Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Massive TSMC Rises 13.8% in Just a Week; Mediatek a Top 10 Gainer for Second Week in a Row</li>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Sales Should Be Gradually Increasing QoQ in 2024F; IPhone 16 Is on Schedule. </li>
<li>PC Monitor: Long Dell Vs. Short Acer Update; Dell &amp; HPQ Results Indicate Opportunity in Asus </li>
</ul>


Massive TSMC Rises 13.8% in Just a Week; Mediatek a Top 10 Gainer for Second Week in a Row
TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Sales Should Be Gradually Increasing QoQ in 2024F; IPhone 16 Is on Schedule. 
PC Monitor: Long Dell Vs. Short Acer Update; Dell &amp; HPQ Results Indicate Opportunity in Asus 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Surge Leads Taiwan Stocks Higher; Advanced Chip Packaging in Focus

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in March but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> is the largest buy while capping results in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> being the largest sell by far.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of nearly US$3bn. There are a few stocks with more than 0.2x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in March but there are a lot of float and capping changes.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) is the largest buy while capping results in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) being the largest sell by far.
Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of nearly US$3bn. There are a few stocks with more than 0.2x ADV to trade.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Over US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 8th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD69.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in TSMC, ASE, Mediatek, Yageo, Faraday Tech, Chung-Hsin, Momo.Com.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 8th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD69.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in TSMC, ASE, Mediatek, Yageo, Faraday Tech, Chung-Hsin, Momo.Com.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 8th): TSMC, ASE, Mediatek, Yageo, Faraday Tech, Chung-Hsin, Momo.Com

Research Coverage of Japanese Listed Companies, Shared Research Inc

Shared Research

Research Coverage of Japanese Listed Companies

Shared Research Inc

Pioneering research coverage of Japanese listed companies. Now customizable and interactive for global institutional investors. Corporate access reimagined.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:280:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)</a> is a global manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment (SPE).</li>
<li>In FY03/23, the company posted revenue of JPY2.2tn, operating profit of JPY617.7bn, recurring profit of JPY625.2bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY471.6bn.</li>
<li>Tokyo Electron Limited announced revisions to its full-year earnings forecast for FY03/24.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Electron (8035 JP) is a global manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment (SPE).
In FY03/23, the company posted revenue of JPY2.2tn, operating profit of JPY617.7bn, recurring profit of JPY625.2bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY471.6bn.
Tokyo Electron Limited announced revisions to its full-year earnings forecast for FY03/24.


Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>It's the first MoM decline in semi sales since February 2023, but it's a seasonal thing &amp; YoY comparisons continue to grow stronger. </li>
<li>Forecasting 10% YoY growth in 2024 semiconductor sales, in line with TSMC's outlook</li>
<li>$1 trillion in annual semiconductor sales will likely happen in 2032 based on a 7.7% CAGR over the coming decade. </li>
</ul>


It's the first MoM decline in semi sales since February 2023, but it's a seasonal thing &amp; YoY comparisons continue to grow stronger. 
Forecasting 10% YoY growth in 2024 semiconductor sales, in line with TSMC's outlook
$1 trillion in annual semiconductor sales will likely happen in 2032 based on a 7.7% CAGR over the coming decade. 


Global Semi Sales Decline 2.3% MoM In January

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Surge Leads Taiwan Stocks Higher; Advanced Chip Packaging in Focus

TSMC and Mediatek see significant stock gains, with TSMC ramping advanced packaging capacity and the iPhone 16 is on schedule. Dell and HPQ...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Over US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA

TSMC is the largest buy and NVIDIA is the largest sell at the SMH rebalance in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a round-trip...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 8th): TSMC, ASE, Mediatek, Yageo, Faraday Tech, Chung-Hsin, Momo.Com

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TSMC, ASE, Mediatek, Yageo, Faraday Tech, Chung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tokyo Electron (8035): Q3 FY03/24 Update

Tokyo Electron is a global manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment, with strong financial performance in FY03/23 and revised earnings...

Shared Research

Global Semi Sales Decline 2.3% MoM In January

The first MoM drop in semi sales since Feb 23, but it's a seasonal thing & YoY comps continue to improve.Forecasting 10% YoY growth in 2024 & $1...

William Keating

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Surge Leads Taiwan Stocks Higher; Advanced Chip Packaging in Focus

​TSMC and Mediatek see significant stock gains, with TSMC ramping advanced packaging capacity and the iPhone 16 is on schedule. Dell and HPQ...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Over US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA

TSMC is the largest buy and NVIDIA is the largest sell at the SMH rebalance in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a round-trip...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 8th): TSMC, ASE, Mediatek, Yageo, Faraday Tech, Chung-Hsin, Momo.Com

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TSMC, ASE, Mediatek, Yageo, Faraday Tech, Chung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tokyo Electron (8035): Q3 FY03/24 Update

​Tokyo Electron is a global manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment, with strong financial performance in FY03/23 and revised earnings...

Shared Research

Global Semi Sales Decline 2.3% MoM In January

The first MoM drop in semi sales since Feb 23, but it's a seasonal thing & YoY comps continue to improve.Forecasting 10% YoY growth in 2024 & $1...

William Keating

TSMC and Mediatek see significant stock gains, with TSMC ramping advanced packaging capacity and the iPhone 16 is on schedule. Dell and HPQ...

Tokyo Electron is a global manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment, with strong financial performance in FY03/23 and revised earnings...