Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Three major positive factors for Samsung C&amp;T include deep discount NAV, capital shifting to value/holdcos, and higher commodity prices boosting trading business earnings. </li>
<li>Shanghai lockdown remains a black box event and there are some increasing concerns that the China COVID induced lockdowns could result in a potential earnings miss for Samsung Electronics.</li>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS) has been outperforming Samsung Electronics (005930 KS). Samsung C&amp;T is flat for the year versus Samsung Electronics which is down 13.6% YTD.</li>
</ul>


Three major positive factors for Samsung C&amp;T include deep discount NAV, capital shifting to value/holdcos, and higher commodity prices boosting trading business earnings. 
Shanghai lockdown remains a black box event and there are some increasing concerns that the China COVID induced lockdowns could result in a potential earnings miss for Samsung Electronics.
Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS) has been outperforming Samsung Electronics (005930 KS). Samsung C&amp;T is flat for the year versus Samsung Electronics which is down 13.6% YTD.


Samsung C&T: Deep Discount NAV, Capital Shifting to Value/Holdcos, & Trading Business Boost

<ul>
<li>The US President Joe Biden is planning to visit South Korea on 20 to 22 May to meet the new South Korean President Yoon Suk-Yeol.</li>
<li>Hyundai Motor is likely to announce investments of nearly $7 billion for building a mega EV facility in Georgia which was leaked in the media in the last few days.</li>
<li>Hyundai Motor is aggressively penetrating the global EV markets and it is becoming an increasing threat against Tesla. Hyundai Motor has outperformed Tesla in the past 6 months.</li>
</ul>


The US President Joe Biden is planning to visit South Korea on 20 to 22 May to meet the new South Korean President Yoon Suk-Yeol.
Hyundai Motor is likely to announce investments of nearly $7 billion for building a mega EV facility in Georgia which was leaked in the media in the last few days.
Hyundai Motor is aggressively penetrating the global EV markets and it is becoming an increasing threat against Tesla. Hyundai Motor has outperformed Tesla in the past 6 months.


Joe Biden's Visit to South Korea: Hyundai Motor Ready to Announce $7 Billion Investment in EVs in US

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>FY 22 Q1 result was good although not unexpected thanks to mgt guidance. </li>
<li>Cash on hand may be reduced but it counts a very big Korean EV battery makers as the top customers thus some safety is in place. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/w-scope-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8597:1" rel="noopener">W Scope Corp (6619 JP)</a> should be able to expand its customer base beyond the big Korean battery maker. </li>
</ul>


FY 22 Q1 result was good although not unexpected thanks to mgt guidance. 
Cash on hand may be reduced but it counts a very big Korean EV battery makers as the top customers thus some safety is in place. 

W Scope Corp (6619 JP) should be able to expand its customer base beyond the big Korean battery maker. 


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The FnGuide Secondary Battery Index currently holds an AUM of ₩1.35T, and the next rebalancing implementation period is from June 13th to 15th.</li>
<li>Since these are same-sector stocks with a high cointegration level, they are suitable for narrow-window basket trading based on passive flow differences.</li>
<li>So, I would consider basket trading by targeting the large-cap constituents with a relatively significant passive flow: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-ie-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29207:1" rel="noopener">SK IE Technology (361610)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-bm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27873:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro BM (247540)</a>, &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro (086520)</a> </li>
</ul>


The FnGuide Secondary Battery Index currently holds an AUM of ₩1.35T, and the next rebalancing implementation period is from June 13th to 15th.
Since these are same-sector stocks with a high cointegration level, they are suitable for narrow-window basket trading based on passive flow differences.
So, I would consider basket trading by targeting the large-cap constituents with a relatively significant passive flow: SK Innovation (096770), SK IE Technology (361610), Ecopro BM (247540), &amp; Ecopro (086520) 


FnGuide Secondary Battery Index (KODEX ETF) Rebalancing Preview

Mirae Asset TIGER Secondary Cell ETF / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In general, the projection hit rate for the top market cap constituents was sufficiently high. And the correlation between their stock price direction and passive flow was also high.</li>
<li>However, the projection hit rate for the constituents with a small market cap was relatively low.</li>
<li>If we traded the proposed tradable names with an equal-weighted Long/Short basket, we would have achieved a return of 1.76%. Even excluding Hanjin Kal, we would have achieved 1.31%.</li>
</ul>


In general, the projection hit rate for the top market cap constituents was sufficiently high. And the correlation between their stock price direction and passive flow was also high.
However, the projection hit rate for the constituents with a small market cap was relatively low.
If we traded the proposed tradable names with an equal-weighted Long/Short basket, we would have achieved a return of 1.76%. Even excluding Hanjin Kal, we would have achieved 1.31%.


Recap on WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs) Rebalancing Trading on April 14

South Korea

SK Innovation Co., Ltd. refines, markets, and distributes oil.  The Company produces a variety of petroleum products, such as gasoline, kerosene, liquefied petroleumgas (LPG), and diesel oil.  SK Energy also manufactures petrochemical p roducts, including paraxylene, synthetic resins, styrene monomer, and ethylene.

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SK Innovation (096770 KS)

Samsung C&T: Deep Discount NAV, Capital Shifting to Value/Holdcos, & Trading Business Boost

Three major positive factors for Samsung C&T include deep discount NAV, capital shifting to value/holdcos, and higher commodity prices boosting...

Douglas Kim

Joe Biden's Visit to South Korea: Hyundai Motor Ready to Announce $7 Billion Investment in EVs in US

Hyundai Motor is likely to announce investments of nearly $7 billion for building a mega EV facility in Georgia which was leaked in the media in...

Douglas Kim

W Scope (6619): More yet to Come

W Scope Korea and W Scope Japan for new coating lines and given its track record, it is not impossible that the company will carry on recording...

Henry Soediarko

FnGuide Secondary Battery Index (KODEX ETF) Rebalancing Preview

This post previews the FnGuide Secondary Battery Index rebalancing in June. The tradable names at this point are SK Innovation, SKIET, Ecopro BM,...

Sanghyun Park

Recap on WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs) Rebalancing Trading on April 14

This post is a recap of our flow trading on the WISE Theme Indexes (TIGER ETFs) rebalancing, which was carried out on April 14.

Sanghyun Park

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