Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> is a potential deletion in December and that could result in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)</a> being added to the index.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.36% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$845m. Passives will need to trade over 1x ADV on both stocks.</li>
<li>There is a very small impact on the fair value of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> 2023 dividend futures but there will be a larger impact on the dividend futures expiring in 2024.</li>
</ul>



Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) is a potential deletion in December and that could result in China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK) being added to the index.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.36% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$845m. Passives will need to trade over 1x ADV on both stocks.
There is a very small impact on the fair value of the HSCEI 2023 dividend futures but there will be a larger impact on the dividend futures expiring in 2024.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: China Unicom (762) Could Replace Zhongsheng (881)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Our view on China telecom sector is unchanged. We think this sector is a defensive play amid macro-economic pressure.</li><li>We expect China telcos to be the most favorable defensive picks with stable operations, strong FCF, high dividend yield and potential share repo opportunities.</li><li>China Mobile and China Telecom’s (941 HK/ 728 HK, not rated) share prices grew 25.5%/23.8% YTD.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Our view on China telecom sector is unchanged. We think this sector is a defensive play amid macro-economic pressure.We expect China telcos to be the most favorable defensive picks with stable operations, strong FCF, high dividend yield and potential share repo opportunities.China Mobile and China Telecom’s (941 HK/ 728 HK, not rated) share prices grew 25.5%/23.8% YTD.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China 5G Sector – China telecom sector remains as a defensive play

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Property /Cover Story: China’s property crisis contagion spreads to state-backed developers</li><li>Mortgages /: Chart of the Day: China’s personal mortgages post first decline in a decade</li><li>Private /: China seeks feedback from private sector on what it can do better</li></ul>

Property /Cover Story: China’s property crisis contagion spreads to state-backed developersMortgages /: Chart of the Day: China’s personal mortgages post first decline in a decadePrivate /: China seeks feedback from private sector on what it can do better

CX Daily: China’s Property Crisis Contagion Spreads to State-Backed Developers

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Far Eastone Telecomm / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/far-eastone-telecomm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19488:1" rel="noopener">Far Eastone Telecomm (4904 TT)</a>’s (FE) parent aims to raise around US$165m via selling 1.9% of its stake.</li>
<li>As far as we could see this appears to be the first selldown by the parent and doesn’t seem to have been well flagged.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Far Eastone Telecomm (4904 TT)’s (FE) parent aims to raise around US$165m via selling 1.9% of its stake.
As far as we could see this appears to be the first selldown by the parent and doesn’t seem to have been well flagged.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on other deal dynamics.


Far EasTone Placement - Parent Selling, Recent Momentum Has Been Strong

Hong Kong

China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in the People's Republic of China.  The Company's services include cellular, paging, long distance, data, and Internet services.

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China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: China Unicom (762) Could Replace Zhongsheng (881)

China Unicom could replace Zhongsheng Holdings in the HSCEI in Dec. Passives need to trade over 1x ADV on both stocks. There will be the usual...

Brian Freitas

China 5G Sector – China telecom sector remains as a defensive play

We expect China telcos to be the most favorable defensive picks with stable operations, strong FCF, high dividend yield and potential share repo...

CMB International

Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for July and highlight flows for Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: China’s Property Crisis Contagion Spreads to State-Backed Developers

Property /Cover Story: China’s property crisis contagion spreads to state-backed developers Mortgages /: Chart of the Day: China’s personal...

Caixin Global

Far EasTone Placement - Parent Selling, Recent Momentum Has Been Strong

Far Eastone Telecomm (4904 TT)’s (FE) parent aims to raise around US$165m via selling 1.9% of its stake. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)