Head of Trading/ Partner, AceGama Advisors

Sankalp Singh

Head of Trading/ Partner

Proprietary Trading Desk

AceGama Advisors

Trading desk specializing in the Listed & OTC options strategies for risk management & investment purposes.

Event-Driven

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

<ul>
<li>Weekly IVs marked significantly higher. Options demand returns post holiday-shortened week. Market focuses on 23.07.2024 Budget &amp; Corporate Earnings announcements. </li>
<li>Put-Call Ratio compression + Rising IVs indicative of call-buying activity. Significant Open-Interest buildup seen in 25000 calls.</li>
<li>Vol Term-structure: Entire curve in Backwardation. Much of which can be attributed to the India Budget event. Curve expected to flatten out post event.</li>
</ul>


Weekly IVs marked significantly higher. Options demand returns post holiday-shortened week. Market focuses on 23.07.2024 Budget &amp; Corporate Earnings announcements. 
Put-Call Ratio compression + Rising IVs indicative of call-buying activity. Significant Open-Interest buildup seen in 25000 calls.
Vol Term-structure: Entire curve in Backwardation. Much of which can be attributed to the India Budget event. Curve expected to flatten out post event.


EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Marked Higher & Vol Curve Inverts ... Its All About the Budget

<ul>
<li>IVs for Monthly &amp; Quarterly contracts rose as options market baked in additional risk premia for the Budget Announcement. </li>
<li>Vega bid &amp; Gamma offered  - Monthly IVs higher by +2.3 vols &amp; Weekly IVs lower by -0.5 vols.  Short-Dated IVs closed lower in spite of upcoming earnings events </li>
<li>Term structure is trading with a kinked shape, with Monthly IVs trading at a markup to rest of the curve</li>
</ul>


IVs for Monthly &amp; Quarterly contracts rose as options market baked in additional risk premia for the Budget Announcement. 
Vega bid &amp; Gamma offered  - Monthly IVs higher by +2.3 vols &amp; Weekly IVs lower by -0.5 vols.  Short-Dated IVs closed lower in spite of upcoming earnings events 
Term structure is trading with a kinked shape, with Monthly IVs trading at a markup to rest of the curve


EQD / NSE Vol Update / Vega Was Bid & Gamma Was Offered

<ul>
<li>Regular Spot-Vol Correlations reasserted - Implied Volatilities (IVs) traded lower as Equity Markets continued making new Highs.</li>
<li>As expected, Vol-Regime Switching Model is stuck in "High &amp; Down" state. IVs projected to grind lower over an elongated period.      </li>
<li>Changes in Vol term-structure + Skew/ Smile compression - indicative of reduced risk-premia for July-end India Budget event.</li>
</ul>


Regular Spot-Vol Correlations reasserted - Implied Volatilities (IVs) traded lower as Equity Markets continued making new Highs.
As expected, Vol-Regime Switching Model is stuck in "High &amp; Down" state. IVs projected to grind lower over an elongated period.      
Changes in Vol term-structure + Skew/ Smile compression - indicative of reduced risk-premia for July-end India Budget event.


EQD / NSE Vol Update / Regular Correlations Take Hold - Vols Drop as Market Soars

<ul>
<li>Implied Volatilities (IVs) continued to rise as the underlying index tried to break above critical resistance - marking a break-down of usual spot-vol correlations.</li>
<li>Vol surface smile &amp; skew characteristics held steady at the 25-Delta point of curve, while dynamics at the 10-Delta zone extended further.</li>
<li>Nifty50 Back-end Term Structure is in Backwardation as Monthly options enjoy markups based on July-end Indian Budget release.   </li>
</ul>


Implied Volatilities (IVs) continued to rise as the underlying index tried to break above critical resistance - marking a break-down of usual spot-vol correlations.
Vol surface smile &amp; skew characteristics held steady at the 25-Delta point of curve, while dynamics at the 10-Delta zone extended further.
Nifty50 Back-end Term Structure is in Backwardation as Monthly options enjoy markups based on July-end Indian Budget release.   


EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Rise in Conjunction with Equities Counter to Regular Spot-Vol Correlation

<ul>
<li>Implied Volatilities (IVs) stabilized over the week after falling dramatically since the 04-June-2024 India General Election results.</li>
<li>No tactical changes required while IVs are stable &amp; "High &amp; Down" Vol-state is maintained.</li>
<li>Vol Curve continues to be in Contango. Lack of significant event risk should keep term structure locked in its current orientation. </li>
</ul>


Implied Volatilities (IVs) stabilized over the week after falling dramatically since the 04-June-2024 India General Election results.
No tactical changes required while IVs are stable &amp; "High &amp; Down" Vol-state is maintained.
Vol Curve continues to be in Contango. Lack of significant event risk should keep term structure locked in its current orientation. 


EQD / NSE Vol Update / IVs Stabilize After Falling Dramatically over past 2 Weeks