Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron, Gigabyte Tech, Compal Elec, Mediatek, Accton Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron, Gigabyte Tech, Compal Elec, Mediatek, Accton Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron, Gigabyte Tech

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.</li>
<li>We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.</li>
<li>Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.</li>
</ul>


We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.
We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.
Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.


Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The inventory adjustment of consumer electronics products is nearing completion and industrial products will end later.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silergy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13998:1" rel="noopener">Silergy Corp (6415 TT)</a>'s short-term growth momentum comes from the demand of new smartphone, while its long-term growth momentum comes from the automotive, new energy and high-performance computing area.</li>
<li>In 1H24, the pro forma gross profit margin can be maintained at around 50%.</li>
</ul>


The inventory adjustment of consumer electronics products is nearing completion and industrial products will end later.

Silergy Corp (6415 TT)'s short-term growth momentum comes from the demand of new smartphone, while its long-term growth momentum comes from the automotive, new energy and high-performance computing area.
In 1H24, the pro forma gross profit margin can be maintained at around 50%.


Silergy (6415.TT): Silergy Expect to Grow Slightly in 4Q23F.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Earnings season wrapping up -- Hon Hai &amp; Asustek recently reported... Some AI names rallied hard but our Nvidia L/S trade still working</li>
<li>Hon Hai’s margin expansion story is finally starting to be realized. Stock's perceived political risk could be an opportunity.</li>
<li>How Asustek plans to take the lead globally in AI PCs; Gaming PCs will be the first key battleground. MSI could be an interesting play on Asustek's recent strong performance.</li>
</ul>


Earnings season wrapping up -- Hon Hai &amp; Asustek recently reported... Some AI names rallied hard but our Nvidia L/S trade still working
Hon Hai’s margin expansion story is finally starting to be realized. Stock's perceived political risk could be an opportunity.
How Asustek plans to take the lead globally in AI PCs; Gaming PCs will be the first key battleground. MSI could be an interesting play on Asustek's recent strong performance.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Names Rally But Nvidia Long/Short Still Working; Hon Hai & Asustek Take-Aways

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 4Q23F results will be higher than 3Q23, but lower than 4Q22.</li>
<li>If the market is unchanged, and it will be slightly upside in 2024F market. </li>
<li>For the target of GM 10% is still unchanged in 2025F.</li>
</ul>


The 4Q23F results will be higher than 3Q23, but lower than 4Q22.
If the market is unchanged, and it will be slightly upside in 2024F market. 
For the target of GM 10% is still unchanged in 2025F.


Hon Hai (2317.TT): If the Market Is Unchanged, and It Will Be Slightly Upside in 2024 Market.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron, Gigabyte Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

There is significant evidence that global equities $ACWI have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. It all started when we discussed that the...

Vermilion Research

Silergy (6415.TT): Silergy Expect to Grow Slightly in 4Q23F.

It will grow slightly in 4Q23F. The inventory adjustment of consumer electronics products is nearing completion and industrial products, including...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Names Rally But Nvidia Long/Short Still Working; Hon Hai & Asustek Take-Aways

Also how Asustek plans to take the lead globally in AI PCs; Gaming PCs will be the first key battleground. MSI could be an interesting play on...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai (2317.TT): If the Market Is Unchanged, and It Will Be Slightly Upside in 2024 Market.

The 4Q23F results will be higher than 3Q23, but lower than 4Q22. If the market is unchanged, and it will be slightly upside in 2024F market. For...

Patrick Liao

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