Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's buy streak continued this past week; every day was net positive. NORTHBOUND was net positive too. It is not clear how much is National Team buying. Much may be.</li>
<li>AH Premia rebounded off multi-year lows, on average, this past week as Hang Seng and other HK indices fell sharply and A-shares did not fall as much. </li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's buy streak continued this past week; every day was net positive. NORTHBOUND was net positive too. It is not clear how much is National Team buying. Much may be.
AH Premia rebounded off multi-year lows, on average, this past week as Hang Seng and other HK indices fell sharply and A-shares did not fall as much. 


A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 May 2024):  HK Stocks Have a BAD Week and AH Premium Rebounds In

<ul>
<li>The Somewhat-Brand-Spanking New (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>We used to do it. We brought it back better, with lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 50 Trade Recommendations.</li>
<li>The last 10wks (since the start of the new Tracker and Portfolio 11 weeks ago) have seen net portfolio performance of +0.50%, +1.35%, +0.14%, +0.47%, +0.15%, +0.12%, -0.29%, -0.71%, -68%.</li>
</ul>


The Somewhat-Brand-Spanking New (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
We used to do it. We brought it back better, with lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 50 Trade Recommendations.
The last 10wks (since the start of the new Tracker and Portfolio 11 weeks ago) have seen net portfolio performance of +0.50%, +1.35%, +0.14%, +0.47%, +0.15%, +0.12%, -0.29%, -0.71%, -68%.


Quiddity A/H Premium Tracker (To Oct20): Volatility Up Further, Wide Spreads Even Wider. Messy²

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB3.2bn beat investors’ prior forecast, which has increased our confidence in its profitability in FY24E.</li><li>We raise our FY24E net profit forecast by 25% to RMB9.9bn.</li><li>We believe Great Wall still needs a high-volume NEV in the mainstream market to boost investors’ confidence in its electrification transformation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Great Wall’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB3.2bn beat investors’ prior forecast, which has increased our confidence in its profitability in FY24E.We raise our FY24E net profit forecast by 25% to RMB9.9bn.We believe Great Wall still needs a high-volume NEV in the mainstream market to boost investors’ confidence in its electrification transformation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - 1Q24 NP Beat Provides Room for Transformation

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's consecutive buying streak ended on Monday 25-March, then started again. NORTHBOUND has been selling recently (this week and last buying semi tech, selling renewables)</li>
<li>Hs fell sharply vs As. AH Premia very wide. Alpha on portfolio vs straight H vs A but a bad week as liquid Hs underperformed liquid As by 2.5+%.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's consecutive buying streak ended on Monday 25-March, then started again. NORTHBOUND has been selling recently (this week and last buying semi tech, selling renewables)
Hs fell sharply vs As. AH Premia very wide. Alpha on portfolio vs straight H vs A but a bad week as liquid Hs underperformed liquid As by 2.5+%.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 19 Apr 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Even Higher; Lots Of "Carry" In The Market

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. We are of the view that the Tank brand, pick-up trucks and exports will continue to support Great Wall’s earnings in FY24E.</li><li>Great Wall’s success in the off-road style SUVs has helped its PHEV sales volume and brought higherthan-expected margins, although it is difficult to extend it into BEVs in the short term.</li><li>We project FY24E sales volume to increase 10% YoY to 1.35mn units and net profit to rise 13% YoY to RMB 7.9bn</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. We are of the view that the Tank brand, pick-up trucks and exports will continue to support Great Wall’s earnings in FY24E.Great Wall’s success in the off-road style SUVs has helped its PHEV sales volume and brought higherthan-expected margins, although it is difficult to extend it into BEVs in the short term.We project FY24E sales volume to increase 10% YoY to 1.35mn units and net profit to rise 13% YoY to RMB 7.9bnContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) - PHEVs Key to FY24; Earnings Likely Still Resilient

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and develops, and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs.

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Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 May 2024): HK Stocks Have a BAD Week and AH Premium Rebounds In

HK stocks fell sharply as A-shares did not fall as much. AH Premia bounced off multi-year lows (as an average) with banks/financials bearing the...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity A/H Premium Tracker (To Oct20): Volatility Up Further, Wide Spreads Even Wider. Messy²

The Quiddity A/H Premium Tracker. Tables, Charts, Flows, Positions (both SB and NB). This week was AGAIN messy. Pairwise volatility is up. universe...

Travis Lundy