Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>First, we can take on some risk and build up a short position using SSFs from now, aiming for an aggressively low price (likely Day 1) during the rights trading. </li>
<li>If this approach seems somewhat risky, the second is to wait until the rights trading and, although accepting some sacrifice in the spread, build positions relatively risk-free. </li>
<li>We can also actively build up a long position in the significantly backwardated SSFs from now and, instead, set up an aggressive short on the underlying shares.</li>
</ul>


First, we can take on some risk and build up a short position using SSFs from now, aiming for an aggressively low price (likely Day 1) during the rights trading. 
If this approach seems somewhat risky, the second is to wait until the rights trading and, although accepting some sacrifice in the spread, build positions relatively risk-free. 
We can also actively build up a long position in the significantly backwardated SSFs from now and, instead, set up an aggressive short on the underlying shares.


Trading Angles Using Severely Backwardated Hanwha Ocean's SSFs Ahead of the Rights Trading

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The JPX Nikkei 400 index rebalance will take place on Wednesday, MSIC on Thursday and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI on Friday.</li>
<li>There are review cutoffs for the MVIS family of indices, and multiple announcements of changes to various indices during the week.</li>
<li>There were inflows to mainland China ETFs, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-india-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:282:1" rel="noopener">iShares India ETF (INDA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-india-small-cap" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32064:1" rel="noopener">Ishares India Small-Cap (SMIN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares EmergingMarkets ex China (EMXC)</a> while there were outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The JPX Nikkei 400 index rebalance will take place on Wednesday, MSIC on Thursday and HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI on Friday.
There are review cutoffs for the MVIS family of indices, and multiple announcements of changes to various indices during the week.
There were inflows to mainland China ETFs, iShares India ETF (INDA), Ishares India Small-Cap (SMIN) and iShares EmergingMarkets ex China (EMXC) while there were outflows for iShares Emerging Markets (EEM).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSI, HSTECH, Yuanta ETFs, China ETFs, REMX, KOSPI

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>After the market close on 23 August, Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) confirmed that it will conduct a massive rights offering of 2 trillion won.</li>
<li>The expected rights offering price is 22,350 won, which is 36% discount to current price. </li>
<li>We believe this rights offering is likely to dilute the existing shareholders and negatively impact Hanwha Ocean's share price.</li>
</ul>


After the market close on 23 August, Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) confirmed that it will conduct a massive rights offering of 2 trillion won.
The expected rights offering price is 22,350 won, which is 36% discount to current price. 
We believe this rights offering is likely to dilute the existing shareholders and negatively impact Hanwha Ocean's share price.


Hanwha Ocean: Big Shares Dilution from Rights Offering of 2 Trillion Won

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro (086520 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jyp-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17598:1" rel="noopener">Jyp Entertainment (035900 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daewoo-shipbuilding-marine-engineering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-semiconductor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15587:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cj-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13964:1" rel="noopener">CJ Corp (001040 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-mart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6993:1" rel="noopener">E Mart (139480 KS)</a> have been on investors/traders radars recently.</li>
<li>There will be liquidity demand on the stocks in a week and there is pre-positioning on a lot of the stocks.</li>
<li>Since 10 August, retail investors have net bought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jyp-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17598:1" rel="noopener">Jyp Entertainment</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-mart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6993:1" rel="noopener">E Mart</a>, foreigners have net bought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daewoo-shipbuilding-marine-engineering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-semiconductor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15587:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Semiconductor</a>, while local institutions have net bought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cj-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13964:1" rel="noopener">CJ Corp</a>.</li>
</ul>



Ecopro (086520 KS), Jyp Entertainment (035900 KS), Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS), Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS), CJ Corp (001040 KS) and E Mart (139480 KS) have been on investors/traders radars recently.
There will be liquidity demand on the stocks in a week and there is pre-positioning on a lot of the stocks.
Since 10 August, retail investors have net bought Jyp Entertainment and E Mart, foreigners have net bought Ecopro, Hanwha Ocean and Hanmi Semiconductor, while local institutions have net bought CJ Corp.


Korea - Positioning in Ecopro, JYP Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semi, CJ Corp, E-Mart

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

South Korea

Hanwha Ocean Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding and offshore company. The Company provides floating structure construction, steel wire drying, commercial vessels, specialty vessels, gas carrier, tanker, containership, ro ro, bulk carrier, submarine, warship, auxiliaries, cruise ships, and ferries manufacturing services. Hanwha Ocean also offers onshore plants services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)

Trading Angles Using Severely Backwardated Hanwha Ocean's SSFs Ahead of the Rights Trading

Considering the significantly high spread based on the 2nd-round pricing while the trading deadline for Hanwha Ocean subscription rights is just a...

Sanghyun Park

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSI, HSTECH, Yuanta ETFs, China ETFs, REMX, KOSPI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Hanwha Ocean: Big Shares Dilution from Rights Offering of 2 Trillion Won

Hanwha Ocean confirmed that it will conduct a rights offering of 2 trillion won. We believe this rights offering is likely to dilute the existing...

Douglas Kim

Korea - Positioning in Ecopro, JYP Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semi, CJ Corp, E-Mart

Since 10 Aug, retail investors have net bought Jyp Entertainment and E Mart, foreigners have net bought Ecopro, Hanwha Ocean and Hanmi...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

We currently forecast 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices. There are stocks that are potential KOSPI200 adds in December and others that will...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)