Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>At present, 3 changes for the BSE 100 index and 7 changes for the BSE 200 index.</li>
<li>The BSE 100 handling rules for names without futures and options (F&amp;O) sometimes punish companies that have enjoyed good share price rallies and Zomato could get into such a trap.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
At present, 3 changes for the BSE 100 index and 7 changes for the BSE 200 index.
The BSE 100 handling rules for names without futures and options (F&amp;O) sometimes punish companies that have enjoyed good share price rallies and Zomato could get into such a trap.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Could Zomato's Share Price Rally Become a Problem?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited / Event-Driven

Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited

<ul>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six months.</li>
<li>Momentum on the upward migrations could sustain as active managers reposition their portfolios. Some stocks will have passive flows over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new additions to MidCap.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six months.
Momentum on the upward migrations could sustain as active managers reposition their portfolios. Some stocks will have passive flows over the next few months.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.</li>
<li>After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.
After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Q4FY24 earnings season saw an overall healthy performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 6%/22% YoY and 4%/13% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~226 stocks)</li><li>Further, the 5-year CAGR for annual revenue/PAT between FY19 to FY24 was 11%/17%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q4FY24 earnings season saw an overall healthy performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 6%/22% YoY and 4%/13% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~226 stocks)Further, the 5-year CAGR for annual revenue/PAT between FY19 to FY24 was 11%/17%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Quarterly Flipbook: Strong End to FY24, a Muted FY25 on the Cards

<ul><li>Samvardhana Motherson International: SAMIL’s Q4 revenue was marginally above our estimate, led by the modules and polymer products division</li><li>PAT at INR 13.7bn was higher than our estimates (INR 7.2bn) due to lower finance costs and ETR</li><li>Our faith in the company is undeterred given its well-diversified presence across components, geographies and customers</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Samvardhana Motherson International: SAMIL’s Q4 revenue was marginally above our estimate, led by the modules and polymer products divisionPAT at INR 13.7bn was higher than our estimates (INR 7.2bn) due to lower finance costs and ETROur faith in the company is undeterred given its well-diversified presence across components, geographies and customersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Samvardhana Motherson International

India

Samvardhana Motherson International Limited manufactures and distributes automotive parts. The Company offers products such as HVAC systems, air intake manifolds, highway vehicle cabins, air compressors, and pedal box assembly. Samvardhana Motherson International markets its products worldwide.

Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN)

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Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new adds...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Quarterly Flipbook: Strong End to FY24, a Muted FY25 on the Cards

Q4FY24 earnings season saw an overall healthy performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies. Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 6%/22%...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Samvardhana Motherson International

Samvardhana Motherson International: SAMIL’s Q4 revenue was marginally above our estimate, led by the modules and polymer products division

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Could Zomato's Share Price Rally Become a Problem?

We see Zomato as a BSE 100 DEL for December 2024 as it currently violates one of the derivative linkage requirements. Zomato's fate will depend on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new adds...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Quarterly Flipbook: Strong End to FY24, a Muted FY25 on the Cards

Q4FY24 earnings season saw an overall healthy performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies. Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 6%/22%...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Samvardhana Motherson International

Samvardhana Motherson International: SAMIL’s Q4 revenue was marginally above our estimate, led by the modules and polymer products division

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Could Zomato's Share Price Rally Become a Problem?