Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 1Q 2024. </li>
<li>We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 26 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and 12 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 1Q 2024. 
We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.
Of the 38 pair trades, 26 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and 12 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 1Q 2024

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>It was reported today that SK Pharmteco completed a 660 billion won in pre-IPO funding valuing the company at 4 trillion won.</li>
<li>Prior to this investment, SK Inc owned a 100% stake in SK Pharmteco. After this investment, it is estimated that SK Inc will own about 83.5% stake in SK Pharmteco. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of SK Inc is NAV of 19.0 trillion won (NAV per share of 258,967 won), representing a 47% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


It was reported today that SK Pharmteco completed a 660 billion won in pre-IPO funding valuing the company at 4 trillion won.
Prior to this investment, SK Inc owned a 100% stake in SK Pharmteco. After this investment, it is estimated that SK Inc will own about 83.5% stake in SK Pharmteco. 
Our base case valuation of SK Inc is NAV of 19.0 trillion won (NAV per share of 258,967 won), representing a 47% upside from current levels.


Updated NAV on SK Inc Post 660 Billion Pre-IPO Investment in SK Pharmteco

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

REPT BATTERO Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rept-battero-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36626:1" rel="noopener">REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rept-battero-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:122120" rel="noopener">Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rept-battero-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:122323" rel="noopener">Rept Battero IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.
We previously discussed the IPO in Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case and Rept Battero IPO: The Bear Case. 
There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rept-battero-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36626:1" rel="noopener">REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.   </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rept-battero-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:122120" rel="noopener">Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and receivable financing. </li>
</ul>



REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.   
In Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and receivable financing. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rept-battero-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36626:1" rel="noopener">REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, is premarketing a US$300 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  </li>
<li>According to Frost &amp; Sullivan, in 1H23, Rept was the tenth-largest lithium-ion battery manufacturer globally for annual installations for new energy applications. </li>
<li>The bull case rests on rapid ESS revenue growth, reducing customer concentration risks, ambitious capacity expansion plans, promising margin trajectory and improving cash collection cycle. </li>
</ul>



REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is premarketing a US$300 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  
According to Frost &amp; Sullivan, in 1H23, Rept was the tenth-largest lithium-ion battery manufacturer globally for annual installations for new energy applications. 
The bull case rests on rapid ESS revenue growth, reducing customer concentration risks, ambitious capacity expansion plans, promising margin trajectory and improving cash collection cycle. 


South Korea

S-Oil Corporation refines crude oil and sells petroleum and its related products.  The Company mainly focuses on petroleum refining, petrochemical, and lubricant business. S-Oil's major products are gasoline, bunker oil, kerosene, naphtha, lubricants, benzene, toluene, and xylene.

GS Holdings is a holding company, which operates subsidiaries including GS Caltex Oil, GS Power, GS Home Shopping, GS Retail, and GS Sports.

HD Hyundai Co.,Ltd. operates as a oil refining company. The Company provides crude oil refining, petroleum refinery, and other related products. HD Hyundai markets its products worldwide.

SK Gas Ltd imports, stores, and distributes liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). The Company supplies its products mainly to domestic market for household, the transportation industry, and petrochemical products manufacturers.

Hankook Shell Oil Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets lubricants, grease, and other petroleum products used for cars, vessels, industrial machinery, and cutting tools.  The Company exports its products to Southeast Asian countries, Russia, and China.  Hankook Shell is an affiliate of Royal Dutch Shell Group.

Heunggu Oil Co. Ltd. distributes petroleum products through its network of gasoline and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) stations.

Mi Chang Oil Industrial Co., Ltd. refines, produces, and distributes lubricants used in industrial machinery, ships, and automobiles.  The Company also produces rubber processing oil for rubber products manufacturing and insulating oil for electrical properties.

JC Chemical Co., Ltd, manufactures biofuels including biodisel and other byproducts derived from bioenergy source.

Joong Ang Enervis Co., Ltd. distributes petroleum products.  The Company operates a network of gasoline and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) stations. Joong Ang Enervis' products include gasoline, kerosene, lubricating oil, and low sulfur diesel.

Keystone Global is in coal business selling its coal to steel producers. The Company also operates smartcard business which offers the smartcard with IC chips embedded.

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. explores, imports, refines, and distributes petroleum and its related products.  The Company also manufactures and sells petrochemical products.

Huolinhe Opencut Coal Industry Corporation Limited of Inner Mongolia is mainly involved in the production and selling of coal in China.

Huolinhe Opencut Coal Ind Corp Ltd. (002128 CH)

Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Company Limited is an investment holding company. The Company owns shares and properties, coal mining, bulk handling, commercial television licensee, telecommunications carrier, merchant banking, funds management, pharmaceutical retailing, manufacture, processing and marketing of biscuits and cakes.

Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (SOL AU)

PT Adaro Energy Tbk is a coal mining company. The Company and its subsidiaries currently deal in coal mining and trade, coal infrastructure and logistics, and mining contractor services.

Shanxi Xishan Coal & Electricity Power Co., Ltd. mines and processes coal. The Company also generates electric power.

Range Resources Corporation is an independent oil and gas company  that explore, develops, and acquires oil and gas properties. The Company conducts operations primarily in the Southwestern, Appalachian and Gulf Coast regions of the United States.

Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co., Ltd. mines, processes, and markets low sulfur high quality coal. The company also researches and develops coal and environment protection related technologies.

Shanxi Lu'An Environmental Energy Dev.Co (601699 CH)

Kunlun Energy Company Ltd, through its subsidiaries, explores and produces crude oil and natural gas in China.

Antero Resources Corporation explores, develops, and produces oil and natural gas. The Company focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of unconventional oil and liquids-rich natural gas properties. Antero Resources serves customers in the United States.

PDC Energy, Inc. produces and distributes petroleum products. The Company produces, develops, explores and markets crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. PDC Energy operates in the United States.

SK Innovation Co., Ltd. refines, markets, and distributes oil.  The Company produces a variety of petroleum products, such as gasoline, kerosene, liquefied petroleumgas (LPG), and diesel oil.  SK Energy also manufactures petrochemical p roducts, including paraxylene, synthetic resins, styrene monomer, and ethylene.

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SK Innovation (096770 KS)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 1Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

Updated NAV on SK Inc Post 660 Billion Pre-IPO Investment in SK Pharmteco

It was reported today that SK Pharmteco completed a 660 billion won in pre-IPO funding valuing the company at 4 trillion won.

Douglas Kim

Rept Battero IPO: Valuation Insights

There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Rept Battero IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and...

Arun George

Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on rapid ESS revenue growth, reducing customer concentration risks, ambitious capacity expansion plans, promising margin...

Arun George

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