
The company briefly touched on its M&amp;A opportunity with Coziron Resources (CZR AU), which is expected to add 40 million tons of reserves and further increase production. 


Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Highlights From The Ignite Investment Summit

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos <strong>didn't show a clear trend during March</strong>. Discounts: C.F.Alba, 14.9% as of 31 March (vs 14.1% as of 28 February); GBL, 37.6% (vs. 38.7%);</li>
<li>Heineken Holding, 11.2% (vs. 13%); Industrivärden C, 2.9% (vs. 5.1%); Investor B, 4.2% (vs. 2.3%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 31.9% (vs. 38.1%); Rio DLC 21.7% (vs. 17%). Vivendi 40.1% (vs. 38.7%). </li>
<li>What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos didn't show a clear trend during March. Discounts: C.F.Alba, 14.9% as of 31 March (vs 14.1% as of 28 February); GBL, 37.6% (vs. 38.7%);
Heineken Holding, 11.2% (vs. 13%); Industrivärden C, 2.9% (vs. 5.1%); Investor B, 4.2% (vs. 2.3%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 31.9% (vs. 38.1%); Rio DLC 21.7% (vs. 17%). Vivendi 40.1% (vs. 38.7%). 
What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March 2025 Report, Adding Vivendi

Australia

Rio Tinto Limited is an international mining company.  The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO LN.

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Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

Rio Tinto’s Green Aluminium Bet on India: A Strategic Pivot Amid Global Decarbonization

Rio Tinto plans $5-7B green aluminium project in India with AMG M&M, leveraging local resources and renewables for low-carbon production.

Rahul Jain

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 11th): Northern Star Resources, Bluescope Steel, Westpac, CSL, Santos

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Bluescope Steel, Westpac,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): James Hardie Industries, Transurban, Coles

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in James Hardie Industries, Transurban, Coles,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Highlights From The Ignite Investment Summit

We summarize Fenix Resources (FEX AU) presentation at the 2025 Ignite Investment Summit in Hong Kong. With production imminently tripling, FEX can...

Sameer Taneja

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March 2025 Report, Adding Vivendi

March discounts to NAV of covered holdcos showed no clear trend. Interesting points include Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Rio Tinto’s Green Aluminium Bet on India: A Strategic Pivot Amid Global Decarbonization

​Rio Tinto plans $5-7B green aluminium project in India with AMG M&M, leveraging local resources and renewables for low-carbon production.

Rahul Jain

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 11th): Northern Star Resources, Bluescope Steel, Westpac, CSL, Santos

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Bluescope Steel, Westpac,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): James Hardie Industries, Transurban, Coles

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in James Hardie Industries, Transurban, Coles,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Highlights From The Ignite Investment Summit

We summarize Fenix Resources (FEX AU) presentation at the 2025 Ignite Investment Summit in Hong Kong. With production imminently tripling, FEX can...

Sameer Taneja

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March 2025 Report, Adding Vivendi

​March discounts to NAV of covered holdcos showed no clear trend. Interesting points include Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Rio Tinto plans $5-7B green aluminium project in India with AMG M&M, leveraging local resources and renewables for low-carbon production.

March discounts to NAV of covered holdcos showed no clear trend. Interesting points include Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN...