Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 16th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$101.5 million, led by financials, consumer staples, communication services sectors, and offset by industrials, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Merchants Bank, Shanghai Intl Airport, Tongwei.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 16th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$101.5 million, led by financials, consumer staples, communication services sectors, and offset by industrials, materials.
We highlight flows for China Merchants Bank, Shanghai Intl Airport, Tongwei.


Northbound Flows (Dec 16th): CMB, Shanghai Intl Airport, Tongwei

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 2nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$3,984.1 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by utilities, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Wuliangye, CATL, Shenzhen Mindray, Longi Green.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 2nd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$3,984.1 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by utilities, energy.
We highlight flows for Wuliangye, CATL, Shenzhen Mindray, Longi Green.


Northbound Flows (Dec 2nd): Wuliangye, CATL, Mindray, Longi Green

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a> is coming up "cheap" on my monitor, both from a discount to NAV and implied stub angle. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments PCCW / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:874:1" rel="noopener">HKT Ltd (6823 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-kyoto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5248:1" rel="noopener">Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP)</a> are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



PCCW Ltd (8 HK) is coming up "cheap" on my monitor, both from a discount to NAV and implied stub angle. 
Preceding my comments PCCW / HKT Ltd (6823 HK) and Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP) are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Co. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> that will be implemented at the close on 9 June. The impact is pretty chunky on a few deletions.</li>
<li>Apart from the passive assets tracking the index, there are some liquid index futures and the impact on the stocks will be larger than just the headline numbers.</li>
<li>The adds underperformed the deletes in March and April but have come roaring back in May. Playing the trade via long/short pairs could provide better risk adjusted returns.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June. The impact is pretty chunky on a few deletions.
Apart from the passive assets tracking the index, there are some liquid index futures and the impact on the stocks will be larger than just the headline numbers.
The adds underperformed the deletes in March and April but have come roaring back in May. Playing the trade via long/short pairs could provide better risk adjusted returns.


SSE50 Index Rebalance: Some Large Impact Changes

Equity Bottom-Up

China Unicom Hong Kong / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite the recent share price gain, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom (762 HK)</a> is inexpensive with respect to parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network (600050 CH)</a> - its pseudo domestic A-share twin - and to peers.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Unicom, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Despite the recent share price gain, China Unicom (762 HK) is inexpensive with respect to parent China United Network (600050 CH) - its pseudo domestic A-share twin - and to peers.
Preceding my comments on Unicom, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


China

Beijing Bewinner Communications Co., Ltd. provides telecommunications services to mobile communication users.

Beijing Bewinner Communications Co., (002148 CH)

China Tower Corporation Limited operates as a telecommunication company. The Company provides telecommunication towers construction, towers maintenance, ancillary facilities management, and other services. China Tower provides its services throughout China.

China Communications Services Corporation Limited provides specialized telecommunications support services to telecommunications operators.  The Company offers telecommunications infrastructure services, including design, construction and project supervision and management, business process outsourcing services , and applications, content and other services.

China Communications Services Corp Ltd. (552 HK)

263 Network Communications Co Ltd provides internet services and modern communication technology.  The Company's products include anti spam e-mail service, telephone conference system, and business messenger software.

Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co., Ltd researches, produces and sells test optimization system.  The Company also provides census, assessments and, optimization services of mobile communication network.

Dr. Peng Telecom & Media Group Co., Ltd. provides value-added telecommunications services. The company offers Internet access, e-government, Internet data center, and private network and operations services, as well as network security monitoring, city surveillance, toll-shunt, and other value-added network services.

Kunlun Tech Co., Ltd. offers comprehensive Internet value-added services. The Company focuses on social network interactive and online game fields. Kunlun Tech also provides localized translation outsourcing and agency advertising services.

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

China Ruyi Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on online streaming video and internet community businesses. China Ruyi Holdings also manufactures and sells photographic, electronic, and multimedia accessories.

37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group Co.,Ltd designs, develops, and operates mobile games and web games. The Company also provides game promotion, customer service, top-up payment, and other services. 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group conducts its businesses in China.

37 Interactive Entertainment N (002555 CH)

Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited is granted a 25-year concession expiring the year 2015 by the Telephone Organization of Thailand to provide cellular phone services.  The Company provides analog mobile phone services through the Nordic Mobile Telephone (NMT900) network, and digital phone services through the Global Systems for Mobile Communication (GSM) network.

Rogers Communications, Inc. is a diversified Canadian communications and media company. The Company's activities include wireless voice and data communications services over its national GSM, HSPA and LTE networks; cable television, telephony and high speed Internet access services over its broadband networks; and radio and TV broadcasting, televised shopping, magazines, and sports.

Vodafone Group PLC is a mobile telecommunications company providing a range of services, including voice and data communications.  The Company operates in Continental Europe, the United Kingdom, the United States, Asia Pacific, Africa and the Middle East through its subsidiaries, associates, and investments.

CelcomDigi Berhad is a mobile network operator. The Company offers Internet and wireless telecommunication products and services through the global system for mobile telecommunications (GSM) network. CelcomDigi serves customers in Malaysia.

Taiwan Mobile Co., Ltd. provides cellular telecommunication services in Taiwan. The Company also sells and leases cellular phones.

Vodafone Idea Limited operates as a telecom service provider. The Company offers 2G, 3G, and 4G mobile services, as well as mobile payments, advanced enterprise offerings, and entertainment. Vodafone Idea serves customers in India.

Far EasTone Telecommunications Co., Ltd. provides mobile communication and Internet access services.  The Company also sells cellular phones and related equipment.

Vodacom Group Limited operates a cellular telephone network in South Africa. The Company has mobile operations in Tanzania, Mozambique, Lesotho and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. is a Korean mobile and telecommunications operator. The Company provides cellular voice, wireless data, and wireless internet services. SK Telecom also offers fixed line services and platform services.

Intouch Holdings Public Company Limited is a holding company that invests in diversified telecommunication and media and advertising businesses.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides television broadcasting, cellular phone and wireless services.

China United Network Communications Limited provides a variety of telecommunication services, including GSM and CDMA wireless telecommunication services, international and domestic long distance communication services, data communication and Internet services, as well as paging services.

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China United Network A (600050 CH)

Northbound Flows (Dec 16th): CMB, Shanghai Intl Airport, Tongwei

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for CMB, Shanghai Intl Airport, Tongwei.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Dec 2nd): Wuliangye, CATL, Mindray, Longi Green

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Wuliangye, CATL, Mindray, Longi Green.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

StubWorld: PCCW Coming Up "Cheap"

I would still be invested where Richard Li is - and therefore be Long PCCW, short HKT here. I expect the NAV discount to narrow towards its one...

David Blennerhassett

SSE50 Index Rebalance: Some Large Impact Changes

There are 5 changes to the SSE50 Index in June that will have one-way turnover estimated at 3.95% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,187m....

Brian Freitas

StubWorld: Unicom's "Hs" Are Cheap

Unicom is inexpensive versus domestic and international peers, and compared to historical levels. The company is net cash with a solid yield....

David Blennerhassett

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