Financial sector veteran, KT Capital Group

Fern Wang

Financial sector veteran

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

China Vanke Co., Ltd. is a property development company.  The Company develops residential properties in Shenzhen, Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, Shenyang, Nanjing, and other big cities in China.

<ul>
<li>China Vanke has caused jitters as it was reported to be closely watched by some insurers as it seeks to rollover some of its debt with insurers.</li>
<li>It is reported that it has sufficient funding to repay its bond due on March 11th and is lining up a HK$1.5 billion syndication loan. </li>
<li>Vanke warrants close monitoring as there is no sign of turning in its reducing contract sales, deteriorating cash position, shrinking financing ability. </li>
</ul>


China Vanke has caused jitters as it was reported to be closely watched by some insurers as it seeks to rollover some of its debt with insurers.
It is reported that it has sufficient funding to repay its bond due on March 11th and is lining up a HK$1.5 billion syndication loan. 
Vanke warrants close monitoring as there is no sign of turning in its reducing contract sales, deteriorating cash position, shrinking financing ability. 


China Vanke: Should Investors Be Worried?

Standard Chartered plc is an international banking group operating principally in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East.  The Company offers its products and services in the personal, consumer, corporate, institutional and treasury areas.

<ul>
<li>StandChart may need to take further impairment hit on China Bohai Bank</li>
<li>VIU model is used to justify the higher carrying value compared to fair value of the holdings.  There is zero headroom between the VIU model and the carrying amount.</li>
<li>We looked at VIU model assumptions for HSBC and StandChart. A declining NIM is likely put further pressure on the VIU model output for StandChart.  </li>
</ul>


StandChart may need to take further impairment hit on China Bohai Bank
VIU model is used to justify the higher carrying value compared to fair value of the holdings.  There is zero headroom between the VIU model and the carrying amount.
We looked at VIU model assumptions for HSBC and StandChart. A declining NIM is likely put further pressure on the VIU model output for StandChart.  


StandChart Is Likely to Have More China Bohai Impairment

China Evergrande Group is an integrated residential property developer. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development, investment, management, finance, internet, health, culture, and tourism markets.

<ul>
<li>Temporary implications of Evergrande's court ruling on property sector sentiment and other troubled property developers' restructuring plans</li>
<li>Evergrande's situation is more complicated than that of other troubled developers, as its founder is still under arrest and the company is unable to issue new debts.</li>
<li>Cross-Border bankruptcy cases for Chinese companies are still relatively rare, making the recognition and enforcement of Hong Kong bankruptcy judgments by the PRC court uncertain</li>
</ul>


Temporary implications of Evergrande's court ruling on property sector sentiment and other troubled property developers' restructuring plans
Evergrande's situation is more complicated than that of other troubled developers, as its founder is still under arrest and the company is unable to issue new debts.
Cross-Border bankruptcy cases for Chinese companies are still relatively rare, making the recognition and enforcement of Hong Kong bankruptcy judgments by the PRC court uncertain


Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Investor confidence toward the Chinese tech sector remains fragile after the government crackdown, and Alibaba Group was particularly hard hit due to Jack Ma's previous conflicts with Chinese regulators.</li>
<li>Growth of its main eCommerce business is in question given the softening Chinese economy and intense competitions. Additionally, the growth of its cloud computing unit is also slowing down. </li>
<li>China's stock market stabilization fund is not likely to benefit Alibaba directly as it will be used to buy onshore stocks only. </li>
</ul>


Investor confidence toward the Chinese tech sector remains fragile after the government crackdown, and Alibaba Group was particularly hard hit due to Jack Ma's previous conflicts with Chinese regulators.
Growth of its main eCommerce business is in question given the softening Chinese economy and intense competitions. Additionally, the growth of its cloud computing unit is also slowing down. 
China's stock market stabilization fund is not likely to benefit Alibaba directly as it will be used to buy onshore stocks only. 


Alibaba's Share Prices Are Lacking Further Catalysts After Jack Ma and Joe Tsai's Stock Acquisition

Bank of America Corporation accepts deposits and offers banking, investing, asset management, and other financial and risk-management products and services.  The Company has a mortgage lending subsidiary, and an investment banking and securities brokerage subsidiary.

<ul>
<li>Unrealized HTM losses continued to balloon as interest rates crept higher.</li>
<li>What has caused SVB's demise seems to have now been forgotten and ignored by investors.</li>
<li>We took a deep dive into 3 U.S. Banks, First Foundation, Wells Fargo and Bank of America on their HTM losses.</li>
</ul>


Unrealized HTM losses continued to balloon as interest rates crept higher.
What has caused SVB's demise seems to have now been forgotten and ignored by investors.
We took a deep dive into 3 U.S. Banks, First Foundation, Wells Fargo and Bank of America on their HTM losses.


Investors Have Been Buried Their Head in The Sand on Billions of Unrealized HTM Losses

Extensive experience in the financial market covering multiple sectors and products in Moody's, BoA, and Barclays, and a fintech company in China. Work experiences covered Hong Kong, Shanghai and New York.  Last position was a Director at S&P covering financial institutions.