Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-hsi-september-rally-what-s-next?slug=eqd-hsi-september-rally-what-s-next" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previous insight</a> about the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>'s we theorized a probable continuation of the rally in October, after some resistance, but the index just shoot up straight.</li>
<li>Resistance appeared last week, from an area considered a tail by our SHORT model, so it was not possible to make a forecast from there. </li>
<li>The question now is: can the index re-start to rally from here? Or will it pull back more this coming week?</li>
</ul>


In our previous insight about the Hang Seng Index's we theorized a probable continuation of the rally in October, after some resistance, but the index just shoot up straight.
Resistance appeared last week, from an area considered a tail by our SHORT model, so it was not possible to make a forecast from there. 
The question now is: can the index re-start to rally from here? Or will it pull back more this coming week?


EQD | The HSI Rally: Go LONG Now or Wait?

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With the HSI surging 21.2% since 24 Sep and many stocks have even doubled, the strategy in the HK and China markets will move to chase the laggards.</li>
<li>Among the underperforming HSI constituents, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-power-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5385:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Power (836 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> are the better candidates to pick up performance. </li>
<li>For HSCEI, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)</a> have lagged but their stories are interesting and should regain momentum.</li>
</ul>


With the HSI surging 21.2% since 24 Sep and many stocks have even doubled, the strategy in the HK and China markets will move to chase the laggards.
Among the underperforming HSI constituents, China Resources Power (836 HK) and China Mobile (941 HK) are the better candidates to pick up performance. 
For HSCEI, Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK) and China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK) have lagged but their stories are interesting and should regain momentum.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Stay long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a> and buy more, or get long. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ctbc-financial-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:436:1" rel="noopener">CTBC Financial Holding (2891 TT)</a> may make a better run at it, and may even bump.</li>
<li>It's a hard to be bearish <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> at 0.34x P/B. Yet the Hong Kong property market remains a challenging space. To put it mildly.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> saw breathless news articles suggesting a foreign takeover became more difficult. Not really.</li>
</ul>


Stay long Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and buy more, or get long. CTBC Financial Holding (2891 TT) may make a better run at it, and may even bump.
It's a hard to be bearish Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) at 0.34x P/B. Yet the Hong Kong property market remains a challenging space. To put it mildly.

Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) saw breathless news articles suggesting a foreign takeover became more difficult. Not really.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong Financial, Swire Pac, Seven & I, Korea Zinc

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 6th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Tencent (700 HK). </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 6th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Tencent (700 HK). 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 6th): Inflows into ETF, Li Auto, Tencent

<ul>
<li>Buy dips on the possibility that 3DIP would not agree to Bain. Otherwise, at ¥9,000 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft (9749 JP)</a> is a buy, and at ¥9,500, it's probably a sell near-term.</li>
<li>Drilling down into its balance sheet uncovers additional value for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a>; but not enough to move the needle</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a> completed its buyback. Murakami Group bought more. The stock (pro-forma) is at 0.62x book, 0.54x book for the non-cash portion. There's LOTS of cash left.</li>
</ul>


Buy dips on the possibility that 3DIP would not agree to Bain. Otherwise, at ¥9,000 Fuji Soft (9749 JP) is a buy, and at ¥9,500, it's probably a sell near-term.
Drilling down into its balance sheet uncovers additional value for Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP); but not enough to move the needle

Exedy Corp (7278 JP) completed its buyback. Murakami Group bought more. The stock (pro-forma) is at 0.62x book, 0.54x book for the non-cash portion. There's LOTS of cash left.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Fuji Soft, Jardine Matheson, Exedy, Henderson

Hong Kong

China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in the People's Republic of China.  The Company's services include cellular, paging, long distance, data, and Internet services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)

EQD | The HSI Rally: Go LONG Now or Wait?

The Hang Seng Index rally went vertical, then pulled back last week. Is this the right time to go in LONG? Or better wait for the index to pullback...

Nico Rosti

China & HK Strategy: What to Grab?

Hong Kong and China markets are seeing a surge, prompting a shift towards chasing underperforming stocks like CR Power and China Mobile in HSI,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong Financial, Swire Pac, Seven & I, Korea Zinc

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 6th): Inflows into ETF, Li Auto, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Fuji Soft, Jardine Matheson, Exedy, Henderson

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | The HSI Rally: Go LONG Now or Wait?

The Hang Seng Index rally went vertical, then pulled back last week. Is this the right time to go in LONG? Or better wait for the index to pullback...

Nico Rosti

China & HK Strategy: What to Grab?

​Hong Kong and China markets are seeing a surge, prompting a shift towards chasing underperforming stocks like CR Power and China Mobile in HSI,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong Financial, Swire Pac, Seven & I, Korea Zinc

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 6th): Inflows into ETF, Li Auto, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Fuji Soft, Jardine Matheson, Exedy, Henderson

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong and China markets are seeing a surge, prompting a shift towards chasing underperforming stocks like CR Power and China Mobile in HSI,...