Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

FX & Rates

The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

<ul><li>Credit spreads have traded in a tight range despite various market events</li><li>High yield spreads have tightened throughout the month</li><li>Macro factors like growth, inflation, and Fed policies are more important for credit markets than the political environment</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Credit spreads have traded in a tight range despite various market eventsHigh yield spreads have tightened throughout the monthMacro factors like growth, inflation, and Fed policies are more important for credit markets than the political environmentThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Rates, US Credit: Spreadbites Spreads, Politics, and the Consumer

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>EM assets are being compared to other asset classes ahead of the US elections, with a general presumption that EM will be more negatively impacted by a Trump presidency.</li><li>EM currencies have experienced some risk premium in the lead up to the elections, particularly in Latin America, but overall EM markets have not shown significant underperformance due to US election concerns.</li><li>Valuation models that consider fundamental drivers do not indicate any significant risk premium being priced into EM assets for the US elections at this time.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

EM assets are being compared to other asset classes ahead of the US elections, with a general presumption that EM will be more negatively impacted by a Trump presidency.EM currencies have experienced some risk premium in the lead up to the elections, particularly in Latin America, but overall EM markets have not shown significant underperformance due to US election concerns.Valuation models that consider fundamental drivers do not indicate any significant risk premium being priced into EM assets for the US elections at this time.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

EM Fixed Income: Goldilocks and the US election

Commodities

Gold is a chemical element with the symbol Au (from Latin: aurum) and the atomic number 79. In its purest form, it is a bright, slightly reddish yellow, dense, soft, malleable and ductile metal. Chemically, gold is a transition metal and a group 11 element. It is one of the least reactive chemical elements, and is solid under standard conditions. The metal therefore occurs often in free elemental (native) form, as nuggets or grains, in rocks, in veins and in alluvial deposits. It occurs in a solid solution series with the native element silver (as electrum) and also naturally alloyed with copper and palladium. Less commonly, it occurs in minerals as gold compounds, often with tellurium (gold tellurides).

<ul><li>Shift to the right in favor of Trump accelerated after assassination attempt</li><li>Republican momentum challenging expectations for a divided Congress</li><li>Gold and oil likely to benefit under GOP control, with potential increase in demand and production respectively</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Shift to the right in favor of Trump accelerated after assassination attemptRepublican momentum challenging expectations for a divided CongressGold and oil likely to benefit under GOP control, with potential increase in demand and production respectivelyThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Commodities: 2024 US Election Watch—Reassessing Implications for Commodities Under a Red Wave

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

<ul><li>Expectations for tightening boscrudent liquids balances leading to stock draws</li><li>Historic anomaly of large surplus in products and deficit in crude</li><li>Uncertainty in market assessment of demand due to global economic moderation and potential recession</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Expectations for tightening boscrudent liquids balances leading to stock drawsHistoric anomaly of large surplus in products and deficit in crudeUncertainty in market assessment of demand due to global economic moderation and potential recessionThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Commodities: A Dichotomy in the Oil Balance

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

<ul><li>MoF intervention in Japan estimated at 3.5 trillion yen, impacting yen price action</li><li>Discussion on GPIF's asset allocation and potential repatriation flows</li><li>Expectation for increase in domestic bond weight in GPIF's portfolio, impacting yen strength</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

MoF intervention in Japan estimated at 3.5 trillion yen, impacting yen price actionDiscussion on GPIF's asset allocation and potential repatriation flowsExpectation for increase in domestic bond weight in GPIF's portfolio, impacting yen strengthThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: On Japan Intervention/ GPIF, Dollar Supports and European Data