Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>AI spending is fueling today's semiconductor market, as generative AI demand falls into place</li>
<li>Hyperscale datacenters are doing the bulk of today's spending as they invest in advance of demand</li>
<li>These investments are falling into question, and spending is likely to level off or drop in 2025, leading to a dramatic semiconductor downturn</li>
</ul>


AI spending is fueling today's semiconductor market, as generative AI demand falls into place
Hyperscale datacenters are doing the bulk of today's spending as they invest in advance of demand
These investments are falling into question, and spending is likely to level off or drop in 2025, leading to a dramatic semiconductor downturn


2025 High Conviction: AI Chip Spend Slows

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>981 HK/1347 HK/TSMC US/9660 HK: US orders halt of 7nm processor sales to China (+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>XPEV US/1810 HK:Xpeng P7+’s pre-order exceeded 30,000 in the first day, posing a challenge to Xiaomi SU7.(///)</li>
<li>1810 HK: Sales of Xiaomi 15 series break 1mn units, faster than prior model (+)</li>
</ul>


981 HK/1347 HK/TSMC US/9660 HK: US orders halt of 7nm processor sales to China (+/+/-/-)
XPEV US/1810 HK:Xpeng P7+’s pre-order exceeded 30,000 in the first day, posing a challenge to Xiaomi SU7.(///)
1810 HK: Sales of Xiaomi 15 series break 1mn units, faster than prior model (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/TSMC US/9660 HK/XPEV US/1810 HK/ZTO US/BABA US/Macro News Updated

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Trump 2.0 means reboot of aggressive tariff policy toward China</li><li>TSMC suspends shipments of more advanced chips to mainland clients, sources say</li><li>State-owned China COSCO Shipping Corp. Ltd. has opened a new sea-land route that reduces the time it takes to transport goods from China to Europe by one-fifth</li></ul>

Trump 2.0 means reboot of aggressive tariff policy toward ChinaTSMC suspends shipments of more advanced chips to mainland clients, sources sayState-owned China COSCO Shipping Corp. Ltd. has opened a new sea-land route that reduces the time it takes to transport goods from China to Europe by one-fifth

CX Daily: Trump 2.0 Means Reboot of Aggressive Tariff Policy Toward China 

<ul>
<li>We believe key to Trump's MAGA agenda is to revamp the US growth model of using trade deficit to fund the economy. Trump needs to cut imports without elicit inflation;</li>
<li>A way to cut inflation is to structurally lower the US cost of living. To do so will affect the lives of millions which means income tax cut is necessary;</li>
<li>To lower income tax without adding trade deficit, Trump needs to scale back government spending. Elon Musk, if making good of its US$2tn cuts plan, will help.</li>
</ul>


We believe key to Trump's MAGA agenda is to revamp the US growth model of using trade deficit to fund the economy. Trump needs to cut imports without elicit inflation;
A way to cut inflation is to structurally lower the US cost of living. To do so will affect the lives of millions which means income tax cut is necessary;
To lower income tax without adding trade deficit, Trump needs to scale back government spending. Elon Musk, if making good of its US$2tn cuts plan, will help.


If Trump Doesn't Launch Trade War in His First Year, Is There Still a Need to Stimulate?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 8th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,059.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD77mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Foxconn Technology, Wistron, TSMC, Mediatek, United Microelectronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 8th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,059.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD77mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Foxconn Technology, Wistron, TSMC, Mediatek, United Microelectronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 8th): Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

2025 High Conviction: AI Chip Spend Slows

AI spending is driving strong semiconductor growth today, but see why hyperscale spending, like 2000's Internet Bubble, is approaching an overbuilt...

Jim Handy

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/TSMC US/9660 HK/XPEV US/1810 HK/ZTO US/BABA US/Macro News Updated

US halts sales of 7nm processors to China; Xpeng P7+ pre-orders surpass 30,000, challenging Xiaomi SU7; Xiaomi 15 series sales exceed 1mn units...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: Trump 2.0 Means Reboot of Aggressive Tariff Policy Toward China

As the 78-year-old Republican prepares to lead a deeply divided nation, all eyes are on the critical decisions shaping his second-term...

Caixin Global

If Trump Doesn't Launch Trade War in His First Year, Is There Still a Need to Stimulate?

Trump's MAGA agenda hinges on cutting imports and lowering cost of living, which can then fund his campaign on immigration and foreign trade....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 8th): Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

2025 High Conviction: AI Chip Spend Slows

AI spending is driving strong semiconductor growth today, but see why hyperscale spending, like 2000's Internet Bubble, is approaching an overbuilt...

Jim Handy

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/TSMC US/9660 HK/XPEV US/1810 HK/ZTO US/BABA US/Macro News Updated

​US halts sales of 7nm processors to China; Xpeng P7+ pre-orders surpass 30,000, challenging Xiaomi SU7; Xiaomi 15 series sales exceed 1mn units...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: Trump 2.0 Means Reboot of Aggressive Tariff Policy Toward China

As the 78-year-old Republican prepares to lead a deeply divided nation, all eyes are on the critical decisions shaping his second-term...

Caixin Global

If Trump Doesn't Launch Trade War in His First Year, Is There Still a Need to Stimulate?

​Trump's MAGA agenda hinges on cutting imports and lowering cost of living, which can then fund his campaign on immigration and foreign trade....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 8th): Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

US halts sales of 7nm processors to China; Xpeng P7+ pre-orders surpass 30,000, challenging Xiaomi SU7; Xiaomi 15 series sales exceed 1mn units...

Trump's MAGA agenda hinges on cutting imports and lowering cost of living, which can then fund his campaign on immigration and foreign trade....