Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT Docomo, Evergrande Properties/Auto, Wilmar, Swire, Immunomedics

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

Sometimes, the "ESG stuff" can really alter the outcome of an IPO. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saudi-aramco" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27317:1" rel="noopener">Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB)</a> debut was curbed by Environmental concerns. WeWork's failed IPO is a case study in founder-led Governance risk. Palantir quashed its "adjustable voting power for founders" after an uproar.
ESG impacts IPOs. But not Ant's IPO.
Ant's ESG profile is strong. There a few skeletons in the closet if you look hard enough, but they are bygone and irrelevant . Current ESG blemishes are minor. There isn't much dirt for ESG idealists to wallow in. If they are even looking at all; as a "China deal," ESG has a different relevance for Ant.
Ant's IPO is a momentous ESG event, but not in the traditional and obvious way.
This is not about ESG impacting Ant's IPO. This is about Ant's IPO impacting ESG.
Looking at Ant through a typical ESG lens will make one's head spin. But step back and look again, and it becomes clear that Ant is a strategically-integrated masterpiece at the vanguard of a critical crossroads – the intersection of Fintech, financial inclusion, green finance, and sustainability.
It is all a matter of perspective.
Seeing the forest for the trees.

Sometimes, the "ESG stuff" can really alter the outcome of an IPO. The Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB) debut was curbed by Environmental concerns. WeWork's failed IPO is a case study in founder-led Governance risk. Palantir quashed its "adjustable voting power for founders" after an uproar.
ESG impacts IPOs. But not Ant's IPO.
Ant's ESG profile is strong. There a few skeletons in the closet if you look hard enough, but they are bygone and irrelevant . Current ESG blemishes are minor. There isn't much dirt for ESG idealists to wallow in. If they are even looking at all; as a "China deal," ESG has a different relevance for Ant.
Ant's IPO is a momentous ESG event, but not in the traditional and obvious way.
This is not about ESG impacting Ant's IPO. This is about Ant's IPO impacting ESG.
Looking at Ant through a typical ESG lens will make one's head spin. But step back and look again, and it becomes clear that Ant is a strategically-integrated masterpiece at the vanguard of a critical crossroads – the intersection of Fintech, financial inclusion, green finance, and sustainability.
It is all a matter of perspective.
Seeing the forest for the trees.

Ant Group Pre-IPO ESG Assessment: Seeing the Forest for the Trees




For the month of September, 21 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$70b, bolstered by the monster deal for NTT Docomo Inc (9437 JP).


Clicking on the company name in the table below will take you to the entity page where you can read the initial insight(s) written by Smartkarma contributors on these new deals and follow up discussions, or simply click on the insight link(s) below the name.





New Deals


Industry


Size (US$bn)


Type


Premium




Australia




Citadel Group (CGL AU) 
IT Services
0.3
Scheme
43.2%



   Citadel Group: Private Equity Partners' Offer




DWS Ltd (DWS AU) 
IT services
0.1
Scheme
33.3%



   HCL-DWS(DWS AU): Cash Deal Trading Wide







Hong Kong




AMVIG Holdings (2300 HK) 
Tobacco packaging
0.3
MGO
51.39%



   AMVIG (2300 HK): Smoker's Delight - Possible Conditional Offer




Changshouhua Food (1006 HK) 
Edible oils
0.15
Scheme
16.4%


   Changshouhua (1006 HK): What's Cooking?




Cross Harbour Holdings (32 HK) 
Toll roads
0.2
VGO
42.4%



   Cross-Harbour (32 HK): Voluntary Offer. Price Not Final




Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) 
Financials
0.1
VGO
5.59%



   Get Nice (64 HK)'s VGO. Possible Downstream Offer For Get Nice (1469 HK)




Macau Legend Development (1680 HK) 
Gaming
0.3
MGO
9.38%



   Macau Legend (1680 HK): Mandatory General Offer




China Zhongdi Dairy (1492 HK) 
Dairy
0.2
MGO
11.0%



   Zhongdi Dairy (1492 HK): Possible MGO from Yili



 







India




Allcargo Logistics (AGLL IN) 
Logistics
0.1
Delisting




   Allcargo Logistics (AGLL IN): Indian Delisting Offer Trading Cheap







Japan




Hinokiya Holdings (1413 JP) 
Electronic Retailer
0.1
Partial
12%



   Yamada Denki Partial TOB For Hinokiya (1413 JP)
    Hinokiya (1413 JP) Partial Tender Arb Grids &amp; ProRation




Kirindo Holdings (3194 JP) 
Retail
0.3
Tender Offer
39.7%



   Kirindo (3194) - Another Cheap Bain MBO With Weak Adherence to Fair M&amp;A Guidelines



 Hitachi Capital (8586 JP) / Mitsubishi UFJ Lease &amp; Finance (8593 JP) 
Leasing
7.1
Merger




   Hitachi's Hitachi Capital Capital Case - A Merger With MUFG Lease




NTT Docomo Inc (9437 JP) 
Telco
40
Tender Offer
40.5%



   NTT Docomo SHOCKER - Nikkei Says Parent NTT To Buy Out Docomo Minorities
   NTT – Initial Thoughts Reading Through the Lines of the Shock News
   NTT – NTT Is Going Big and Our Suspicions Are Aroused Further
   NTT Deal for DoCoMo - Not Going Gentle, Definitely Raging Against the Dying of the Light




Ryoyo Electro (8068 JP) 
Electronic Retailer
0.1
Partial
0%



   Ryoyo Electro Corporate Activism Ends in Buyout




Mcubs Midcity Investment Cor (3227 JP) 
REIT
1.2
Merger




   MCUBS Midcity (3227 JP): Scrip Deal Trading Tight But There's a BETTER Trade











Thailand








COL PCL (COL TB) 


Retailer

0.4
Delisting
26.7%



   COL-Central Retail Corp: Thailand Delisting Offer Trading Tight







US




51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US) 
HR solutions
5.3
Going Private
16.05%


  You're Hired! DCP's Proposal For 51job.Inc










Europe/UK




Altice NV A (ATC NA) 
Telco
5.8
Tender Offer
23.8%



   Altice - Next Private Takeover Announcement




Play Communications SA (1P1 GR) 
Telco
2.6
Tender Offer
38.8%



   Play Communications - Iliad: Offer Announcement




William Hill (WMH LN) 
Gaming
3.7
Rumoured
25%



   William Hill - Caesars: Entertainment Prospective Bid




Ahlstrom-Munksjo (AM1 FH) 
Materials
2.0
Tender offer
37.1%



  Ahlstrom-Munksjo (AM1 FH): Tender Offer Trading Tight - Will There Be Bumpitrage?
  Ahlstrom-Munksjö - Spa Holdings 3: Friendly Offer 






Source: Smartkarma Insights


The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was ~26% and the YTD average premium for all deals discussed on Smartkarma (106 all-in) is 33%.  The average for all deals discussed on Smartkarma in 2019 (145 deals all-in) was 31.5%.

At present, it is difficult to gauge what level of control premium the acquirer will be willing to pay for Allcargo Logistics (AGLL IN) and it is unlikely that we will find the answer until the RBB process is complete. 

The Offer(s) for British bookmaker William Hill (WMH LN) are as yet not official. 


The charts below provide a snapshot of deals YTD discussed on Smartkarma. Where the deal is a merger of equals or similar, I've assigned no premium.







Summary of News in September of Arb Situations On Smartkarma's Radar



(Again, click on the company names to take to you to the insights and/or discussion posts for a more comprehensive read-through on each situation. Where a new insight was written on these names in July, I've included a link, in bold, to that insight in italics.)





Australia


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




3P Learning (3PL AU) 

No September update




Cardinal Resources (CDV AU) 

2-Sep: Nordgold has bumped its Offer by 36.4% to A$0.90/share from A$0.66/share.   Cardinal Resources (CDV AU): Nordgold's Knockout Offer
7-Sep: Shandong intends to increase its Offer Price to A$1.00/share.
Cardinal Resources (CDV AU): Shandong Trumps Nordgold’s Knockout Offer
9-Sep: Nordgold extends its Offer to the 24 September. 
15-Sep: CDV directors holding 6.07% have publicly stated their intention to accept Shandong's Offer.
17-Sep: Nordgold extends its Offer until the 8 October.
21-Sep: Shandong's Offer declared unconditional. They currently hold 10.94%.




Cassini Resources (CZI AU) 

24-Sep: Scheme effective




Cromwell Property (CMW AU) 

21-Sep: ARA now has 28.53% in Cromwell Property (CMW AU).




Infigen Energy (IFN AU) 

8-Sep: The AFR reported that UAC Energy had sold their 19.9% stake in Infigen Energy (IFN AU) into Iberdrola SA (IBE SM)'s revised bid. Iberdrola now have 97%. This is completely done. 




Onevue Holdings (OVH AU) 

4-Sep: The Scheme Meeting will be held on the 9 October.




OptiComm Ltd (OPC AU) 

8-Sep: Non-binding Offer from First State
OptiComm: First State Gatecrashes Uniti's Offer
25-Sep: OptiComm Ltd (OPC AU) will hold a Scheme Meeting on the 13 October to consider Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU) 's Offer. 




Village Roadshow (VRL AU) 

25-Sep: Three films have been deferred. This would imply the A$0.08/share uplift is not payable.  






 





Hong Kong


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




Allied Properties (H.K.) (56 HK) 
In its weekly update concerning the progress of the High Court sanctioning, Allied Properties (H.K.) (56 HK) says there is no new update.



Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK) 
4-Sep: In its monthly update, the company announces that there is no update.



Car Inc (699 HK) 
No September update



CGN New Energy Holdings (1811 HK) 
28-Aug: In its monthly update, CGN says there is no update on the deal.



Golden Meditech Holdings (801 HK) 

16-Sep: Scheme approved. 




Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK) 

1-Sep: The pre-conditions have been fulfilled - ie. approval from the independent shareholders of Haier Smart Home (600690 CH). The despatch of the Scheme Doc has now been extended to the 30 November, from 4 September previously.
Haier (1169 HK): Back To Entry Levels




Huadian Fuxin Energy Corp (816 HK) 

9-Sep: Lakeville Capital Management Ltd. has given a letter of intent to support the Merger. Lakeville holds 96.089mn shares or 3.74% of the total issued H shares. 
16-Sep: Shareholders approve the merger.




Jinmao Hotel &amp; Jinmao (China) Hotel Investments and Management Limited (6139 HK) 

10-Sep: Shareholders approve the Scheme.




Leyou Technologies (1089 HK) 

9-Sep: The SFC has granted consent to an extension of the time limit for despatching the Scheme Document from 17 September 2020 to 9 November 2020.  
A delay was anticipated - but this is about two weeks past my expected despatch date. The delay is expected to push the despatch of cheques to mid-late December.
23-Sep: Tencent/Leyou: China Bytes




O-Net Technologies (Group) (877 HK) 

1-Sep: O-Net (877 HK): Offer Doc Out. Priced To Complete
The Scheme for O-Net Technologies (Group) (877 HK) passes - 100% approval. 




Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK) 

1-Sep: Unaudited profit before and after non-controlling interests was RMB573mn and RMB391mn respectively, up 64.6% &amp; 116% as compared to RMB348mn and RMB181mn in 1H19.
3-Sep: The partial results are out - 755.8mn tendered against the maximum number of shares to be bought of 392.8mn. Or 51.97% pro-ration - nice one Travis Lundy. The settlement is expected to take place on or before the 14 September (not 11 September as per the circular on account of the delay in the SGM due to the typhoon last month). Shares not bought will be also be returned on this date.




Xinghua Port Holdings (1990 HK) 
16-Sep: Right on cue - this turned unconditional on the first close - 95.91% tendered. The Offer has been automatically extended for another 14 days. 



Yixin Group Ltd (2858 HK) 
4-Sep: Yixin Group Ltd (2858 HK) announced that the Merger is progressing, and Bitauto Holdings (BITA US) just filed a response letter to the SEC addressing some SEC comments. No date has been fixed for such shareholders’ meeting of Bitauto as of the date of this announcement.









India


Comments (with links to insights)




Adani Power Ltd (ADANI IN) 

No September update




Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN) 

8-Sep: Hexaware Technologies Reverse Book Build Auction - It's On 15-Sep: Hexaware Exit Offer Reverse Book Build Gets 90% &amp; Discovered Price - Now We Wait 23-Sep:Hexaware Tech Done at INR 475. Now For The Residual




INEOS Styrolution India Limited (INEOS IN) 

No September update




J.B. Chemicals &amp; Pharmaceut (JBCP IN) 

No September update




Sequent Scientific (SEQ IN) 

7-Sep: Vedanta: Reaching The End Game 17-Sep: Vedanta : More Fuel For The Fire
21-Sep: Vedanta (VEDL): Cash Raised, Money Flow, and How It Affects Delisting Offer Discovered Price




Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) 

7-Sep: Vedanta: Reaching The End Game 17-Sep: Vedanta : More Fuel For The Fire 21-Sep: Vedanta (VEDL): Cash Raised, Money Flow, and How It Affects Delisting Offer Discovered Price 29-Sep: Vedanta Reverse Book Build Auction - It’s On And the Schedule From Here Is Tight










Indonesia


Comments 




Bank Permata (BNLI IJ) 

No September update










Japan


Comments (with links to insights)




Cocokara Fine (3098 JP) 
23-Sep: Cocokara/MatsuKiyo - Big Gains Since Delay, Stay Long Both




FamilyMart Co Ltd (8028 JP) 

14-Sep: FTSE today announced the deletion of FamilyMart Co Ltd (8028 JP) from its indices as of the close of 11 November 2020, contingent on the passage of the agenda items at the EGM allowing a squeezeout of minority shareholders. 
17-Sep: Familymart: What's Next? And Will Mitsubishi React?




Kawasumi Laboratories (7703 JP) 
No September update; offer closes 30 Sep



Keihin Corp (7251 JP) / Showa Corp (7274 JP) 
2-Sep: The Honda TOBs: FINALLY. Tenders for Showa, Keihin, and Nissin Kogyo




LIXIL VIVA (3564 JP) 

17 Sep EGM held 




Nichii Gakkan Co (9792 JP) 

Record Date for EGM 3 Sep, EGM for 16 Oct, Delisting expected 5 November




OOTOYA Holdings (2705 JP) 

9-Sep: They announced they had gotten to 46.77% in the Tender Offer,




Sanyo Chemical Ind (4471 JP) /  Nippon Shokubai (4114 JP) 
No September update



Softbrain (4779 JP) 

On 28 Sep, the Opinion Statement was revised slightly. A couple of minor changes to the doc.  Tender offer finally launched on 29 Sep.










Malaysia


Comments




TA Global Bhd (TAGB MK) 
No September update










New Zealand


Comments (with links to announcements)




Metlifecare Ltd (MET NZ) 

1-Sep: Scheme docs out - as previously flagged, the Scheme Meeting will be held on the 2 October.
14-Sep: MET has been advised by Asia Pacific Village Group Limited that the New Zealand Overseas Investment Office has granted APVG consent to acquire 100% of Metlifecare.











Singapore


Comments (with links to insights and announcements)




Accordia Golf Trust (AGT SP) 

10-Sep: Securities Investors Association (Singapore) has sent a letter to Accordia Golf Trust (AGT SP)'s management company with questions ahead of the EGM. 
14-Sep: The Accordia Golf Trust (AGT SP) General Meeting went off without a hitch.  The selldown was approved 97.55% FOR 2.45% AGAINST. The proposed winding up was 99.4% FOR 0.6% AGAINST. EGM Results here. 
17-Sep: Accordia Golf Trust (AGT SP) will be deleted from FTSE Small Cap as of the morning of Sep 30.  It goes out one trading day before.
24-Sep: Accordia Golf Gets Interesting - Main Payment Shortly Then Run The Residual




Capitaland Commercial Trust (CCT SP) 

7-Sep: Capitaland Mall and CCT Merger: Circular Finally Out. Looks Done.




ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) / Sabana Shari'ah Compliant Industrial REIT (SSREITR SP) 

16-Sep: Quarz Capital has raised its stake in Sabana Shari'ah Compliant Industrial REIT (SSREITR SP) from 5% to 6% - it restated it intends to vote down the merger with ESR-REIT (EREIT SP).    22-Sep: Sabana Shari'ah Compliant Industrial REIT (SSREITR SP) has received a notice from the Courts to convene a Scheme Meeting. It is understood Quarz and Black Crane continue to hold out against the deal.




Perennial Real Estate Holdings (PREH SP) 
11-Sept: Compulsory acquisition completed




Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP) / Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) 

3-Sep: Sembcorp - Last Chance Before....
7-Sep:  Sembcorp Marine Rights Issue Results : Looks Like a Scheme of Introduction










Taiwan


Comments 




Boardtek Electronics (5349 TT) 
No September update



Casetek Holdings (5264 TT) 
No September update









Vietnam


Comments (with links to announcements)




Viglacera Corp (VGC VN) 
20-Sep: Gelex Bumps Viglacera Bid Again. High Pro-Ration Likely.. 





 






Middle East


Comments 




Samba Financial Group (SAMBA AB) /
National Commercial Bank (NCB AB) 

No September update 










Europe/UK


Comments (with links to announcements and insights)




Aker Solutions (AKSO NO) 

25-Sep: At the EGM, all proposals on the agenda were adopted, including approval of the merger plan.




Bolsas y Mercados Espanoles (BME SM) 
7-Sep: Bolsas Y Mercados - SIX Group: Squeeze-Out




CaixaBank SA (CABK SM) 
5-Sep: CaixaBank-Bankia Merger Conversations Announcement: First Take 18-Sep:  CaixaBank - Bankia: Definitive Agreement and Exchange Ratio




Mediawan (MDW FP) 
21-Sep: Antitrust approval received. 



NetEnt AB (NETB SS) 

No September update 








(Mostly) Asia M&A: September 2020 Roundup

Travis Lundy

Welsh poet Dylan Thomas is famous for one poem in particular - one called "Do not go gentle into that good night." It is a great poem, and I can always spare a brief moment to <a href="https://poets.org/poem/do-not-go-gentle-good-night" target="_blank" rel="noopener">re-read it</a>. It starts...Do not go gentle into that good night, Old age should burn and rave at close of day; Rage, rage against the dying of the light.This deal, and the accompanying <a href="https://www.nttdocomo.co.jp/english/info/media_center/pr/2020/pdf/english_news_release_200929_02.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">documentation</a> (and Nikkei article <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/NTT-to-take-over-wireless-unit-Docomo-for-38bn" target="_blank" rel="noopener">updates</a>) tell you NTT is not going gentle.An unkind interpretation might use a later stanza to point out that "grave men, near death, who see with blinding sight, Blind eyes could blaze like meteors and be gay" may produce a last gasp cascade of brilliance, but here the strategic rationale notes, and accompanying management actions are putting the world on notice.We're not going gentle.<hr>This morning, exactly eight hours after the Nikkei published articles in <a href="https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO64352350Y0A920C2MM8000/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Japanese</a> and <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/NTT-to-take-over-wireless-unit-Docomo-for-38bn" target="_blank" rel="noopener">English</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> would soon launch a Tender Offer to buy out the minority shareholders of its mobile telephony subsidiary and largest mobile phone operator in Japan by subscriber count <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-docomo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1089:1" rel="noopener">NTT Docomo Inc (9437 JP)</a>, NTT made a short release to the exchange saying that nothing had yet been decided regarding the subject "NTT to make DoCoMo a wholly-owned subsidiary" but that NTT would hold a board meeting that day to discuss the matter and if an announcement were warranted, there would be one."Nothing has been decided" in Japan Corporate-Speak specifically meant that the board had not resolved the matter at a board meeting. Sure enough, after the close, and after a day when the shares were pegged at limit-up all day long and the gray market traded ¥3450-3500 during that time, after the close NTT and NTT Docomo announced that NTT would conduct a Tender Offer to buy out minorities at ¥3900/share, which is a 40.5% premium to the undisturbed price.Given the ownership circumstances and the trading prices of other telecom stocks out there, this is a Very High Price Indeed.Interestingly, there is more than a hint of frustration shown by NTT in the Management Policy After the Tender Offer section of the document (so far only available in the DoCoMo Opinion <a href="https://www.nttdocomo.co.jp/english/info/media_center/pr/2020/pdf/english_news_release_200929_02.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">document</a>) and in the separate document outlining several management changes to be made 1 December (i.e. 1 week after settlement of the Tender Offer). That includes the NTT DoCoMo CEO Yoshizawa who will resign his board seat, and his roles as CEO and President. That is a wow. He will be replaced by Motoyuki Ii. There will be one more Representative Director added, and two more EVPs elevated to fill the vacuum (both internal). There is considerable explanation about their plans in that doc. For anyone curious about what happens to NTT next, it is well worth a read. They plan on going big in B2B2X with integrated mobile solutions, targeting corporates and local governments. It appears they are going to do more to make dbarai (DoCoMo's cashless payment solution) scaled bigger. Done right, this could both substantially lower costs and could make a much higher throughput system. Consumer mobile effectively takes a back seat. There is more strategic information here than one normally gets. One would normally look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a> but I think it is a bit early for that. NTT Data may benefit from dev work, but this is an NTT-DoCoMo deal to start. It may be too early to judge exactly whether NTT will adequately monetize the extra generosity it is showing in buying out DoCoMo at ¥3900/share, but it appears they will not go gently into that good night.As always, more below the fold.

Welsh poet Dylan Thomas is famous for one poem in particular - one called "Do not go gentle into that good night." It is a great poem, and I can always spare a brief moment to re-read it. It starts...Do not go gentle into that good night, Old age should burn and rave at close of day; Rage, rage against the dying of the light.This deal, and the accompanying documentation (and Nikkei article updates) tell you NTT is not going gentle.An unkind interpretation might use a later stanza to point out that "grave men, near death, who see with blinding sight, Blind eyes could blaze like meteors and be gay" may produce a last gasp cascade of brilliance, but here the strategic rationale notes, and accompanying management actions are putting the world on notice.We're not going gentle.This morning, exactly eight hours after the Nikkei published articles in Japanese and English that NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) would soon launch a Tender Offer to buy out the minority shareholders of its mobile telephony subsidiary and largest mobile phone operator in Japan by subscriber count NTT Docomo Inc (9437 JP), NTT made a short release to the exchange saying that nothing had yet been decided regarding the subject "NTT to make DoCoMo a wholly-owned subsidiary" but that NTT would hold a board meeting that day to discuss the matter and if an announcement were warranted, there would be one."Nothing has been decided" in Japan Corporate-Speak specifically meant that the board had not resolved the matter at a board meeting. Sure enough, after the close, and after a day when the shares were pegged at limit-up all day long and the gray market traded ¥3450-3500 during that time, after the close NTT and NTT Docomo announced that NTT would conduct a Tender Offer to buy out minorities at ¥3900/share, which is a 40.5% premium to the undisturbed price.Given the ownership circumstances and the trading prices of other telecom stocks out there, this is a Very High Price Indeed.Interestingly, there is more than a hint of frustration shown by NTT in the Management Policy After the Tender Offer section of the document (so far only available in the DoCoMo Opinion document) and in the separate document outlining several management changes to be made 1 December (i.e. 1 week after settlement of the Tender Offer). That includes the NTT DoCoMo CEO Yoshizawa who will resign his board seat, and his roles as CEO and President. That is a wow. He will be replaced by Motoyuki Ii. There will be one more Representative Director added, and two more EVPs elevated to fill the vacuum (both internal). There is considerable explanation about their plans in that doc. For anyone curious about what happens to NTT next, it is well worth a read. They plan on going big in B2B2X with integrated mobile solutions, targeting corporates and local governments. It appears they are going to do more to make dbarai (DoCoMo's cashless payment solution) scaled bigger. Done right, this could both substantially lower costs and could make a much higher throughput system. Consumer mobile effectively takes a back seat. There is more strategic information here than one normally gets. One would normally look at NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) but I think it is a bit early for that. NTT Data may benefit from dev work, but this is an NTT-DoCoMo deal to start. It may be too early to judge exactly whether NTT will adequately monetize the extra generosity it is showing in buying out DoCoMo at ¥3900/share, but it appears they will not go gently into that good night.As always, more below the fold. 

NTT Deal for DoCoMo - Not Going Gentle, Definitely Raging Against the Dying of the Light

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Event-Driven

The explanation supporting NTT’s buyout of Docomo (in Japanese but translated below) is interesting and we believe it supports our initial thoughts on this development. What we didn’t expect was a ¥3,900 tender price.

The explanation supporting NTT’s buyout of Docomo (in Japanese but translated below) is interesting and we believe it supports our initial thoughts on this development. What we didn’t expect was a ¥3,900 tender price.

NTT – NTT Is Going Big and Our Suspicions Are Aroused Further

Japan

NTT DOCOMO, INC. provides various types of telecommunication services including cellular phones, satellite mobile communication, and wireless LAN Network. The Company also sells cellular phones, and other equipment.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

NTT Docomo Inc (9437 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT Docomo, Evergrande Properties/Auto, Wilmar, Swire, Immunomedics

Last Week in Event SPACE ... Plus, other events, CCASS movements and Mood Spins. (This insight covers specific insights & comments...

David Blennerhassett

Ant Group Pre-IPO ESG Assessment: Seeing the Forest for the Trees

xxxx Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim...

Kyle Rudden

(Mostly) Asia M&A: September 2020 Roundup

For the month of August, 9 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$35bn. Clicking on the company...

David Blennerhassett

NTT Deal for DoCoMo - Not Going Gentle, Definitely Raging Against the Dying of the Light

This morning, exactly eight hours after the Nikk

Travis Lundy

NTT – NTT Is Going Big and Our Suspicions Are Aroused Further

The explanation supporting NTT’s buyout of Docomo (in Japanese but translated below) is interesting and we believe it supports our initial thoughts...

Mio Kato

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