Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 7 September, Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) announced a major stock swap with KT Corp (030200 KS). </li>
<li>KT will exchange about 750 billion won (7.7%) of KT's treasury stock for 445.6 billion won (1.04%) of Hyundai Motor shares and 300.3 billion won (1.46%) of Hyundai Mobis shares.</li>
<li>This stock swap is likely to have a bigger positive impact on KT versus Hyundai Motor and Hyundai Mobis. </li>
</ul>


On 7 September, Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) announced a major stock swap with KT Corp (030200 KS). 
KT will exchange about 750 billion won (7.7%) of KT's treasury stock for 445.6 billion won (1.04%) of Hyundai Motor shares and 300.3 billion won (1.46%) of Hyundai Mobis shares.
This stock swap is likely to have a bigger positive impact on KT versus Hyundai Motor and Hyundai Mobis. 


Major Stock Swap Between Hyundai Motor Group and KT Corp

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.</li>
<li>Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.</li>
</ul>


We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.
Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.


Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

<ul>
<li>Hankyung Business Daily reported today that KT Corp (030200 KS) is close to selling its 36.9% controlling stake in Kt Submarine (060370 KS) to LS Cable &amp; System.</li>
<li>Once the KT Submarine deal is completed, this could positively impact KT Corp's dividends.</li>
<li>KT Corp's selling of its controlling stake in KT Submarine would fit along its restructuring plans to sell off some businesses that are considered non-core.</li>
</ul>


Hankyung Business Daily reported today that KT Corp (030200 KS) is close to selling its 36.9% controlling stake in Kt Submarine (060370 KS) to LS Cable &amp; System.
Once the KT Submarine deal is completed, this could positively impact KT Corp's dividends.
KT Corp's selling of its controlling stake in KT Submarine would fit along its restructuring plans to sell off some businesses that are considered non-core.


KT Corp: Close to Selling Its Subsidiary KT Submarine to LS Cable & System

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>K Bank is the first Internet-only bank in Korea. K Bank is the second largest Internet bank in Korea after KakaoBank (323410 KS).</li>
<li>K Bank had revenues of 282.1 billion won (up 263.6% YoY) and operating profit of 24.5 billion won (turned black YoY) in 2021.</li>
<li>The recent declines in major cryptocurrencies are likely to have a negative impact on K Bank which could delay its IPO until 2023.</li>
</ul>


K Bank is the first Internet-only bank in Korea. K Bank is the second largest Internet bank in Korea after KakaoBank (323410 KS).
K Bank had revenues of 282.1 billion won (up 263.6% YoY) and operating profit of 24.5 billion won (turned black YoY) in 2021.
The recent declines in major cryptocurrencies are likely to have a negative impact on K Bank which could delay its IPO until 2023.


K Bank: The First Internet-Only Bank In Korea

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>On 20 May, we recommended selling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> and buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a>. That trade is up 12% over the last month.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have sold 2.5m shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> in the last month while buying 2.8m shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>With the price ratio trading at a 4 year low, we feel is is time to start unwinding the trade and waiting for a little bit before reversing it.</li>
</ul>


On 20 May, we recommended selling SK Telecom (017670 KS) and buying KT Corp (030200 KS). That trade is up 12% over the last month.
Foreign investors have sold 2.5m shares of SK Telecom (017670 KS) in the last month while buying 2.8m shares of KT Corp (030200 KS). 
With the price ratio trading at a 4 year low, we feel is is time to start unwinding the trade and waiting for a little bit before reversing it.


SK Telecom / KT Corp: Foreign Room, Passive Flow & Trade Update

South Korea

KT Corporation provides telecommunication services including local, long distance, and international calling, satellite communication, data transmission, and wireless telephone services in South Korea.  The Company also offers network portal and high-speed Internet access services using asymmetric digital subscriber lines (ADSLs).

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KT Corp (030200 KS)

Major Stock Swap Between Hyundai Motor Group and KT Corp

On 7 September, Hyundai Motor Group announced a major stock swap with KT Corp (030200 KS) worth about 750 billion won, which is likely to have a...

Douglas Kim

Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on $EEM. Specifically, the EEM has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If EEM has...

Vermilion Research

KT Corp: Close to Selling Its Subsidiary KT Submarine to LS Cable & System

Hankyung Business Daily reported today that KT Corp (030200 KS) is close to selling its 36.9% controlling stake in Kt Submarine (060370 KS) to LS...

Douglas Kim

K Bank: The First Internet-Only Bank In Korea

K Bank is the second largest Internet bank in Korea. K Bank had revenues of 282.1 billion won (up 263.6% YoY) and operating profit of 24.5 billion...

Douglas Kim

SK Telecom / KT Corp: Foreign Room, Passive Flow & Trade Update

SK Telecom has underperformed KT Corp by 12% over the last month. Foreign investors have been selling SK Tel & buying KT Corp. The price ratio is...

Brian Freitas

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