Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician, The Markets Academy

David Coloretti, CMT

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician

The Markets Academy

TMA implements 2 strategies. 1) Tactical ... Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) allows TMA to identify exhaustion / reversal points in interim trends by utilising our proprietary analysis of ST momentum indicators. 2) Medium Term ... our 3 Pillars approach to technical analysis allows TMA to determine high probability medium term outcomes in markets.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The development of TSS has been a life's work. We anticipate a high win / loss ratio and accept than not every recommendation will be profitable. </li>
<li>On 15 November we determined that extreme ST momentum failure would likely deliver a 4.0% to 5.5% decline in ORCL US in 1-2 weeks. </li>
<li>ORCL US failed to deliver, declining only 0.6% before closing 1 week later, on 22 November, 4.5% above our recommendation entry level. This recommendation is now closed.</li>
</ul>


The development of TSS has been a life's work. We anticipate a high win / loss ratio and accept than not every recommendation will be profitable. 
On 15 November we determined that extreme ST momentum failure would likely deliver a 4.0% to 5.5% decline in ORCL US in 1-2 weeks. 
ORCL US failed to deliver, declining only 0.6% before closing 1 week later, on 22 November, 4.5% above our recommendation entry level. This recommendation is now closed.


Oracle Corporation (ORCL US): TSS Recommendation Closed After One Week (-4.5%)

<ul>
<li>Oracle Corporation (ORCL US) has rallied 30% in October/November 2022.  </li>
<li>A new 2 month high of 79.53 was produced on Monday 14 November amid extreme bearish ST momentum failure. </li>
<li>Our TSS methodology triggered a Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) &lt; 10 at the high and justifies a further 4.0% to 5.5% decline in the coming 1-2 weeks.</li>
</ul>


Oracle Corporation (ORCL US) has rallied 30% in October/November 2022.  
A new 2 month high of 79.53 was produced on Monday 14 November amid extreme bearish ST momentum failure. 
Our TSS methodology triggered a Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) &lt; 10 at the high and justifies a further 4.0% to 5.5% decline in the coming 1-2 weeks.


Oracle Corporation (ORCL US): TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 4.0% to 5.5% Decline

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Oracle has rebounded well in terms of financial performance with a strong all-around beat in the recent quarter.</li><li>The company is currently developing a comprehensive set of applications for the healthcare industry's whole ecosystem, beginning with healthcare providers like hospitals and clinics.</li><li>Besides, during the quarter, Oracle launched an "OCI dedicated region" for the India market as part of its cloud services platform, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), to provide customers with public cloud services on-premises.</li></ul>

Oracle has rebounded well in terms of financial performance with a strong all-around beat in the recent quarter.The company is currently developing a comprehensive set of applications for the healthcare industry's whole ecosystem, beginning with healthcare providers like hospitals and clinics.Besides, during the quarter, Oracle launched an "OCI dedicated region" for the India market as part of its cloud services platform, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), to provide customers with public cloud services on-premises.

Oracle Corporation: OCI Push In India & Other Drivers

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>Notwithstanding bright spots and positive long-term outlook, the ESG gold rush has created an acute state of chaos. Regulatory flux. Rampant greenwashing. ESG litigation. Elon and S&amp;P.</li>
<li>The silver lining? New ESG-<em>related</em> investing opportunities emerging from all the chaos; stocks poised to benefit, regardless of who else wins or losses. The new shovel-sellers, as it were.</li>
<li>One large opportunity is driven by new greenhouse gas (GHG) reporting regulations, specifcally leading GHG emissions software-as-a-service (SaaS) and platform-as-a-service (PaaS) stocks.</li>
</ul>


Notwithstanding bright spots and positive long-term outlook, the ESG gold rush has created an acute state of chaos. Regulatory flux. Rampant greenwashing. ESG litigation. Elon and S&amp;P.
The silver lining? New ESG-related investing opportunities emerging from all the chaos; stocks poised to benefit, regardless of who else wins or losses. The new shovel-sellers, as it were.
One large opportunity is driven by new greenhouse gas (GHG) reporting regulations, specifcally leading GHG emissions software-as-a-service (SaaS) and platform-as-a-service (PaaS) stocks.


Selling Shovels in a Gold Rush: SaaS Stocks Cashing in on Emissions Reporting Rules

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/confluent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33443:1" rel="noopener">Confluent (CFLT US)</a>  is an American-based data infrastructure software company and a major contributor to the open-source project Apache Kafka. </li>
<li>Original creators of Apache Kafka founded the company in 2014. Today, Kafka has 5M+ lifetime downloads, and &gt;100,000 organizations use the successful open source project.</li>
<li>We believe <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/confluent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33443:1" rel="noopener">Confluent (CFLT US)</a>  is uniquely positioned to benefit from the widespread adoption of Apache Kafka and the growing $50B+ total addressable market. </li>
</ul>



Confluent (CFLT US)  is an American-based data infrastructure software company and a major contributor to the open-source project Apache Kafka. 
Original creators of Apache Kafka founded the company in 2014. Today, Kafka has 5M+ lifetime downloads, and &gt;100,000 organizations use the successful open source project.
We believe Confluent (CFLT US)  is uniquely positioned to benefit from the widespread adoption of Apache Kafka and the growing $50B+ total addressable market. 


Confluent: Harnessing Data In Motion. Initiate At Overweight

United States

VMware, Inc. provides virtualization solutions from the desktop to the data center. The Company's solution products addresses a range of IT problems, which includes cost and operational inefficiencies, business continuity, software lifecycle management and desktop management.

Electronic Arts Inc. develops, publishes, and distributes branded interactive entertainment software worldwide for video game consoles, personal computers, handheld game players, and cellular handsets. The Company also provides online game-related services.

ServiceNow, Inc. provides enterprise information technology (IT) management software. The Company designs, develops, and produces prepackaged computer software, cloud services, and IT service management platform. ServiceNow serves customers throughout the United States.

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets and supports a range of software and hardware products and services for information technology (IT) security and offers its customers a network and gateway security solutions, data and endpoint security solutions and management solutions.

Fair Isaac Corporation provides analytics, including predictive modeling, decision analysis, intelligence management, decision management systems, and consulting services.  The Company helps companies in countries around the world acquire customers more efficiently, increase customer value, reduce fraud, lower operating expenses, and enter new markets more profitably.

Synopsys, Inc. supplies electronic design automation solutions to the global electronics market.  The Company provides design technologies to creators of advanced integrated circuits, electronic systems, and systems on a chip. Synopsys also provides consulting services and support to its customers to streamline the overall design process and accelerate time to market.

Activision Blizzard, Inc. publishes, develops, and distributes interactive entertainment software and peripheral products. The Company's products cover diverse game categories, including action/adventure, action sports, racing, role playing, simulation, first-person action, music-based gaming and strategy.

Workday, Inc. provides enterprise cloud-based applications. The Company offers human capital, spend, and financial management, as well as payroll, initiatives and higher education solutions. Workday serves the finance, healthcare, manufacturing, education, and technology industries worldwide.

HubSpot, Inc. provides a cloud-based marketing and sales software platform. The Company offers integrated applications that helps in lead generation and social marketing.

Fortinet Inc. provides network security solutions. The Company offers network security appliances and related software, and subscription services. Fortinet systems integrate the industry's broadest suite of security technologies, including firewall, VPN, antivirus, intrusion prevention (IPS), Web filtering, antispam, and traffic shaping.

Nintendo Co., Ltd. globally develops, manufactures and sells home-use video game hardware and software in home entertainment business.  The company also produces home-game products including cards.

Nexon Co., Ltd. mainly develops and services, online games for PC and mobile devices. The company also offers consulting services related to online-games. Nexon operates in Japan.

Dassault Systemes operates as a software company. The develops and offers 3Dexperience platform to create innovative new products and services using virtual experiences. Dassault Systemes serves aerospace, construction, business services, consumer packaged goods, high-tech, life science, health care, marine, energy, and industrial equipment industries worldwide.

WiseTech Global Pty Ltd provides various technology and information technology management solutions. The Company offers cloud based various technology platforms, market specific software and logistics technology solutions, such as edienterprise, a platform supply chain logistics management system, software-as-a-service, and clinical management software. 

Constellation Software Inc is a software holding company.  The Company acquires mission-critical, vertical market software companies, and helps them to grow.

Spotify Technology S.A. provides music streaming services. The Company offers commercial free music and ad-supported services to subscribers. Spotify Technology serves clients worldwide.

Dassault Systemes is a technology company. The company provides software applications services designed to support client company's innovation processes. The company's line of business includes provision of 3D design software, 3D digital mock up and product lifecycle Management. Dassault Systemes also provides several software brands.

Xero Limited offers an online accounting system.  The software features bank transaction importing, a cashbook, a general ledger, invoicing, accounts receivable, accounts payable, financial reporting, and management of expense claims.

CAPCOM CO., LTD. develops consumer video game software.  The Company also develops, manufactures, markets, and leases arcade game machines.  Capcom also operates amusement facilities.

International Games System Co., Ltd. plans, designs, develops, manufactures, and markets software and hardware for arcade games, PC games, and Internet on-line games.

Oracle Corporation supplies software for enterprise information management. The Company offers databases and relational servers, application development and decision support tools, and enterprise business applications. Oracle's software runs on network computers, personal digital assistants, set-top devices, PCs, workstations, minicomputers, mainframes, and massively parallel computers.

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Oracle Corp (ORCL US)

Oracle Corporation (ORCL US): TSS Recommendation Closed After One Week (-4.5%)

Our proprietary Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) methodology aims to identify exhaustion and pending reversals of significance in interim trends....

David Coloretti, CMT

Oracle Corporation (ORCL US): TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 4.0% to 5.5% Decline

Our Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) methodology has been proven to identify extreme exhaustion in interim trends and deliver high probability...

David Coloretti, CMT

Oracle Corporation: OCI Push In India & Other Drivers

Oracle has rebounded well in terms of financial performance with a strong all-around beat in the recent quarter. The company is currently...

Baptista Research

Selling Shovels in a Gold Rush: SaaS Stocks Cashing in on Emissions Reporting Rules

ESG investing has been complicated by evolving emissions reporting regulations. With the chaos, comes new investment opportunities. Such as in...

Kyle Rudden

Confluent: Harnessing Data In Motion. Initiate At Overweight

We are initiating coverage on Confluent with an Overweight rating and price target of $28, implying a ~50% upside. Fundamentals remain attractive,...

Andrei Zakharov

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