Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This insight comes as one-half of a pair. The problem: I cannot label one insight as a pair trade, and there are different dynamics at play.</li>
<li>This insight discusses the dynamics of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> as the SMM takeover of Keppel O&amp;M nears. The deal goes effective 28 February but KEP trades ex- on 23 February.</li>
<li>While not as egregiously mis-priced as SCI vs SMM in autumn 2021, NEW KEPPEL appears under-priced here. </li>
</ul>


This insight comes as one-half of a pair. The problem: I cannot label one insight as a pair trade, and there are different dynamics at play.
This insight discusses the dynamics of Keppel Corp (KEP SP) as the SMM takeover of Keppel O&amp;M nears. The deal goes effective 28 February but KEP trades ex- on 23 February.
While not as egregiously mis-priced as SCI vs SMM in autumn 2021, NEW KEPPEL appears under-priced here. 


Keppel Goes Ex- SMM Spinoff This Week - NEWKEP Is Still A Buy

<ul>
<li>This insight comes as one-half of a pair. The problem: I cannot label one insight as a pair trade, and there are different dynamics at play.</li>
<li>This insight discusses the dynamics of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> as the takeover of Keppel O&amp;M nears. The deal goes effective 28 February after last week's SMM shareholder approval.</li>
<li>That will mean overhang. Lots of active overhang. There WILL be some index upweights, but index treatment remains nebulous, and one has to expect a lot more net index outflow.</li>
</ul>


This insight comes as one-half of a pair. The problem: I cannot label one insight as a pair trade, and there are different dynamics at play.
This insight discusses the dynamics of Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) as the takeover of Keppel O&amp;M nears. The deal goes effective 28 February after last week's SMM shareholder approval.
That will mean overhang. Lots of active overhang. There WILL be some index upweights, but index treatment remains nebulous, and one has to expect a lot more net index outflow.


Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP):  Keppel O&M Takeover Completion Next Week = OOF!

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Inside Insights - Share buybacks by primary-listed companies OCBC, Singapore Technologies Engineering, Venture Corporation, City Developments and Sembcorp Industries led the net institutional inflow for the five sessions.</li><li>SIA Engineering Company bought back 148,100 shares at an average price of S$2.50 per share while Valuetronics Holdings bought back 320,000 shares at an average price of S$0.54 per share.</li></ul>

Inside Insights - Share buybacks by primary-listed companies OCBC, Singapore Technologies Engineering, Venture Corporation, City Developments and Sembcorp Industries led the net institutional inflow for the five sessions.SIA Engineering Company bought back 148,100 shares at an average price of S$2.50 per share while Valuetronics Holdings bought back 320,000 shares at an average price of S$0.54 per share.

OCBC leads net fund inflows; JB Foods’ Goh Lee Beng increases stake

<ul><li>The STI gained 5.4% over the past fortnight, recovering half of the declines posted between 13 Sep and 21 Oct.</li><li>This has brought the STI’s 2022-to-date total return to 4%, which compares to an 18% decline for the FTSE Developed Index and 21% decline for the FTSE Asia Pacific Index.</li><li>UOB was among the most defensive STI stocks between 13 Sep and 21 Oct, in addition to YZJ Shipbuilding, Genting SG, DBS, Emperador.</li></ul>

The STI gained 5.4% over the past fortnight, recovering half of the declines posted between 13 Sep and 21 Oct.This has brought the STI’s 2022-to-date total return to 4%, which compares to an 18% decline for the FTSE Developed Index and 21% decline for the FTSE Asia Pacific Index.UOB was among the most defensive STI stocks between 13 Sep and 21 Oct, in addition to YZJ Shipbuilding, Genting SG, DBS, Emperador.

Wilmar, Sembcorp Ind & Keppel DC REIT Led STI’s 2-Week 5% Partial Rebound 

<ul>
<li>After 18mos of hints, and two rights recapitalisations at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a>, SMM and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> announced a deal to merge their O&amp;M businesses at end-April.</li>
<li>Keppel shareholders would receive ~18 shares of SMM per share of Keppel owned, Keppel spins out the equity of its legacy rig assets and leaves the O&amp;M biz clean.</li>
<li>The structure announced lets us examine "forward KEP", and anticipate interest and valuations post-spin, which is "supposed to" happen in Q4. We're in Q4 now, and Keppel is interesting here.</li>
</ul>


After 18mos of hints, and two rights recapitalisations at Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP), SMM and Keppel Corp (KEP SP) announced a deal to merge their O&amp;M businesses at end-April.
Keppel shareholders would receive ~18 shares of SMM per share of Keppel owned, Keppel spins out the equity of its legacy rig assets and leaves the O&amp;M biz clean.
The structure announced lets us examine "forward KEP", and anticipate interest and valuations post-spin, which is "supposed to" happen in Q4. We're in Q4 now, and Keppel is interesting here.


Singapore

Sembcorp Industries Ltd provides utilities and integrated services for industrial sites such as power, gas, steam, water, wastewater treatment and other on-site services. The Company's businesses also include marine & offshore engineering and urban development comprising industrial parks and business, commercial and residential spaces.

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Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP)

Keppel Goes Ex- SMM Spinoff This Week - NEWKEP Is Still A Buy

Keppel Corp today = NEW KEP and 19.1 shares of SMM. NEWKEP is probably underpriced. SMM is a sell because of significant overhang (there may be a...

Travis Lundy

Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP): Keppel O&M Takeover Completion Next Week = OOF!

Sembcorp Marine shareholders have agreed to acquire Keppel O&M. The transaction closes next week (28 Feb). KEP shareholders get SMM shares in their...

Travis Lundy

OCBC leads net fund inflows; JB Foods’ Goh Lee Beng increases stake

Inside Insights - Share buybacks by primary-listed companies OCBC, Singapore Technologies Engineering, Venture Corporation, City Developments and...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Wilmar, Sembcorp Ind & Keppel DC REIT Led STI’s 2-Week 5% Partial Rebound

The STI gained 5.4% over the past fortnight, recovering half of the declines posted between 13 Sep and 21 Oct. This has brought the STI’s...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Keppel O&M Spin-Off Approaching Quickly

The Keppel O&M - Sembcorp Marine deal announced 28 April was expected to be completed in Q4. That means a Circular should come any time. Earnings...

Travis Lundy

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