Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12688:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics (2308 TT)</a> spread peaked earlier this year and has been trending lower for the last few months (but it is volatile!).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> dropped 20% on Friday following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12688:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics (2308 TT)</a>'s placement of 0.72% of shares outstanding. The stock last closed 12.7% below the placement price.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12688:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics (2308 TT)</a> still owns over 63% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a> and there could be more downside for the Thailand line over the near term.</li>
</ul>


The Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) / Delta Electronics (2308 TT) spread peaked earlier this year and has been trending lower for the last few months (but it is volatile!).

Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) dropped 20% on Friday following Delta Electronics (2308 TT)'s placement of 0.72% of shares outstanding. The stock last closed 12.7% below the placement price.

Delta Electronics (2308 TT) still owns over 63% of Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) and there could be more downside for the Thailand line over the near term.


Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): Placement Increases Float; Ends Tender Offer Hope?

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Wave of earnings this week -- AMD, Qualcomm, Apple internationally... and Delta, Advantech, Innolux, Winbond, Realtek, plus others in Taiwan.</li>
<li>We visited Micron’s A3 fab in Taiwan; SK Hynix gives strongest comments yet on Memory turn-around; Long Nanya Tech on DRAM turn-around.</li>
<li>Intel results readthrough: PC cycle improving and could be accelerated by AI-demand... We continue to see Elan Micro as a laggard play on rallying PC names.</li>
</ul>


Wave of earnings this week -- AMD, Qualcomm, Apple internationally... and Delta, Advantech, Innolux, Winbond, Realtek, plus others in Taiwan.
We visited Micron’s A3 fab in Taiwan; SK Hynix gives strongest comments yet on Memory turn-around; Long Nanya Tech on DRAM turn-around.
Intel results readthrough: PC cycle improving and could be accelerated by AI-demand... We continue to see Elan Micro as a laggard play on rallying PC names.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Taiwan Earnings Plus AMD & Apple; AI Accelerating DRAM & PC Recovery

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Delta Thailand has surged 22% in NT$ terms since our last piece, while Delta Taiwan rose only 6%. We see two potential trades here.</li>
<li>Delta Thailand reported its results on 27 July and beat expectations by 22%. Delta Taiwan will release its results on August 1st with its analyst call at 15:00 Taiwan time.</li>
<li>1) Potential Long Delta Taiwan event trade into Taiwan earnings 2) Long Delta Taiwan vs. Short Delta Thailand based on the relative prices reverting back to their end June ratio.</li>
</ul>


Delta Thailand has surged 22% in NT$ terms since our last piece, while Delta Taiwan rose only 6%. We see two potential trades here.
Delta Thailand reported its results on 27 July and beat expectations by 22%. Delta Taiwan will release its results on August 1st with its analyst call at 15:00 Taiwan time.
1) Potential Long Delta Taiwan event trade into Taiwan earnings 2) Long Delta Taiwan vs. Short Delta Thailand based on the relative prices reverting back to their end June ratio.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Short Term Trade This Week on Delta Earnings; Or Pair Long/Short

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 21st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Gigabyte Tech, Lite-On Tech, Delta Elec, Walsin Lihwa.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 21st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Gigabyte Tech, Lite-On Tech, Delta Elec, Walsin Lihwa.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 21st): Gigabyte Tech, Lite-On Tech, Delta Elec, Walsin Lihwa

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Voltronic Power Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Ownership levels in Voltronic Power Technology rise as EM funds open new positions.</li>
<li>A record 15.7% of EM long-only funds own a position, with Wasatch and Morgan Stanley among the high conviction holders.</li>
<li>Voltronic Power Technology is now the 12th most widely owned stock in Taiwan and the 7th most overweighted company.  </li>
</ul>


Ownership levels in Voltronic Power Technology rise as EM funds open new positions.
A record 15.7% of EM long-only funds own a position, with Wasatch and Morgan Stanley among the high conviction holders.
Voltronic Power Technology is now the 12th most widely owned stock in Taiwan and the 7th most overweighted company.  


Taiwan

Delta Electronics Inc. manufactures power supplies and video display products. The Company's products include switching power supplies, telecom power systems, uninterrupted power supply (UPS), variable speed alternating current (AC) monitor drives, high resolution color monitors, and projectors.  Delta also manufactures magnetic and networking components.

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Delta Electronics (2308 TT)

Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): Placement Increases Float; Ends Tender Offer Hope?

Delta Electronics Thai dropped 20% on Friday after Delta Electronics placed shares, and there could be more downside for the Thailand line. The...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Taiwan Earnings Plus AMD & Apple; AI Accelerating DRAM & PC Recovery

Wave of Taiwan earnings this week with Delta, Advantech, Innolux, Winbond, Realtek, Elan, ChipMOS plus others in Taiwan. Also -- We visited...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Short Term Trade This Week on Delta Earnings; Or Pair Long/Short

1) Long Delta Taiwan event trade into Delta Taiwan earnings or 2) Long Delta Taiwan vs. Short Delta Thailand based on the relative prices reverting...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 21st): Gigabyte Tech, Lite-On Tech, Delta Elec, Walsin Lihwa

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Gigabyte Tech, Lite-On Tech, Delta Elec, Walsin...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Voltronic Power: Rising Up the Ranks

Ownership levels in Voltronic Power Technology rise to record levels as EM funds open new positions. It now stands as the 7th most overweighted...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): Placement Increases Float; Ends Tender Offer Hope?

​Delta Electronics Thai dropped 20% on Friday after Delta Electronics placed shares, and there could be more downside for the Thailand line. The...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Taiwan Earnings Plus AMD & Apple; AI Accelerating DRAM & PC Recovery

Wave of Taiwan earnings this week with Delta, Advantech, Innolux, Winbond, Realtek, Elan, ChipMOS plus others in Taiwan. Also -- We visited...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Short Term Trade This Week on Delta Earnings; Or Pair Long/Short

1) Long Delta Taiwan event trade into Delta Taiwan earnings or 2) Long Delta Taiwan vs. Short Delta Thailand based on the relative prices reverting...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 21st): Gigabyte Tech, Lite-On Tech, Delta Elec, Walsin Lihwa

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Gigabyte Tech, Lite-On Tech, Delta Elec, Walsin...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Voltronic Power: Rising Up the Ranks

Ownership levels in Voltronic Power Technology rise to record levels as EM funds open new positions. It now stands as the 7th most overweighted...

Steven Holden

Delta Electronics Thai dropped 20% on Friday after Delta Electronics placed shares, and there could be more downside for the Thailand line. The...