Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's Latest 2024E Industry Guidance Provided at Symposium in Taiwan</li>
<li>More Potential Details on Nvidia &amp; Mediatek's AI PC Chip to Compete with Qualcomm &amp; Intel</li>
<li>Samsung's HBM DRAM Chips Face Challenges in Meeting Nvidia's AI Requirements</li>
</ul>


TSMC's Latest 2024E Industry Guidance Provided at Symposium in Taiwan
More Potential Details on Nvidia &amp; Mediatek's AI PC Chip to Compete with Qualcomm &amp; Intel
Samsung's HBM DRAM Chips Face Challenges in Meeting Nvidia's AI Requirements


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Vanguard should declare to established 12" Fab in Singapore within 2014.</li>
<li>Vanguard is likely to announce the establishment of 2 sets of 12" fabs in the next 6 months.  </li>
<li>China is expanding 28/22nm and above technologies, and we believe it's more appropriate for Vanguard to compete with others rather than TSMC.</li>
</ul>


Vanguard should declare to established 12" Fab in Singapore within 2014.
Vanguard is likely to announce the establishment of 2 sets of 12" fabs in the next 6 months.  
China is expanding 28/22nm and above technologies, and we believe it's more appropriate for Vanguard to compete with others rather than TSMC.


Vanguard (5347.TT): Planning to Announce the Construction of a 12" Fab in Singapore in 2024.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>New multi-year highs on the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes -- combined with overwhelmingly healthy market dynamics -- validates our bullish outlook on global equities.</li>
<li>We continue to view the latest 5-6% pullback on $ACWI as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market, and we expect higher prices ahead.</li>
<li>Global Energy Sector appears to be topping, and Materials could be next. We highlight buys in Technology (quickly becoming leadership again) and Consumer Discretionary/Retail </li>
</ul>


New multi-year highs on the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes -- combined with overwhelmingly healthy market dynamics -- validates our bullish outlook on global equities.
We continue to view the latest 5-6% pullback on $ACWI as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market, and we expect higher prices ahead.
Global Energy Sector appears to be topping, and Materials could be next. We highlight buys in Technology (quickly becoming leadership again) and Consumer Discretionary/Retail 


Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs; Global Energy Sector Deteriorating, Is Materials Next?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Nvidia announced (22 May) FY1Q25 results. Quarterly revenue was US$26.0bn, up 262% YoY and 17.8% QoQ (22.0% QoQ in FY4Q24).</li><li>FY1Q25 revenue beat Bloomberg consensus of US$24.7bn by 5.5%.</li><li>Data center revenue continued to soar and topped US$22.6bn, up 426.7% YoY and 22.6% QoQ (26.8% QoQ in FY4Q24).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Nvidia announced (22 May) FY1Q25 results. Quarterly revenue was US$26.0bn, up 262% YoY and 17.8% QoQ (22.0% QoQ in FY4Q24).FY1Q25 revenue beat Bloomberg consensus of US$24.7bn by 5.5%.Data center revenue continued to soar and topped US$22.6bn, up 426.7% YoY and 22.6% QoQ (26.8% QoQ in FY4Q24).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semi - Nvidia: To keep growing for longer

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Asian Decline:  China &amp; HK hits record lows and remains a key underweight.  Australia and Japan near ownership lows and India becomes a key underweight.  Taiwan powers to record highs. </li>
<li>Americas Dominance: The United States remains the top allocation and largest country underweight.  Value funds increase underweight in the USA but Growth funds reduce.  Argentina rises at Brazil’s expense.</li>
<li>EMEA Conviction Overweight: The UK, France, and the Netherlands maintain near-record overweights. France sees some declining interest, while Belgium, Norway, and Finland play diminishing role. MENA underweight grows.</li>
</ul>


Asian Decline:  China &amp; HK hits record lows and remains a key underweight.  Australia and Japan near ownership lows and India becomes a key underweight.  Taiwan powers to record highs. 
Americas Dominance: The United States remains the top allocation and largest country underweight.  Value funds increase underweight in the USA but Growth funds reduce.  Argentina rises at Brazil’s expense.
EMEA Conviction Overweight: The UK, France, and the Netherlands maintain near-record overweights. France sees some declining interest, while Belgium, Norway, and Finland play diminishing role. MENA underweight grows.


Taiwan Shines as China & Japan Decline:  Global Funds Top-Down Positioning Report

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead

TSMC provides industry guidance for 2024E, more detail on Nvidia and Mediatek developing AI PC chip to rival Qualcomm and Intel, Samsung's HBM...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Vanguard (5347.TT): Planning to Announce the Construction of a 12" Fab in Singapore in 2024.

Vanguard plans to establish two 12" fabs in Singapore in 2014 to compete with other companies in the expanding Chinese market.

Patrick Liao

Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs; Global Energy Sector Deteriorating, Is Materials Next?

There are few things more bullish than Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs $ACWI $ACWX $EFA $EEM; Buys in Tech $TSM; Global Energy Sector...

Vermilion Research

Semi - Nvidia: To keep growing for longer

Nvidia announced (22 May) FY1Q25 results. Quarterly revenue was US$26.0bn, up 262% YoY and 17.8% QoQ (22.0% QoQ in FY4Q24). FY1Q25 revenue beat. ...

CMB International

Taiwan Shines as China & Japan Decline: Global Funds Top-Down Positioning Report

Taiwan allocations rise in face of subdued Asia. USA dominant though Value funds increase underweights. UK, France & Netherlands remain key...

Steven Holden

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Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead

​TSMC provides industry guidance for 2024E, more detail on Nvidia and Mediatek developing AI PC chip to rival Qualcomm and Intel, Samsung's HBM...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Vanguard (5347.TT): Planning to Announce the Construction of a 12" Fab in Singapore in 2024.

​Vanguard plans to establish two 12" fabs in Singapore in 2014 to compete with other companies in the expanding Chinese market.

Patrick Liao

Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs; Global Energy Sector Deteriorating, Is Materials Next?

There are few things more bullish than Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs $ACWI $ACWX $EFA $EEM; Buys in Tech $TSM; Global Energy Sector...

Vermilion Research

Semi - Nvidia: To keep growing for longer

Nvidia announced (22 May) FY1Q25 results. Quarterly revenue was US$26.0bn, up 262% YoY and 17.8% QoQ (22.0% QoQ in FY4Q24). FY1Q25 revenue beat. ...

CMB International

Taiwan Shines as China & Japan Decline: Global Funds Top-Down Positioning Report

Taiwan allocations rise in face of subdued Asia. USA dominant though Value funds increase underweights. UK, France & Netherlands remain key...

Steven Holden

TSMC provides industry guidance for 2024E, more detail on Nvidia and Mediatek developing AI PC chip to rival Qualcomm and Intel, Samsung's HBM...

Vanguard plans to establish two 12" fabs in Singapore in 2014 to compete with other companies in the expanding Chinese market.