Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> from the December rebalance.</li>
<li>The coming week has the rebalances for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX Index</a> as a result of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>There were inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> and outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> during the week.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the HSI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX from the December rebalance.
The coming week has the rebalances for the NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, Nifty Bank Index and SENSEX Index as a result of the HDFC Limited/ HDFC Bank merger.
There were inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) and outflows from Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.5% as of Jun 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, financials, industrials and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.5% as of Jun 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, financials, industrials and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 2nd): Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship

Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>According to news reports, the three Chinese telcos are cutting staff costs, which account for ~27% of service opex ex-depreciation and amortization.</li><li>Incl. D&amp;A, staff costs account for ~20% of total service opex.</li><li>While the news reports suggested that some of the staff’s total pay could be halved, we believe any adjustments would be substantially less than that.</li></ul>

According to news reports, the three Chinese telcos are cutting staff costs, which account for ~27% of service opex ex-depreciation and amortization.Incl. D&amp;A, staff costs account for ~20% of total service opex.While the news reports suggested that some of the staff’s total pay could be halved, we believe any adjustments would be substantially less than that.

TMT – Chinese Telcos Trimming Staff Costs

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.4% as of May 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, utilities, financials and offset by health care, information technology, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua, China Life, Citic Bank, CEEC, China Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.4% as of May 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, utilities, financials and offset by health care, information technology, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua, China Life, Citic Bank, CEEC, China Telecom.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 19th): China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.2% as of May 5th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.3ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, health care and offset by real estate, energy, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CCB, BOC, Sinopec, China Shenhua, CMOC, CRRC, China Southern Airlines, CSC Financials.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.2% as of May 5th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.3ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, health care and offset by real estate, energy, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CCB, BOC, Sinopec, China Shenhua, CMOC, CRRC, China Southern Airlines, CSC Financials.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 5th): CCB, BOC, Sinopec, China Shenhua, CMOC, CRRC, China Southern Airlines

China

China Tower Corporation Limited operates as a telecommunication company. The Company provides telecommunication towers construction, towers maintenance, ancillary facilities management, and other services. China Tower provides its services throughout China.

China Communications Services Corporation Limited provides specialized telecommunications support services to telecommunications operators.  The Company offers telecommunications infrastructure services, including design, construction and project supervision and management, business process outsourcing services , and applications, content and other services.

China Communications Services Corp Ltd. (552 HK)

263 Network Communications Co Ltd provides internet services and modern communication technology.  The Company's products include anti spam e-mail service, telephone conference system, and business messenger software.

Hangzhou Huaxing Chuangye Communication Technology Co., Ltd researches, produces and sells test optimization system.  The Company also provides census, assessments and, optimization services of mobile communication network.

China United Network Communications Limited provides a variety of telecommunication services, including GSM and CDMA wireless telecommunication services, international and domestic long distance communication services, data communication and Internet services, as well as paging services.

Dr. Peng Telecom & Media Group Co., Ltd. provides value-added telecommunications services. The company offers Internet access, e-government, Internet data center, and private network and operations services, as well as network security monitoring, city surveillance, toll-shunt, and other value-added network services.

NetEase, Inc. is an Internet technology company that develops applications, services and other Internet technologies in China. The Company's core businesses consist of email service, web portal and online entertainment, including online gaming services. NetEase also offers online advertising, search, mobile applications and e-commerce.

Beijing Bewinner Communications Co., Ltd. provides telecommunications services to mobile communication users.

Beijing Bewinner Communications Co., (002148 CH)

Kunlun Tech Co., Ltd. offers comprehensive Internet value-added services. The Company focuses on social network interactive and online game fields. Kunlun Tech also provides localized translation outsourcing and agency advertising services.

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

Singapore Telecommunications Limited wireless telecommunication services. The Company offers diverse range of services including fixed, mobile, data, internet, TV,  and digital solutions. Singapore Telecommunications serves customers worldwide.

Telstra Corporation Limited is a full service domestic and international telecommunications provider for Australia.  The Company provides telephone exchange lines to homes and businesses, supplying local, long distance and international telephone calls and supplying mobile telecommunications services. Telstra also provides data, internet, on-line services and directory services.

Swisscom AG operates public telecommunications networks and offers network application services.  The Company provides local, long-distance, and mobile telephone services, integrated voice and data digital services, network solutions to national and international telecommunications operators, and Internet access services, and owns and operates pay telephones.

BCE Inc., provides a full range of communication services to residential and business customers in Canada.  The Company's services includes local, long distance and wireless phone services, high speed and wireless Internet access, IP-broadband services, value-added business solutions and direct-to-home satellite and VDSL television services.

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation provides a variety of telecommunication services, including telephone, telegraph, leased circuits, data communication, terminal equipment sales, and related services. The Company provides both local and long distance telephone services within Japan.

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) (9432 JP)

China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in the People's Republic of China.  The Company's services include cellular, paging, long distance, data, and Internet services.

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. provides local, domestic, and international long distance services. The Company also offers wireless telecommunication, paging, and Internet services.

SBA Communications Corporation owns and operates wireless communications infrastructure in the United States. The Company offers site leasing and development, construction, and consulting services. SBA Communications leases antenna space on its multi-tenant towers to a variety of wireless service providers under long-term lease contracts.

Cellnex Telecom S.A.U. is an independent operator of wireless telecommunications infrastructure and broadcast infrastructure. The Company's sites are located in Spain and Italy.

Telefonica S.A. provides telecommunications services mainly to countries in Europe and Latin America.  The Company offers fixed-line and mobile telephone, Internet, and data transmission services to residential and corporate customers.

China Telecom Corporation Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides wireline telephone, data, and Internet, as well as leased line services in China.

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China Telecom (H) (728 HK)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 2nd): Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TMT – Chinese Telcos Trimming Staff Costs

According to news reports, the three Chinese telcos are cutting staff costs, which account for ~27% of service opex ex-depreciation and amortization.

Quam Securities

A-H Premium Weekly (May 19th): China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (May 5th): CCB, BOC, Sinopec, China Shenhua, CMOC, CRRC, China Southern Airlines

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CCB, BOC, Sinopec, China Shenhua, CMOC, CRRC, China Southern...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)