Head of Trading/ Partner, AceGama Advisors

Sankalp Singh

Head of Trading/ Partner

Proprietary Trading Desk

AceGama Advisors

Trading desk specializing in the Listed & OTC options strategies for risk management & investment purposes.

Equity Derivatives

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

<ul>
<li>Indo-Pak ceasefire triggers risk-premia markdowns – Monthly IVs -4.0 vols lower, Skew &amp; Smile get compressed  </li>
<li>Vol-Regime stays in “High &amp; Up” state with high likelihood of switching to “High &amp; Down” in the upcoming week.  </li>
<li>IV term-structure flattened as the week progressed. Leaving front-end vol-differentials in Contango &amp; Back-end Backwardation now eased to +0.60 vols.  </li>
</ul>


Indo-Pak ceasefire triggers risk-premia markdowns – Monthly IVs -4.0 vols lower, Skew &amp; Smile get compressed  
Vol-Regime stays in “High &amp; Up” state with high likelihood of switching to “High &amp; Down” in the upcoming week.  
IV term-structure flattened as the week progressed. Leaving front-end vol-differentials in Contango &amp; Back-end Backwardation now eased to +0.60 vols.  


NSE NIFTY50/ Vol Update / Indo-Pak Ceasefire! Large Markdowns in IV-Skew-Smile Triggered

<ul>
<li>Onset of IND-PAK military conflict spurs IVs higher to +18% levels. Vol Regime model holds in “High &amp; Up” state.  </li>
<li>Skew extends to extreme levels, RRs trades from -5.0 to -7.0 vols. Vol Term-structure is now flat in the front-end &amp; in Backwardation at the back-end of the curve.    </li>
<li>Tactical Implications: Avoid Risk-premia harvesting as "High &amp; Up" vol-state prevails.</li>
</ul>


Onset of IND-PAK military conflict spurs IVs higher to +18% levels. Vol Regime model holds in “High &amp; Up” state.  
Skew extends to extreme levels, RRs trades from -5.0 to -7.0 vols. Vol Term-structure is now flat in the front-end &amp; in Backwardation at the back-end of the curve.    
Tactical Implications: Avoid Risk-premia harvesting as "High &amp; Up" vol-state prevails.


NSE NIFTY50/ Vol Update / INDO-PAK CONFLICT SPURS LOCAL RISK-PREMIA HIGHER. IV @ +18.0%

<ul>
<li>IVs rise as markets return from holiday-truncated week, moving from 14.2% to 15.8%. Monthly contracts benefit most as they capture multiple tier-1 event risks.</li>
<li>“High &amp; Up” vol-state persists. Though there is a high probability of switching to “High &amp; Down” with slight IV stabilization.</li>
<li>TACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Avoid negative Gamma/ Smile/ Vega exposure. Wait for vol-regime shift before initiating new risk-premia harvesting structures</li>
</ul>


IVs rise as markets return from holiday-truncated week, moving from 14.2% to 15.8%. Monthly contracts benefit most as they capture multiple tier-1 event risks.
“High &amp; Up” vol-state persists. Though there is a high probability of switching to “High &amp; Down” with slight IV stabilization.
TACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Avoid negative Gamma/ Smile/ Vega exposure. Wait for vol-regime shift before initiating new risk-premia harvesting structures


NSE NIFTY50/ Vol Update / Option Markets Remain in High Vol-Regime

<ul>
<li>Improved risk sentiment &amp; holiday truncated week cause compression of risk premia. Monthly IVs fell over -5.0 vol-points over the 3-day session to close at 14.2%. </li>
<li>Vol-Regime continues to stay in "High &amp; Up" vol-state. Stabilization in IVs &amp; RVs required for switch to "High &amp; Down". Extreme Backwardation of the Vol-curve has now subsided</li>
<li>Tactical Implications: (1) Negative Gamma strategies have been battered. Avoid allocation to these while "High &amp; Up" vol-state prevails. </li>
</ul>


Improved risk sentiment &amp; holiday truncated week cause compression of risk premia. Monthly IVs fell over -5.0 vol-points over the 3-day session to close at 14.2%. 
Vol-Regime continues to stay in "High &amp; Up" vol-state. Stabilization in IVs &amp; RVs required for switch to "High &amp; Down". Extreme Backwardation of the Vol-curve has now subsided
Tactical Implications: (1) Negative Gamma strategies have been battered. Avoid allocation to these while "High &amp; Up" vol-state prevails. 


NSE NIFTY50/ Vol Update / Improved Risk Sentiment & Truncated Week Cause Risk-Premia Compression

<ul>
<li>Risk premia in Nifty50 Options catches up with Global Markets as IVs spike from sub-12% to 24% - levels last seen during 2024 National Elections. </li>
<li>Vol-Regime switches from "Low &amp; Up" state to "High &amp; Up". Term-structure swings into Backwardation. Front-end risk premiums elevated in spite of truncated upcoming week.  </li>
<li>Tactical Implications: (1) Use IV-spike to flatten +ve Vega exposure. (2) Avoid -ve Gamma, Vol harvesting structures. (3) Front-end/ Back-end Calendars recommended as extreme curve inversion expected to normalize.</li>
</ul>


Risk premia in Nifty50 Options catches up with Global Markets as IVs spike from sub-12% to 24% - levels last seen during 2024 National Elections. 
Vol-Regime switches from "Low &amp; Up" state to "High &amp; Up". Term-structure swings into Backwardation. Front-end risk premiums elevated in spite of truncated upcoming week.  
Tactical Implications: (1) Use IV-spike to flatten +ve Vega exposure. (2) Avoid -ve Gamma, Vol harvesting structures. (3) Front-end/ Back-end Calendars recommended as extreme curve inversion expected to normalize.


NSE NIFTY50/ Vol Update / Risk Premia Catches up with Global Counterparts in Spite of Truncated Week