Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 11.5bn of A-shares on low-ish volume. A-shares underperformed H-shares quite dramatically, giving back gains from two weeks ago.</li>
<li>This week saw considerable net buying of semiconductor technology names. I expect that to continue.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 11.5bn of A-shares on low-ish volume. A-shares underperformed H-shares quite dramatically, giving back gains from two weeks ago.
This week saw considerable net buying of semiconductor technology names. I expect that to continue.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Apr 2024): NB A Net Seller; Flows See Semi/Tech Buys

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li><em>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</em></li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB +19.3bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Consumer, Finance, and Energy hit hardest.</li>
<li>Net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly "short gamma", but the net buys this week were of stocks previously a net sell. </li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB +19.3bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Consumer, Finance, and Energy hit hardest.
Net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly "short gamma", but the net buys this week were of stocks previously a net sell. 


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,388.5 million, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea (000333 CH), Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH), Mindray (300760 CH).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,388.5 million, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, financials.
We highlight flows for Midea (000333 CH), Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH), Mindray (300760 CH).


Northbound Flows (Jul 19th): Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

Blackcow Food Co Ltd A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Taiwan plans to release offshore wind regulations by 3Q24, boosting the renewable energy sector's growth and investment opportunities.</li><li>Chinese investment in 8.6G OLED technology is boosting the South Korean display equipment industry, leading to potential economic growth.</li><li>VinFast's Indian factory may open earlier than expected, while mobile device suppliers show interest in using edge AI to enhance the market.</li></ul>

Taiwan plans to release offshore wind regulations by 3Q24, boosting the renewable energy sector's growth and investment opportunities.Chinese investment in 8.6G OLED technology is boosting the South Korean display equipment industry, leading to potential economic growth.VinFast's Indian factory may open earlier than expected, while mobile device suppliers show interest in using edge AI to enhance the market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Jul-2024): Taiwan to announce offshore wind rules by 3Q24.

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Financials, Materials, Health Care led the inflows while Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services led the outflows (first chart below).</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology, Focus Media and Seres</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Financials, Materials, Health Care led the inflows while Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services led the outflows (first chart below).
We highlight inflows into CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology, Focus Media and Seres


Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

China

Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets computer servers, computer terminal products, electronic products, and telecommunication equipment.  The Company also develops computer software, provides system integration services, and operates in import and export trading.

Inspur Electronic Infmtn Indtry (000977 CH)

Lenovo Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, sells, and manufactures personal computers and handheld devices. The Company also provides Internet services and IT services, and contracting manufacturing business.

Ninestar Corporation provides printing and imaging products, output solutions, and managed print services. The Company researches, develops, and produces printer consumables chips, printers, and other products. Ninestar markets its products across worldwide.

Focus Media Information Technology Co., Ltd. engages in media network for advertisements including within cinemas, posters and advertising displays in commercial offices or buildings.

Focus Media Information Technology Co, Ltd. (002027 CH)

Focus Media Information Technology Co, Ltd.

Dawning Information Industry Co., Ltd researches, develops, and produces information products. The Company manufactures and markets high-end computers, storage products, and provides software development, system integration and technical services. Dawning Information Industry conducts businesses in China.

Dawning Information Industry C (603019 CH)

China Greatwall Technology Group Co Ltd manufactures and develops computers and peripheral equipment.  The Company's products include computers, servers, monitors, printers, power packs, and other related products.  Greatwall Computer also develops computer software, provides networking system integration, and consults on e-commerce solution.

China Greatwall Technology Group Co Ltd (000066 CH)

GRG Banking Equipment Co.,Ltd. develops, manufactures and markets automated teller machines (ATMs) and other banking machines. The company also develops and sells banking machine related software.

Legend Holdings Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates in information technology, real estate, financial services, agriculture and food, modern service, and chemical and energy materials sectors in China and internationally.

Tsinghua Tongfang Co., Ltd. manufactures personal computers, designs application software, offers education programs, and provides a variety of computer network and system integration services.  The Company also produces energy and environmental engineering equipment and develops and sells real estate properties.

Founder Technology Group Corp. manufactures and markets computer products and office appliances.  The Company's products include personal computers, servers, notebooks, printers, digital cameras, MP3 products, blueprint machines, blue printing paper, and shredding machines.  Founder Technology also develops computer software and produces multi-layer printed circuit boards (PCBs).

Wistron Corporation manufactures and markets notebook computers, personal computers, and other related information products.

Advantech Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets embedded personal computers (PC), network computing products, industrial automation products, and panel PCs.

Pegatron Corp is a design, manufacturing and service company. The Company produces motherboards, desktop PCs, notebooks, broadband, wireless systems, game consoles, networking, multimedia, LCD TV, and more.

Asustek Computer Inc. manufactures and markets computer motherboards, interface cards, notebook computers, and other related products.

Lite-On Technology Corp. manufactures and markets a wide range of computer components and Peripheral equipment. The Company's products include computers, digital home products, consumer electronics, communications products, key components and sub-systems, and optoelectronic components. Power Supplies, Enclosures, and LEDs business are the core of Lite-On Technology's business.

Asia Vital Components Co., Ltd.is a manufacturer of fan coolers for CPUs, laptops, and personal computers. The company also provides thermal products and peripherals, including heat sink, and thermal modules. Asia Vital Components sells its products worldwide.

Wiwynn Corporation manufactures computer storage devices. The Company develops and sells servers, storage devices, network systems, and equipment room infrastructure products. Wiwynn markets its products throughout Taiwan.

Compal Electronics Inc. manufactures and markets notebook computers and color monitors.  The Company also produces liquid crystal displays and other computer related products.  Compal Electronics exports its products to the United States, Europe, and Asia.

Catcher Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures aluminum and magnesium die casting products which are used in notebook computers, cellular phones, and hard disk drive bases.

BROTHER INDUSTRIES, LTD. manufactures and markets communications and office equipment.  The Company's main products include facsimiles, digital copy machines, label printers, and word processors.  Brother Industries also manufactures and sells sewing machines and other tools.  The Company operates its business worldwide.

BOE Technology Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets monitors and related parts, precision electric accessories and materials, and mobile digital products.  The Company also provides information technology services.

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Boe Technology Group Co. (200725 CH)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Apr 2024): NB A Net Seller; Flows See Semi/Tech Buys

NORTHBOUND Connect flows are again to the sell side (they were a sell in last week's shortened week too). Kweichow was a BIG net sell. Semi tech...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 July 2024): A Big Broad Sell in Third Plenum Week

NORTHBOUND's net buy the previous week was a one-off perhaps. This week saw heavy net selling across the board. Not index-weighted.

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jul 19th): Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Midea, Zhongji Innolight, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Jul-2024): Taiwan to announce offshore wind rules by 3Q24.

Taiwan progresses in offshore wind regulations, while collaborations with Poland advance in photonics; China's OLED investment benefits South...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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